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balderson, who was backed by president trump, right? that big rally this weekend. o'connor's trying to flip a seat that the gop has held for about 35 years. inside politics host john king is out front. john, obviously this is a very crucial race, right? and this is the last special election. dem versus republican. that we're going to get here before the ultimate test in november. what are you watching tonight? >> erin, just the fact that we're having this conversation, that we're worried about this race tipping, republicans are worried about this race tipping, tells us it's a problem for the republican party. this is the district here. here's the big question. we're going to learn tonight is this a very difficult year for republicans or is this potentially a disastrous year for republicans? as you noted the 12th district hasn't elected a democrat since ronald reagan was presidential. what are we looking for tonight? you mentioned the president going out there. let's start with that. the trump effect. morrow county is in the tract here. this is pat tiberi. he was the incumbent. he left the seat. that's why it's open in a special election. look how well he did in this largely rural area in 2016. did the president's visit, does the president urging trump republicans to come out to vote,

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