Could just shut up yes i can carve saturday, October 5th on cnn Closed Captioning brought to you by meso mesobook. Com if. You or a loved, one have Neizha Helium up, well send you a free book to answer questions you may have call now and well come to you, 808 to 14000 razortight race, new Cnn Polling shows that contest for the White House is Neck And Neck will be looking at where the voters are on the issues and which candidate has the advantage heading into the last six weeks of this election . And waves of Strikes Israel and his hezbollah exchanging fire after one of the deadliest days in lebanon in nearly two decades, as israels Prime Minister warns, people hello to evacuate areas that the idf is targeting will not ruling out a Ground Invasion and how did a workout with a Navy Seal leaves three tough Students University Lacrosse players in the hospital. The answer lies with a rare condition that can be lifethreatening. We are following these major developing stories and many more all coming in right here to Cnn News central brandnew Cnn Polling out today, giving us a fresh look at where the race for the White House stands with just six weeks to go. Hello, Election Day and the numbers show it is yes. Neck and neck with 48 of likely voters nationwide supporting Vice President harris and 47 backing former President Trump among independent voters, the polling shows Harris And Trump roughly even 45 to 41 . But this race that will come down to these Battleground States and Today Trump is in georgia where he is set to speak on the economy any minute now, harris will be heading to arizona later this week where a source tells us she is planning think to visit the u. S. Mexico border. Cnn senior Data Analyst Harry enten is with us live now with a closer look on this new polling what are the main takeaways here, harry . Yeah, i think there are a few main takeaways besides the fact that it is just such a razortight, thin race here. Look, i want to point out what i think is very interesting little nugget that ive seen, not just in cnns polling, but in other polling as well. You look among likely voters again, no clear leader harris up by a point, but again, no clear leader among registered voters its a tie. And this is something that weve been seeing in a lot of the polling this year. That is when you sort of Go Down, limit yourself to those who are most likely to turn out and vote or probabilistically the people who are most likely to turn out and vote or wait a little bit more. You see that harris does a little bit better. That might forecast that maybe the democrats might have a Turnout Advantage come november. Thats not the only thing that sort of snuck out or struck out to me about this particular pulse stuck out. What we see here, Take A Look at this Trend Line. This is the type of Trend Line i think of this is what Donald Trump is planning to say. He also was going to, or at least planning to talk about outsourcing jobs, bringing Ellsworth Jobs back into america, bringing other companies again, to america well see whether or not he can focus on that now, i do want to quickly talk about georgia because of the first time hes been in this state since early august, and a lot has changed one of the things youll remember is that during a rally in atlanta, just a few weeks ago, he was bashing governor Brian Kemp a republican, a popular republican in the state, much to the chagrin of not only campaign advisors, but also allies and republicans as a whole who believed they needed have helped to win this State Trump has really capitulated to the Georgia Governor and enlisted his help in stated is a critical Battleground State and one that republicans were far more sure of when biden was at the top of the ticket . So well see if any of his messaging is specifically centered around, as you said, this critical Battleground State job kristen holmes. Thanks so much lets speak about all this more with marc lotter, former Special Assistant to President Trump, and meghan hays, former biden white House Director of Message Planning and a mark, you have former President Trump casting himself as a quote, protector of women at the rally that we saw him out in pennsylvania last night. Lets listen to that because i am your protector. I want to be your protectors president. I have to be your protector. I hope you dont make too much of it. The country is falling apart. Were going to end up in World War iii. And all they can talk about his abortion thats all they talk about and it really no longer pertains because weve done something on abortion that nobody thought was possible i am curious, curious about what both of you think mark, do you think thats a winning message as hes framing that . Think there are many women who worry about grocery prices, who worry about crime, who worry about the wide open southern border. He does view himself as the protector on those interests, and i know a lot of folks think that women all think just one thing on one issue. But when we look at a lot, the broad issues, the economy immigration, crime overall, safety, Donald Trump is going to win that argument. I think thats what hes reminding people of meghan. I have to wonder though that phrase, phraseology he used. Hes going to protect women. I wonder how you think and if you have any data showing how Women Voters view him as a protector, whether on those issues or other issues yeah. I mean, i dont i dont have any data for say, i just dont think thats what women are going to be voting on that Donald Trump is their protector. I think a lot of women, these election dont just view this as abortion. They view this as womens Health Care. And i think its a reproductive freedoms so its not just abortion, its making choices about your Health Care that are being taken away. So, you know where the former president should stick to talking about the economy and should stick to talking about immigration because i do think that that would help him. And when somebody is independent voters saying he, they protector of women is not something thats going to fall flat as we all saw, he was convicted and has 34 felony counts. So i mean, that message i think falls flat with women. All right. If you guys stay with us for just a moment . We do need to go to The Hill because we have some new information coming in. And are manu raju, is there a key vote a key voice . So i should say, not going to endorse Vice President Harris Manu yeah, thats right. Thats Senator Joe Manchin who had long been of course, a moderate democrat from west virginia, recently became an independent, but someone who is still caucuses with democrats and had been signaling just a couple of weeks ago, told me that he was getting ready, getting closer to endorse Kamala Harris as he heard a lot of proposals going forward. But now that she has said that she would gut the senate, Filibuster Rules in order to pass a measure to preserve abortion Rights Manchin tells us this morning than he, he will not endorse harris for president. He is one the staunchest supporters of the filibuster in the senate. Manchin argues that it is essential to forcing bipartisan Consensus And Compromise in the senate is in the minority of democrats in particular are pushing the gut. This altogether because it would lower the threshold for advancing legislation from 60 votes to 51 if Kamala Harris had her way, but just moments ago, manchin told our colleague, ted barrett, he said, he said so certainly on immigration, the latest cnn poll, marc lotter, meghan hays, thanks so much to both of you still to come this hour. Israel launches another barrage of deadly airstrikes deep inside lebanon, reaching as far as the suburbs of the capital beirut. We are following the latest from the region also ahead, Department Of Justice prosecutors are preparing to indict the man accused of trying to assassinate former President Trump why it may be or may not be a clear Cut Case to prove. And later how a workout with a Navy Seal landed nine tufts University Lacrosse players in the hospital. 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Vance in their first and only Facetoface Debate and cnn has covered with the best political team in the Business A Cnn special event, that Vice President ial debate next tuesday at nine on cnn chaotic moments just outside of lebanons capital, Smoke And Debris after israel launched what it calls a targeted Strike Today in beirut, Southern Suburbs this attack is part of what the idf describes as a second wave against hezbollah targets, which allegedly included Command Centers and buildings, were weapons were stored at least six people were killed and more than a dozen wounded, according to Lebanon Hezbollah also launching a barrage of strikes into israel today, these attacks raising fears around the region. President joe biden, addressing Concerns Today at the Un General Assembly in fact, over seven weve also the national Relationship Israel in the u. S. But at that personal relationship, and its interesting given the series of instances of daylight between the u. S. And israel over the last year, you think us push to give greater care to civilian deaths in gaza, us push to get more humanitarian Ariane Aid into gaza us pushed to avoid adding new demands to the Ceasefire And Hostage release negotiations, which is, you know, theres even criticism from Inside Israel as to netanyahus position. And now the expansion of this war, i mean is that a shortterm loss of us influence over israel . Lame duck session, et cetera. Election coming or is there something longerterm going on here . Well, certainly there is a shortterm element. There may be a longer Term Difference of calculus and how one goes about defending a country the israelis have made a very different calculation than the u. S. Would with its own military lawyers. About what would be an acceptable number of civilian casualties in return for going after terrorists. Nobodys doubting that the israelis are trying to go after hamas or hezbollah leaders. But you know, remember back in the early days of the Drone War is seen as long ago, where a drone Couldnt Fire because target was too close to playground where there might be kids thats a very different calculus than saying, were going to go ahead and drop a weapon on this Apartment Building are on this hospital because we believe there are several israel shifted the entire responsibility on the target in effect and with a frequent which is not untrue. Sure the idea of hiding behind civilians, et cetera. But that the the threshold, the tolerance for civilian deaths has risen enormously dramatically. And that seems to be part of the substance here. Can i just briefly before we go, what is the level of concern amongst sources you talk to that this escalation on the northern border breaks out to a fullscale war. Its about 5050 the good news is, so far, hezbollah has not fired directly at tel aviv. For example, they have the weaponry that could go do that. They havent used it. Thats a good sign of restraint that makes you think that in the next few days then might be able to negotiate something . The Flip Side of that is, as you just heard in that report from nic robertson, the israelis make it clear they think this is more a beginning than a middle or an end and that does suggest it could expand quite dramatically for that phrase before multiphased operation thats right. David sanger, thanks so much. Im Coming Up, florida charges against the man suspected of attempting to assassinate former President Trump are likely just the beginning. What we know about the potential federal charges against ryan roof thats Coming Up and were watching the caribbean where a storm is expected to go from this to a major hurricane threatening the florida Gulf Coast. The latest on the track just ahead in change it. Changed and why im not changed Sexual Orientation of not changing the political party were going to go how for what we got here, okay. Car saturday, October 5th on cnn. This is not a thrill drop. The price on hold. This point, it was set off any sign any Sign Stuff we did what . Any sub yep. Were limited time. You get 20 off when you ordered out. Very good. Allergies with a legro. They wont stop me. Thats because nothing beats the legro for the fastest non drowsy 24 Hour Allergy Relief shoes a leg, grab pam, brown and gary. And today were talking about the biggest misconception there is about replacement windows. Im here with ted cones, the Project Manager for renewal by anderson to talk about it. Yeah. One of the big things we hear from homeowners is i shouldnt need to replace my windows. Theyre just not that old heres the thing. Homebuilders put in highend kitchens and bathrooms, and low and windows, just arent that good. So even if your windows are only seven to 10yearsold, they may still need to be replaced to this so many Window Companies out there, whats different about your company . Well, besides being the full Service Replacement Window division of anderson were the company people tend to call when theyre particular about their home. They dont want just any old window or any all installed. So your standards for installers are pretty high, right . Yeah. Brian, you can have the best Window Or Door in the world than if its not installed correctly, its going to fail. So we dont hire these Jack Of All Trades installers that do gutters inciting on this aside our Window Installation teams do our Windows Year in year out and have done thousands of them. Anytime a homeowner has to deal with multiple home improvement companies, they get stuck in the blame game. Yeah. With other companies, if theres an issue, the manufacturer blames the installer. The installer blamed the manufacturer with us. Theres no finger pointing. Are blaming each other. Were both the installer and t