Transcripts For CNN Inside Politics With Manu Raju 20241007

Donald trump returns to butler will fight, fight, fight. While harris or the margin, it is me back in wisconsin Magic Wall. Will anything shake up this incredibly tight race was Big Sky brawl. Talk about montana. Thats what crazy about will control the senate. But j two men in montana and spousal Spotlight Launia Trump makes way what does my body my choice is Doug Emhoff it works to make history Inside Politics best reporting from inside the Corridors Of Power starts now politics sunday. Manu raja, just 30 days to go. So where does this unprecedented Race Stand . And how will the candidates shore up their vulnerabilities . And is there anything that could give either Donald Trump or Kamala Harris and edge since there is still no clear leader there are no more debates. The conventions are long over, and now it gets down to tactics and the extensive Ground Operations the parties have spent years building to target those small number of persuadable voters in the seven key Swing States. So how are the candidates spending these critical final days . Last night, Donald Trump returned to the site where he was nearly killed this summer. Butler, pennsylvania, for a rally with the man of man who died at the scene, as well as the worlds richest person, you on musk. And Vice President harris spent yesterday in hurricanebattered North Carolina. Of course, a pivotal state. Both candidates are desperately trying to win and Today Trump continues his efforts to undercut harris is blue Wall Stumping in wisconsin, and thats where we find cnns steve Contorno And Steve Last Night was solemn at first, but then sort of turned into a typical Trump Rally. Thats right, manu and emotional return to butler, pennsylvania for Donald Trump and his supporters. It included a Moment Of Silence for the individual who is seated behind Donald Trump at that rally and lost his life from a gunshot wound. Trump saying that he and his movement has emerged from the Aftermath Math of that shooting, quote, stronger, prouder, more united, more determined and narrative victory and then as you said, it was a pretty quick pivot to the dark rhetoric that we have seen from him. A lot of discussion about immigration. He also said that the, his political opponents quote, maybe even tried to kill him he was aided in this effort by elon musk, the tech billionaire, who has been one of his most outspoken and influential supporters of late ever since the butler shooting. Take a listen to what he had to say Last Night. President Trump Mustwin to preserve the constitution, he must went to preserve democracy in America Text people now now and then make sure they actually do vote last election thats my prediction nothings more important Super Pac that has spent tens of millions of dollars supporting Donald Trumps campaign, including here in wisconsin, speaking of which this is Donald Trumps fourth time in the state in just nine days. And theres a good good reason for that. Take a look at this latest Marquette Law School poll. One of the best pollsters in the state finds this race very, very close with a slight edge for Vice President harris, 52 to 48 mano. All alright. Steve contorno from juno wisconsin. Thank you for that report and we have a lot to write down with an excellent panel this morning, cnns josh on cane, Susan Glasser from the new yorker. Laura barronlopez of pbs newshour, and nprs michel martin. Good morning to you all. Thanks for joining me this morning. Really appreciate it. John king is back here yes. Exactly. Its a lot different. Youre back at home. Its great to have you here, john, so 30 days out Donald Trump decides to go back to the site where he was nearly killed. You brings elon musk, who has been funding these efforts, go Get Out The Vote efforts here, Fund Musk warns that this could be the last election if Donald Trump loses, to be polite, Thats Kind of rich that the guy endorsing the guy who tried to steal the last Election Section says this will be the last election, but thats the Trump Playbook heading into this election. Its all designed to stoke his base. If you listen to what trump is saying, whether its theyre eating cats and dogs whether its im going to have mass deportations, but theyre The Ones who want to steal your democracy it tells you theyre not really trying to when theyd love to get them, but theyre not trying to win the Nikki Haley voters in the philadelphia suburbs. They are trying to Gin Up Turnout of their base. Thats the calculation that they have made and if you talk to democratic pollsters are State Democratic chairman, including in those Blue States and congress democratic congressman from those Blue Wall states, theyre all nervous about this democratic pollster lets just, well tell you if you look at the likely electorate now compared to just several weeks ago, its tweaked up just a little bit in trumps favor. Now, those polls, they can fluctuate. We have 30 days to go. But in washington, a lot of people say, why is he saying these things . Why does it keep lying . Why is he demeaning immigrants . Thats what people in washington Say Out in the country. You see evidence that its helping Trump Rally his base, and youre just actually out in pennsylvania talking to allow those voters because this is pennsylvania being one of the key, probably perhaps the biggest prize here, just to look on your screen 12. 5 million. Republicans have spent on tv ads. And just this past Week And Tv ad thats more a little bit more than democrats most more than any other Swing States. So michelle, when you are on the ground in western pa this past week, what are you hearing from voters well, this is exactly as john said. This isnt really about persuading people who, on policy. This is about sort of trumps deep hold on the culture you know, anecdotes are always dangerous, but ill just tell you one. When we went to western pa, is that one of the counties there . Is that the swinging of the swinging counties and by that i mean that theyve correctly predicted every president ial outcome except for one since World War ii so we are working through a park. Were on our way to an event at a university and theres a Guy In The Park with a sigh handwritten sign saying theyre eating your pets it is just absolutely nothing to do with this community. I see very few people there who seem to not have been born there. But the fact that somebody who was so sort of seemed to be unhoused didnt really clearly didnt have a job. Hes held here at sort of in the middle of day, has handwritten a sign. He had to go to get the poster board guilt, get us, go get them marker. Its just shows you the deep hold that Donald Trump has on the culture. Its not about policy, its about who you are and what you believe, what you want to believe that is the part thats on the other hand, i tell you if you if you look at signs as a Permission Slip as of Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro would say, you know, your Yard Signs or permission it looked pretty even it looked pretty even. And so i think that is still as competitive as the polls would into gap. And it is just about something that trump was saying last several days and including yesterday at the Butler Rally talking about what the federal response to what has happened in the aftermath of hurricane helene. Of course, its couple of key Swing States, North Carolina and a Georgia Being part of that trump trying to suggest that this is harriss fault about how the response has gone this has been the worst Hurricane Response by a president and Vice President since katrina, the federal government is doing a very bad job there offering them been washed away and yet we send tens of billions of dollars to foreign countries that most people have never heard of of course theres a lot thats not true with a lot of what Donald Trump is saying. The charlotte editorial, theres Child Observer Editorial board out with this editorial saving shame on Donald Trump for worsening North Carolinas helene tragedy with political lives. So North Carolina of course, though, was hit hard by this Down Trump sees an opportunity typically then disaster in the afternoon, disasters, people come together, the parties typically come together this time trump tries is see trying to take a political vantage, even though hes the federal response is being praised on the ground. Yeah, political advantage where hes lying about the federal response whether its at 750 line are also earlier he had said that they were trying to take money from the Disaster Relief to then go to migrants and to handle migrant. So again, all of this election for Donald Trump has been about immigration and hes really tried to seize on that to the biggest fears of his base. But that was also aligning whats interesting is that washington post, due a fact check about that, saying that actually it was Donald Trump in 2019 who took money from a Disaster Relief pot and put it towards detention for migrants. So lying about the fact that the biden administer striation is doing that this time around. Im not sure that its necessarily going to impact Swing Voters in a state like North Carolina. His lies about this, but what it will do is itll gin up more disinformation, more belief in the electorate that the election could potentially be rigged in a state like North Carolina and election officials, there there are already dealing with a lot of threats. So its something that theyre going to be trying to prepare for as theyre heading into early voting and then postelection i think that you see here once again, Donald Trump has won playbook and to johns point, you know, this is we couldve been having a version of this conversation in 2016 and in 2020, Donald Trump does not believe in the concept of the people in the middle and the undecided Swing Voter he is a base politician. Hes always appealing to his base when he was the president of the country, he believed there was Blue America and red america, and that he was the president for red america. He actually said that out loud during the 2020 and he fan that weve all forgotten actually happened and i think that its really notable because every indication is that we are hurdling right down the road and 30 days towards another of these extremely close elections and thats where i feel like all the alarm should be blinking red because if its going to be this close, what trump is doing right now, in addition to focusing on immigration, is focusing on telling his people any outcome in which i do not win is unacceptable. He has said that to us. And again, are we going to be the trumps who dont listen and arent prepared for for this scenario of a Tuple Election in john, you spent so much time on the ground trying to get a sense of what voters are actually thinking here. Who are these undecided voters in the poll here and the Marist Poll suggesting about how many people have not made up their mind yet 4 14, 10 say they could still change him. I know thats a national poll that statelevel perhaps its different state by state, but who are these people who still havent were still persuadable. I would focus on the 10 or could still change through your mind a lot of those are your moderates, are youre Nikki Haley voters or people who voted for Donald Trump in 2016 and Joe Biden in 2020 . Who dont like the toll, the Cost Of Living were going to were going to talk more about that and may who dont like whom maybe think harris is little left of biden. They voted for biden. They voted for trump than they voted for biden because they thought he was a centrist and i can do that. I dont usually vote for democrats, but i can do this. Trump is running these ads, including if youre watching foot cultural ball yesterday, the baseball Playoffs Yesterday about her support for surgery for Transgender Americans Donald Trump is for you. Shes for them. Thats what Donald Trump is trying to do. Hes trying to make her different. Hes trying to disqualify is trying to make her way more liberal than Joe Biden. Those voters, there are key, they dont want Donald Trump back, but they have this nostalgic memory to Susans Point of the precovid trump economy. Theyve been whacked in the face by inflation or the Cost Of Living issues. And they dont know their Vice President and so there are available to her, but 30 days is both a long time and a blip. And speaking, they dont know the Vice President. Shes clearly recognizes that one of her biggest vulnerabilities right now is that you hear of some voters on the ground saying, i still dont know what she would do as president. She has a week. This events are Coming Up this week about just number of Media Appearances shes going on the popular podcast called her daddy, that actually, that Interest Debt you doing 60 Minutes Interview as well as hes gone on the view the Howard Stern Show the late show with coal bear, some more friendly interviews, but maybe some hostile ones as well. But clearly theres a recognition that she needs to at least do something to get those persuadable voters that john is talk thats right. Shes exposing herself more. The call your daddy is interesting because of the fact that that is interview that is going to be heavily focused on speaking to women directly. And i was just in arizona this week and there i spoke to a two time Trump Voter who said that abortion is one of her biggest tissue. She plans on voting in support of the Abortion Amendment to protect access there. And she says that she is gettable for harris. Shes not totally one over yet because to your point, she wants to hear a bit more about the economy. She wants to hear a bit more about how harris will compromise with republicans because shes still, this would be the first time this voter has ever voted for a democrat. And thats the thing when youre talking to some of these moderate republicans, they talk a lot about how difficult it is that for the first time in their life, they may be voting for a democrat, but that they feel as though Donald Trump is pushing them more and more towards the validators like Magic Wall<\/a>. Will anything shake up this incredibly tight race was Big Sky<\/a> brawl. Talk about montana. Thats what crazy about will control the senate. But j two men in montana and spousal Spotlight Launia Trump<\/a> makes way what does my body my choice is Doug Emhoff<\/a> it works to make history Inside Politics<\/a> best reporting from inside the Corridors Of Power<\/a> starts now politics sunday. Manu raja, just 30 days to go. So where does this unprecedented Race Stand<\/a> . And how will the candidates shore up their vulnerabilities . And is there anything that could give either Donald Trump<\/a> or Kamala Harris<\/a> and edge since there is still no clear leader there are no more debates. The conventions are long over, and now it gets down to tactics and the extensive Ground Operations<\/a> the parties have spent years building to target those small number of persuadable voters in the seven key Swing States<\/a>. So how are the candidates spending these critical final days . Last night, Donald Trump<\/a> returned to the site where he was nearly killed this summer. Butler, pennsylvania, for a rally with the man of man who died at the scene, as well as the worlds richest person, you on musk. And Vice President<\/a> harris spent yesterday in hurricanebattered North Carolina<\/a>. Of course, a pivotal state. Both candidates are desperately trying to win and Today Trump<\/a> continues his efforts to undercut harris is blue Wall Stumping<\/a> in wisconsin, and thats where we find cnns steve Contorno And Steve<\/a> Last Night<\/a> was solemn at first, but then sort of turned into a typical Trump Rally<\/a>. Thats right, manu and emotional return to butler, pennsylvania for Donald Trump<\/a> and his supporters. It included a Moment Of Silence<\/a> for the individual who is seated behind Donald Trump<\/a> at that rally and lost his life from a gunshot wound. Trump saying that he and his movement has emerged from the Aftermath Math<\/a> of that shooting, quote, stronger, prouder, more united, more determined and narrative victory and then as you said, it was a pretty quick pivot to the dark rhetoric that we have seen from him. A lot of discussion about immigration. He also said that the, his political opponents quote, maybe even tried to kill him he was aided in this effort by elon musk, the tech billionaire, who has been one of his most outspoken and influential supporters of late ever since the butler shooting. Take a listen to what he had to say Last Night<\/a>. President Trump Mustwin<\/a> to preserve the constitution, he must went to preserve democracy in America Text<\/a> people now now and then make sure they actually do vote last election thats my prediction nothings more important Super Pac<\/a> that has spent tens of millions of dollars supporting Donald Trump<\/a>s campaign, including here in wisconsin, speaking of which this is Donald Trump<\/a>s fourth time in the state in just nine days. And theres a good good reason for that. Take a look at this latest Marquette Law School<\/a> poll. One of the best pollsters in the state finds this race very, very close with a slight edge for Vice President<\/a> harris, 52 to 48 mano. All alright. Steve contorno from juno wisconsin. Thank you for that report and we have a lot to write down with an excellent panel this morning, cnns josh on cane, Susan Glasser<\/a> from the new yorker. Laura barronlopez of pbs newshour, and nprs michel martin. Good morning to you all. Thanks for joining me this morning. Really appreciate it. John king is back here yes. Exactly. Its a lot different. Youre back at home. Its great to have you here, john, so 30 days out Donald Trump<\/a> decides to go back to the site where he was nearly killed. You brings elon musk, who has been funding these efforts, go Get Out The Vote<\/a> efforts here, Fund Musk<\/a> warns that this could be the last election if Donald Trump<\/a> loses, to be polite, Thats Kind<\/a> of rich that the guy endorsing the guy who tried to steal the last Election Section<\/a> says this will be the last election, but thats the Trump Playbook<\/a> heading into this election. Its all designed to stoke his base. If you listen to what trump is saying, whether its theyre eating cats and dogs whether its im going to have mass deportations, but theyre The One<\/a>s who want to steal your democracy it tells you theyre not really trying to when theyd love to get them, but theyre not trying to win the Nikki Haley<\/a> voters in the philadelphia suburbs. They are trying to Gin Up Turnout<\/a> of their base. Thats the calculation that they have made and if you talk to democratic pollsters are State Democrat<\/a>ic chairman, including in those Blue State<\/a>s and congress democratic congressman from those Blue Wall<\/a> states, theyre all nervous about this democratic pollster lets just, well tell you if you look at the likely electorate now compared to just several weeks ago, its tweaked up just a little bit in trumps favor. Now, those polls, they can fluctuate. We have 30 days to go. But in washington, a lot of people say, why is he saying these things . Why does it keep lying . Why is he demeaning immigrants . Thats what people in washington Say Out<\/a> in the country. You see evidence that its helping Trump Rally<\/a> his base, and youre just actually out in pennsylvania talking to allow those voters because this is pennsylvania being one of the key, probably perhaps the biggest prize here, just to look on your screen 12. 5 million. Republicans have spent on tv ads. And just this past Week And Tv<\/a> ad thats more a little bit more than democrats most more than any other Swing States<\/a>. So michelle, when you are on the ground in western pa this past week, what are you hearing from voters well, this is exactly as john said. This isnt really about persuading people who, on policy. This is about sort of trumps deep hold on the culture you know, anecdotes are always dangerous, but ill just tell you one. When we went to western pa, is that one of the counties there . Is that the swinging of the swinging counties and by that i mean that theyve correctly predicted every president ial outcome except for one since World War<\/a> ii so we are working through a park. Were on our way to an event at a university and theres a Guy In The Park<\/a> with a sigh handwritten sign saying theyre eating your pets it is just absolutely nothing to do with this community. I see very few people there who seem to not have been born there. But the fact that somebody who was so sort of seemed to be unhoused didnt really clearly didnt have a job. Hes held here at sort of in the middle of day, has handwritten a sign. He had to go to get the poster board guilt, get us, go get them marker. Its just shows you the deep hold that Donald Trump<\/a> has on the culture. Its not about policy, its about who you are and what you believe, what you want to believe that is the part thats on the other hand, i tell you if you if you look at signs as a Permission Slip<\/a> as of Pennsylvania Governor<\/a> Josh Shapiro<\/a> would say, you know, your Yard Signs<\/a> or permission it looked pretty even it looked pretty even. And so i think that is still as competitive as the polls would into gap. And it is just about something that trump was saying last several days and including yesterday at the Butler Rally<\/a> talking about what the federal response to what has happened in the aftermath of hurricane helene. Of course, its couple of key Swing States<\/a>, North Carolina<\/a> and a Georgia Being<\/a> part of that trump trying to suggest that this is harriss fault about how the response has gone this has been the worst Hurricane Response<\/a> by a president and Vice President<\/a> since katrina, the federal government is doing a very bad job there offering them been washed away and yet we send tens of billions of dollars to foreign countries that most people have never heard of of course theres a lot thats not true with a lot of what Donald Trump<\/a> is saying. The charlotte editorial, theres Child Observer Editorial<\/a> board out with this editorial saving shame on Donald Trump<\/a> for worsening North Carolina<\/a>s helene tragedy with political lives. So North Carolina<\/a> of course, though, was hit hard by this Down Trump<\/a> sees an opportunity typically then disaster in the afternoon, disasters, people come together, the parties typically come together this time trump tries is see trying to take a political vantage, even though hes the federal response is being praised on the ground. Yeah, political advantage where hes lying about the federal response whether its at 750 line are also earlier he had said that they were trying to take money from the Disaster Relief<\/a> to then go to migrants and to handle migrant. So again, all of this election for Donald Trump<\/a> has been about immigration and hes really tried to seize on that to the biggest fears of his base. But that was also aligning whats interesting is that washington post, due a fact check about that, saying that actually it was Donald Trump<\/a> in 2019 who took money from a Disaster Relief<\/a> pot and put it towards detention for migrants. So lying about the fact that the biden administer striation is doing that this time around. Im not sure that its necessarily going to impact Swing Voter<\/a>s in a state like North Carolina<\/a>. His lies about this, but what it will do is itll gin up more disinformation, more belief in the electorate that the election could potentially be rigged in a state like North Carolina<\/a> and election officials, there there are already dealing with a lot of threats. So its something that theyre going to be trying to prepare for as theyre heading into early voting and then postelection i think that you see here once again, Donald Trump<\/a> has won playbook and to johns point, you know, this is we couldve been having a version of this conversation in 2016 and in 2020, Donald Trump<\/a> does not believe in the concept of the people in the middle and the undecided Swing Voter<\/a> he is a base politician. Hes always appealing to his base when he was the president of the country, he believed there was Blue America<\/a> and red america, and that he was the president for red america. He actually said that out loud during the 2020 and he fan that weve all forgotten actually happened and i think that its really notable because every indication is that we are hurdling right down the road and 30 days towards another of these extremely close elections and thats where i feel like all the alarm should be blinking red because if its going to be this close, what trump is doing right now, in addition to focusing on immigration, is focusing on telling his people any outcome in which i do not win is unacceptable. He has said that to us. And again, are we going to be the trumps who dont listen and arent prepared for for this scenario of a Tuple Election<\/a> in john, you spent so much time on the ground trying to get a sense of what voters are actually thinking here. Who are these undecided voters in the poll here and the Marist Poll<\/a> suggesting about how many people have not made up their mind yet 4 14, 10 say they could still change him. I know thats a national poll that statelevel perhaps its different state by state, but who are these people who still havent were still persuadable. I would focus on the 10 or could still change through your mind a lot of those are your moderates, are youre Nikki Haley<\/a> voters or people who voted for Donald Trump<\/a> in 2016 and Joe Biden<\/a> in 2020 . Who dont like the toll, the Cost Of Living<\/a> were going to were going to talk more about that and may who dont like whom maybe think harris is little left of biden. They voted for biden. They voted for trump than they voted for biden because they thought he was a centrist and i can do that. I dont usually vote for democrats, but i can do this. Trump is running these ads, including if youre watching foot cultural ball yesterday, the baseball Playoffs Yesterday<\/a> about her support for surgery for Transgender Americans<\/a> Donald Trump<\/a> is for you. Shes for them. Thats what Donald Trump<\/a> is trying to do. Hes trying to make her different. Hes trying to disqualify is trying to make her way more liberal than Joe Biden<\/a>. Those voters, there are key, they dont want Donald Trump<\/a> back, but they have this nostalgic memory to Susans Point<\/a> of the precovid trump economy. Theyve been whacked in the face by inflation or the Cost Of Living<\/a> issues. And they dont know their Vice President<\/a> and so there are available to her, but 30 days is both a long time and a blip. And speaking, they dont know the Vice President<\/a>. Shes clearly recognizes that one of her biggest vulnerabilities right now is that you hear of some voters on the ground saying, i still dont know what she would do as president. She has a week. This events are Coming Up<\/a> this week about just number of Media Appearances<\/a> shes going on the popular podcast called her daddy, that actually, that Interest Debt<\/a> you doing 60 Minutes Interview<\/a> as well as hes gone on the view the Howard Stern Show<\/a> the late show with coal bear, some more friendly interviews, but maybe some hostile ones as well. But clearly theres a recognition that she needs to at least do something to get those persuadable voters that john is talk thats right. Shes exposing herself more. The call your daddy is interesting because of the fact that that is interview that is going to be heavily focused on speaking to women directly. And i was just in arizona this week and there i spoke to a two time Trump Voter<\/a> who said that abortion is one of her biggest tissue. She plans on voting in support of the Abortion Amendment<\/a> to protect access there. And she says that she is gettable for harris. Shes not totally one over yet because to your point, she wants to hear a bit more about the economy. She wants to hear a bit more about how harris will compromise with republicans because shes still, this would be the first time this voter has ever voted for a democrat. And thats the thing when youre talking to some of these moderate republicans, they talk a lot about how difficult it is that for the first time in their life, they may be voting for a democrat, but that they feel as though Donald Trump<\/a> is pushing them more and more towards the validators like Liz Cheney<\/a> make a difference with a voter like that. I think that they do he is appearing with her. Yeah. Wisconsin a person who has her own admission, never voted for a democrat. And i think they do because they mentioned those republican figures and how they understand how conservative Liz Cheney<\/a> and they themselves are extremely well, by the way, i think thats what makes it so remarkable that cheney is really shes not the only voice out there. Theres a lot of republicans, but the truth is, many prominent republicans who we know have great distaste for Donald Trump<\/a>. You know, george w bush, hes not supporting Donald Trump<\/a>, but hes not out there. And i do think that this is this issue that could matter, which is that they are validators for a segment of the electorate such a close race, margins, those things its good matter. Well see maybe, well, maybe he wont 30 days had its gonna be here in a Blink Of An Eye<\/a> all right. Coming up, how are the voters reacting to harris, his pitch on the economy . John king, whos sitting right here will be at the Magic Wall<\/a> right over there to break down what issues could sway the race . 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Your Economy Today<\/a> and your Life Cost<\/a> of living over the last four or 56 years, right . Look at your Economy Today<\/a>. I harris has something positive to say, right . The Biden Economy<\/a> has created bidenharris economy created a lot of jobs. This is just a September Jobs<\/a> report that was a surprisingly robust number, 254,000 jobs last month. Thats a big number. An already low Unemployment Rate<\/a> drops even more. So the Vice President<\/a> can hit the road and say, hey, youre doing okay, this is an indicator. I look at all the time. Its an economic indicator. I look at it for politics at the university of michigan, consumer sentiment index. Its on the way up. This is august 67 0. 9, september. Its on the way up, so consumers are feeling better about the economy right now. But look at this number. It was at 80. 4 in september 2020. What happened in November 2020<\/a> . An incumbent president Donald Trump<\/a> was defeated. So its in the danger zone. If you are an incumbent, thats the question for voters is Kamala Harris<\/a> the incumbent president or can she separate herself . So from Joe Biden<\/a>, but look at this, the Numbers Today<\/a> she can make a Case Today<\/a> the numbers are better. Theyre getting better, but just look at this. I want to bring up this chart a little complicated. Do you see any green on this, this looks our new Media Team<\/a> built this. Its fantastic. This looks at the Cost Of Living<\/a> over the last five or six years. This is housing prices, this is food prices. This has Energy Prices<\/a> are wages keep being up or falling behind all these increases. You see any green on this map. You need a microscope because a couple of counties in texas and a couple of counties in virginia, those are the only counties in america were wages have outpaced the Cost Of Living<\/a> in the last 68 years. So youre looking at all this right across the country. What do you see . The darker it is. Thats where places are way behind, the more behind you are where do they include they include pennsylvania. Look at these counties, right . Bucks county. In Bucks County<\/a> from 2016 to 2024, the Cost Of Living<\/a> was 1. 7 faster than wages. So people in these communities, last weeks Unemployment Rate<\/a>, it was great, right . Thats Bucks County<\/a>, pennsylvania. But what about the last six years of my life just come down here. Where is it dark . In the atlanta suburbs . Thats where Kamala Harris<\/a> has to run up the vote. So in key places across america, ill bring it out in, just show you the map one more time. The darker it is, the heart of the punch, if you will, the harder your wages are behind what youre paying for your house, for your energy, for your food thats the climate shes running it. Thats a really stiff headwinds. Again, another indication, vivid example about it matters how you feel it doesnt matter necessarily. But what the data says is how are you feeling right now . You also were in michigan, youve been interviewed at younger voters in michigan, some of them obviously were very concerned about the biden administrations approach to israel. Now the hair versus the nominee, they are theyre happy that shes the nominee, but it hasnt changed. The calculus on the issue of gaza with those younger voters, its better. The question is, is it good enough . You mentioned michigan, ill show you can win michigan. Come up here right in wayne county. Thats detroit. You have wayne state university. You go to this campus, youll see a lot of young arab and muslim students on this campus. To see a lot of other younger students who have joined their cause protesting the biden harris administration. Why not a ceasefire, why not an Arms Embargo<\/a> . You see it on campus, then you move right over here much bigger Campus Washington<\/a> are county Thats Home<\/a> of ann arbor. Thats the university of michigan. We were just back here for a third time in the last year, the volume is down. Support for harris is higher than it was for Joe Biden<\/a> back in last year, a year ago. The question is, is it as high as it was for Joe Biden<\/a> back in 2020 or Gretchen Whitmer<\/a> in november 2022. So thats one place you have to watch this in another place i know near and dear to you. Did you come over here. Its the same thing. Dane county, wisconsin there all these key counties in the Battleground States<\/a> where the democrats have to run it up, look at that number, look at that number. Joe biden just barely won wisconsin whats it . Look at the number in dane county. A lot of that is younger voters. So its better now for harris because she has brought a lot of energy. It wasnt just gaza for younger voters and biden, it was also his age in a disconnect and they saw Joe Biden<\/a> and tiktok and theyre like, what planet are we on harris, they have a relationship with, but that one issue still bothers them. And now were at the anniversary and you have more violence in the Middle East<\/a> the Protest Vote<\/a> that we saw during the primary, how will that play out in the general election . Another big question, pa, you spent a lot of time in pennsylvania Working Class<\/a> voters, Joe Biden<\/a>, of course, he was from Scranton Knee<\/a> had been reputations is pro Working Class<\/a> democrat. He what does it how does it translate to Kamala Harris<\/a> that this is a key thing to watch, not just in pennsylvania you bet, in michigan and wisconsin, the firefighters union, right . Kamala harris thought she was going to get the endorsement. She didnt as one union going to make a difference maybe not, but theres a conversation among the democrats who represent these areas that wait a minute, are we, are we starting to fall behind among these people again, 81,660 votes in the state. You mentioned you. So this is, you know, heres Lehigh County<\/a> where allentown is then you move up to north hampton county, a key Swing County<\/a> here. Then you come up to Monroe County<\/a> here. This was Joe Biden<\/a>s Bread And Butter<\/a> scranton, right . Lackawanna county. This is where hes from. Look at the margin here. A key thing to watch on election day, whereas harris here, yes, she needs huge black turnout in philadelphia. Yes. As i just mentioned in the collar counties, the suburbs, she needs you to turn out there a lot of Haley Voters<\/a> available to who here, but if you look at the polling right now, shes running below Joe Biden<\/a> with white High School<\/a> educated noncollegeeducated voters, Working Class<\/a> people who work with their heads, just running a little bit behind right now, forget the polls though, heading into the final 30 days, lets watch and see what happens and what a lot of democrats are saying is so great, shes doing all these interviews now. They want to see her in these communities. So want to see or on factory floors, they want to see you theyre in Union Halls<\/a> that she needs to get out and get with these bluecollar workers . Yes. So much that will need to happen in the next month for her to win. And john, thank you. The data is so essential. Thank you as always for diving deep and breaking it down. All right. Next, Coming Up<\/a> for us, because the Senate Race<\/a> in Ruby Red<\/a>, Montana Cost<\/a> democrats the majority why is the Gop Candidate<\/a> . Theyre largely staying Behind Closed Doors<\/a> . Well, i had to big Sky Country<\/a> to see how a longterm democratic incumbent is battling to hang on here is obviously is making this harder for youre not endorsing her. So well, thats because they dont want this race to be nationalized any more than they want it to be nationalized. Would you vote for her . Bro Level Performance<\/a> at work and at home rightow, safe 50 on the bta that these seven Battery Blower<\/a> real still find you, stay tuned to get all this free from Granite Stone<\/a> because youre old set of bans. Theres slick, you oh, you need to do said well, say hello to granite, stone, Emerald Green<\/a> of kitchen full of the most durable, Ultra Nonstick Cookware<\/a> at the most affordable price anywhere ready . Dont greene is the fast, easy way to get. 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I cant believe this is the world we live here, where were losing the freedom to control well, our own bodies. We need your support now more than ever, Go Online<\/a>, Call Or Scan<\/a> this code with your 19 monthly gift, and well send you this air. No matter what T Shirt<\/a> it is, youre right to have safe Health Care<\/a>. Thats it. Go online, call. Or scan right now maybe im foolish, maybe im blind. Thing cannot see through this Song West<\/a> behind im only who know, wrong one too much . His drinking affecting your job your health, or your relationships take back control with or Health Or Health<\/a> provides access to Medication N<\/a> canceled through the app, but even tried to get you a Refund Donald Rocket<\/a> Money Today News<\/a> with Abby Phillip<\/a> weeknights at ten eastern on cnn it wasnt too long ago when democrats dominated montana politics. Now, they are at risk of being drummed out. Senator Jon Tester<\/a>, threeterm democratic incumbent is battling not only to remain a free worsening states politics, but also to keep his party in power in the senate. Indeed, many senate watchers believe the outcome of Teslas Race<\/a> against republican Tim Sheehy<\/a> will determine the next senate majority. So with so much at stake, i traveled to big Sky Country<\/a> to see how both candidates are faring Jon Tester<\/a>, maybe an endangered species is the only statewide democrat in Ruby Red<\/a> montana were Donald Trump<\/a> won twice by double digits. Now, the senate democratic majority depends on Him Clinging<\/a> to a cds held for nearly 18 years and i thank you for that one vote without that vote, we wouldnt have that. His gop foe, Tim Sheehy<\/a> seeking to ride trumps coattails and Tie Tester<\/a> to Kamala Harris<\/a>. Every single time biden and kamalas say jumped Jon Tester<\/a> says, how high the harris is obvious this is making this harder for youre not endorsing her. So well, thats because they dont want this race to be nationalized anymore than they want it to be nationalized. I want to talk about montana. Thats what this race is about. You vote for her. Thats between me and a ballot box. She sheehy, a wealthy political novice, who owns an aerial Firefighting Company<\/a> and moved to the state ten years ago, was recruited to run for the seat by Party Leaders<\/a> who privately lobbying trump to back the 38yearold former navy seal. This is one of the finest menu ill ever see, but she hes going to extreme lengths to avoid scrutiny, declining national and local interview request, and often campaigning Behind Closed Doors<\/a> while refusing to provide information about his schedule. Cnn attended a Missoula Vance<\/a> promoted by Conservative Activist<\/a> charlie kirk, not by the sheehy campaign. If trump wins and he doesnt control the senate, you can assume that hell be impeached on day one. She he left at the back without taking Press Questions<\/a> and as a participant this week in a second and final debate with Tester Running<\/a> for the town, your statements matter. Yeah, they do matter in the statement is secure. The border. You could have done it for years ago. She he afterwards would not talk mr. Xi he said you have time for questions cnn later learned of an event three hours away in bozeman, montana with Senator John Kennedy<\/a> as his guest. But we were told it was a private event. Recover this taking questions she campaign orchestrated the Candidates Departure<\/a> to prevent us from seeing him on Camera Sheehy<\/a> boasted about the event on social media, writing it was a quote, Standing Room Only<\/a> crowd. So hes constructed this persona that he is this young conservative veteran and it doesnt really want to deviate that or have anyone ask him any questions about well, where do you stand on this issue . But what Split Ticket Voting<\/a> now are rarely in the trump era, being a republican could be enough to win. This is going to be really hard race up and down for all Montana Democrats<\/a> because of the just the way that people have become more polarized tester believe image will help to fight the trend, okay, youre the last demo statewide democrat in the state are unit dangerous species here alexanda this next election will prove it. Is it toxic to be a Democrat Montana<\/a> . No, i dont think so. I think hes just got to make sure you know what youre doing, what you stand for. What should get some who voted for him in the past, say its time for a change. Im a little tired of Jon Tester<\/a> was staggering 139 million, has already been spent across the airwaves with another 69 Million<\/a> reserved in the final stretch of the campaign, making it the most expensive race in the state. Its history, and democrats hope it will turn on issues like character, Health Care<\/a>, and abortion with montana voters also deciding the fate of that issue this november, how can i trust Tim Sheehy<\/a> when he compares mothers like me to murderers . It tries to court Trump Voter<\/a>s, the gop pointing out past test or a marxist like this in 2019, i think you need to go back and punch him in the face as he downplayed those remarks this week was totally figured even speaking and what what i was referring, the factors hes tough on us. You got to be tough on him. He also stood by his votes to convict trump. In his two impeachment trials. He absolutely unequivocally is guilty. Do that does not all no. I mean, the case was laid out and i was part of the jury and you make the call while tesla is 13 clause races, this is the first time trump has been at the top of the ticket for one of them. Look, theres theres people out there that believe in trump and believe in man were going to need those folks and plus were going to need a lot of other folks to folks like this missoula resident. He says hes not endorsing Kamala Harris<\/a>. Does that bother you . It doesnt because every one of his words and actions support our vp Kamala Harris<\/a> all right so this is a bit of a model and how a red State Democrat<\/a> is dealing with the pressures at the top of his ticket, not endorsing, but, you know, people as its Borders Thing<\/a> that hes a subject going to support her. Is that what do you make of that strategy . And can it be emulated . I mean, again, Jon Tester<\/a> is clearly trying to really just make sure that hes winning over like he said to you, those Trump Voter<\/a>s, that they split their ticket and its so rare. So thats why hes playing this bit of a Dancing Game<\/a> where hes not exactly endorsing harris, but still aligns with many of the biden in administrations policies and positions. One thing thats interesting to me is whether or not that Abortion Ballot Initiative<\/a> is actually going to help him because in so many states, democrats are hoping that it translates to support for them, whether its in the senate or whether its in the president ial race and the house too, right . Misty, like montana. I mean, so far, all history shows that when abortion is on the Ballot Voters<\/a> go out and support more access. But does that translate to more democratic votes . Just kind of a Flip Side<\/a> of maryland, which is such a reliably Blue State<\/a> as it were, but theres a very, you very popular former republican governor who was recruited heavily to run, wasnt really sure he wanted to kind of thought about running for president , realized he couldnt make it, was recruited to run for the senate is more competitive than he should be given the numbers. And hes trying to soft pedal his own personal opposition to abortion as a voter voting issue. And so of course, the democrats are really sort of amplifying that to, in part also, because they think it works. Also because its true. It is an important voting issue, but also because of the democratic nominee is not as wellknown. She was a county official, not as well known statewide and has had some stumbles throughout the campaign. So its almost like im sort of a mirror of each other. If you look at that map again though you know this better than i do. This is an incredibly favorable map for republicans and yet, and yet in the polling today, most of these democrats that they thought they could wipe out the republican. Something could have a huge sweep, right . Sherrod brown a little bit ahead, right . Tammy baldwin, a little bit ahead. Bob casey is a little bit ahead. But West Virginia<\/a> and montana, thats thats the margins are so cold thats the point enough. So can Jon Tester<\/a>, do susan collins was the only one in 2020 Republicans Center<\/a> of maine, a moderate, the only one in a state that voted one way for president. They voted the other way for said, there was only one in 2020 is she remember Jeanne Shaheen<\/a> did this back in New Hampshire<\/a> back in one of the Tea Party<\/a> elections, is your personal brand. She was jeans, she was not a democrat. She wasnt senator shaheen. So it can he be john yes. Right. Can he be john . Is your personal brand enough to overcome the headwinds, but in a state as you know, trumps going to win by 15 points that its, but its so interesting because in trump has polarized the electorate in such a different way than other president ial candidates have. And thats why Split Ticket Voting<\/a>. Just doesnt exist in the trump era. Yeah. Im so glad you made that point. So right now, theres only i believe its five us senators who were elected from one party when the state went a different direction. And the president ial only five out of 100. And by the way, one of those is West Virginia<\/a>, which is going to go away. Tester would be another example of that and, you know, when we were Coming Up<\/a> in the 1980s, it was a timed as much as half of the u. S. Senate represented this. So it shows the polarization of the country, which is a trend that began before Donald Trump<\/a>, but hes been the accelerant of it. And i thought it was really interesting that tester said to you, i dont want to nationalize this election. It already, but good luck but oddly, oddly to lauras point, the abortion referendum, he may need to implicitly he, he cant say that directly, but he may need democrats and independents and moderate republicans who Support Abortion Rights<\/a> to come to the polls and think about, do i want to give Donald Trump<\/a> all that power . Even though he cant say, i want you to weigh in on just the republican handling of this lets Tim Sheehy<\/a>. You really did not. Essentially hes been hiding from the press. He doesnt want to be in public with. Obviously it could trip up, but Behind Closed Doors<\/a>, according to the republican Senate Campaign Committee<\/a> chairman steve daines, also a montana republican. He says hes getting a lot of a huge interest from the crowds ive watched him in i mean, i frankly, i wish she could have seen him in action i mean, you need to me do we asked for weeks trust me, i wanted to but it was a calculation, not just meet national Press Calculation<\/a> did not do interviews with low also usual thing about it because it is not unusual for candidates to duck the national press because they think youre going to ask questions. They dont want to answer and, you know, they feel like its a way of kind of can i say sucking up sucking up to the local press because they think they need them more time to not engage with the local media is really pretty remarkable because hes got an r by his name and believes that that can essentially be enough. And as weve talked here that could potentially be enough. And well see if that actually happens and if the senate flips all right, up next the potential first spouses are back in the spotlight. Look at how Melania Trump<\/a> and Doug Emhoff<\/a> on and off the trail, plus, well Melania Trump<\/a>s support of Abortion Rights<\/a> make an impact they may have allergic apa quell is the number one treatment for allergic catch that veterinarians have trusted for over 15 Million<\/a> dogs and it starts working in just four hours. Do not using dogs with serious infections may cause worsening existing parasitic Skin Infestations<\/a> or preexisting cancers and serious infections, new neoplasia ive been observed do not use in dogs less than 12 months old, ask your vet for apic. Well, now available in a tasty, chewable this is the story of The One<\/a>, The One<\/a> who believes being prepared is not just the way of life. Its how we help everyone stay safe he sweats the small stuff before it becomes big stuff for The One<\/a> being an uncertain hiro in a building full of everyday heroes is just how he likes it the industrial products you need deliver fast, call, click granger. 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Doug emhoff, who could become the countrys first first gentleman, has been headlining events and fundraising out on the trail, while Melania Trump<\/a> has been largely absent until now, just about before election day, shes out promoting her new memoir and then broke with her husband been on a key issue in this Election Abortion<\/a> without a doubt there is no room for compromise when it comes to this essential right that all women possess from birth individual freedom what does my body, my choice really mean . It okay. My panel is back. We make of that she decides to we have not seen Melania Trump<\/a> really at all. She barely had any role with the rnc. We saw briefly there and she comes out publicly and trying does it make a splash on The One<\/a> issue is she breaks from a presence, her husband on, and put out the video. Yeah. Im going to Observations Number<\/a> one, the Trump Family<\/a> and this now includes melania is not shy to monetize their public presence in our politics, something that other candidates in both parties have been very reluctant to do. This is i think an under appreciated norm that has been shattered by the Trump Family<\/a>. Its really actually kind of extraordinary to be marketing yourself in this way, including i saw that report that her Publishing Team<\/a> came back and i cnn to spend what was the 250,000 for an interview . I know they said it was a mistake, but it was a little bit as i climb that yeah, its a decline the money so but to the point about abortion, i mean, youve got to wonder at a moment when Donald Trump<\/a> and the other republican leaders are trying to mitigate this potential very big liability for them electorally that trump has said publicly, hes concerned about people well being upset about roe versus wade. Hes tried to obfuscate and to make it unclear what the republican policy would be if hes reelected and, you know, this to me fits squarely and sort of sending up a big kind of smokescreen. What does it mean . What can i just point out that this is The One<\/a> area in which they do comport to historical norms and that republican first ladies have often disagreed with her husband, john and i cover the White House<\/a> together back in ancient times. You know, Barbara Bush<\/a> disagree with her husband on Abortion Rights<\/a>. Laura bush disagree with her husband on abortion, right to come before the alleged rights. Well, i think susan said right. Remember in the first trump term, the idea that dont worry when he goes way out there, ivanka is in the White House<\/a> and shes going to moderate him that didnt happen. So if you think the goal here is that melania is going to moderate him, i would just say that i go back to Susans Point<\/a> and we have some Inside Politics<\/a> Sunday Water<\/a> cups, week and 50,000 up full sponsors underneath him also moderate jd vance, right. Because jd vance, on this specific issue has really hurt the trump campaign. And so many women voters, when you go out and talk to them and Swing States<\/a>, they just bring him up in his past comments without even asking about him. Yeah. And just look at just take the new york times, put It Takeaways<\/a> out of the book, talks about things that she discussed usually in line with trump on so many different issues. He really didnt get into many of the scandals. She does talk about january 6. She said she was reviewing White House<\/a> restorations during the time room renovate restoration is during the time of the attack, according to the times reports that she writes that she declined to denounce the violence because her Press Secretary<\/a> at the time in unnamed Stephanie Grisham<\/a> did not give her the full details of what was happening. Mrs. Tom rights that my team has already behind Schedule And Focus<\/a> on the task. She said she also said according to the report, im not the only person who questions results of the 2020 election you know, look, melania, one of the fallacies for four years was this idea of free Melania Trump<\/a>. Remember that protesters, the womens march right after trump was elected, there was this idea that melania was somehow, you know, sort of a secret a opponent of trumps or that she was so unhappy, it strikes me that what weve learned is that you might not be super close to Donald Trump<\/a>, but also not be in the camp of his opponents. And i think Melania Trump<\/a> has shown that once again meantime on the ballot, shes not on the ballot. Yeah. Nobodys voting for her. But meantime, you know, Doug Emhoff<\/a>, husband has been out there. Hes been fundraising, hes been was on a podcast on friday talking about how his role in trying to fight antisemitism may be the first jewish spouse what do you think . What have you heard about how they theres campaign has tried to deploy him. Yeah. I mean, hes been deployed in a much more traditional way. I think compared to other spouses. And hes been out there. He i think is about to be on the west again in the Swing States<\/a> in the sunbelt and i think that, you know, voters so far have responded well to him. He hes not someone that really upsets voters. They think hes funny and they like seeing him out there on the camera. I mean, i was just see how that plays out. Thank you. Panel. And Coming Up<\/a> our tonight our Kaitlan Collins<\/a> has an hourlong special about the potential first spouses tune into the whole story with Anderson Cooper<\/a> tonight, 8 00 pm eastern and pacific right here on cnn Coming Up<\/a> oklahoma, wants to buy 55,000 bibles for its public schools. And the unusual requirements match with two versions endorsed by the former president thats next stay mobile, you need Copper Fit<\/a> rapid relief. The revolutionary line hot and cold therapy ramps, theyd keep your mobile while you recover, no matter where it hurts, a breakthrough adjustable design with a soft Gel Pac Insert<\/a> in a lightweight copper infused ran for targeted hot or cold pain relieving therapy of Sore Muscles<\/a> and achy joints if it hurts copperfields got you covered, get the full line of copperfield rapid relief wraps available at walmart pharmacies. Hey, folks, Chris Kuhnian<\/a> here with Lee Filter<\/a> americas largest Gutter And Gutter<\/a> protection company, Leaf Filter<\/a>, as over 150 locations and has been installed on over 1 Million<\/a> homes. We have in protecting homes now for over 20 years, our patented technology offers total protection for your home it comes with a lifetime transferable warranty. The process is simple give us a call to schedule your free Gutter Inspection<\/a> if he decide to move forward to project, you pointed nothing down at all. A33 Leaf Filter<\/a> or visit Leaf Filter<\/a>. Com today. In 2016, Donald Trump<\/a> said he would choose only the best people to work in his White House<\/a>. Now, those people have a warning for america. Trump is not fit to be president. Again, heres his Vice President<\/a> anyone who puts themselves over the constitution should never be president of the united states. I cannot in good conscience endorse Donald Trump<\/a> than she is defense secretary, do you think trump can be trusted with the nations secrets ever again no. I mean, its just irresponsible well action that places our Service Members<\/a> at risk, places our Nations Security<\/a> at risk is national security advisor, Donald Trump<\/a>, will cause a lot of damage. The only thing he cares about is Donald Trump<\/a> and the nations former highest ranking military officer. We dont take an oath to a King Or Queen<\/a> or to a tyrant dictator, we dont take an oath to a wannabe dictator take it from the people who knew him best Donald Trump<\/a> is too big a risk for america and Kamala Harris<\/a> and i approve this message i had no idea. I was still paying for it. Play wifi until i finally check my Credit Card Statement<\/a> 14 months at 600 later. Thats why i created Rocket Money<\/a>. And after it shows you all your subscriptions in one place, see something you no longer want. 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We also make proactive here coronary tracked health products. You cora is a Life Stage Right<\/a> today at you cora. Com back in june, Oklahoma School Superintendent<\/a> ordered all public schools in the state to teach The Bible<\/a> and ten commandments with plans to purchase 55,000 bibles to distribute statewide now, this week, his department raised eyebrows when he laid out the specifications for what needs to be included in those bibles because they match perfectly with two versions of The Bible<\/a> endorsed by None Other<\/a> than Donald Trump<\/a>. While excluding many other more common versions. Oklahoma says The Bible<\/a>s must be the king, King James Version<\/a> but also must include american historical texts, like the Declaration Of Independence<\/a> and the Bill Of Rights Requirements Met<\/a> by Musician Lee<\/a> greenwoods 60 god bless the usa bible, which trump has endorsed and according to oklahoma watch, which first broke the story, trump also received some of the proceeds from the sales of The Bible<\/a> in another bible that meets the requirements. The we, the People Bible<\/a> was also endorsed by trump and that one cost 90. Now Oklahomas Department<\/a> of education says the request for bids were consistent with norms of state procure all right. Thats it for Inside Politics<\/a> sunday, you can follow me on x at mkraju, follow the show at Inside Politics<\/a>. If you ever miss an episode, catch up wherever you get your podcasts, just search for inside up next here, the new with Jake Tapper<\/a> and dana bash, dana has guests include Arizona Senator Mark Kelly Rnc<\/a> cochair lara trump, and maryland republican senate candidate. There hogan. Thanks again for sharing your Sunday Morning<\/a> with us. Well see you next time too much. Take back control with or Health Or Health<\/a> provides access to medication proven to make it easy . Youre a drink less or to quit drinking altogether qualified for Treatment Today<\/a> at were health. Com, my garage is too dark. My attic is way too dark, but ive seen the light check out the drivers 360 Shop Life Profile<\/a> valid howell, the panel. Take could put light anywhere you wanted. It has a massive 288 high intensity led bulbs plus it screws into any light socket. Look at this garage with regular light, the garage on the right has drivers. Thats its total transformation. 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