mexico sunday at age on cnn welcome to the lead. >> i'm jake tapper this hour. it's hard to forget the images of a cargo ship crashing into the baltimore bridge in march causing a devastating and deadly collapse. but while the cleanup and investigation have moved forward, those 21 crew members have been stuck on the ship for almost three months. today, there was a hearing about letting them return to their families, mostly in india and sri lanka. and we'll bring you those updates plus is the united states at risk of being pulled into yet another global conflict. the white house is issuing a stern warning after video emerges of a major clash in the south china sea and leading this our supreme suspense as the country he waits for blockbuster decisions from the highest court in the land. the justices issuing four rulings today. but we're still waiting on the three janiot highly consequential ones that we have talking about for weeks now, former president trump's claim that he has immunity from prosecution for actions he took us president the case concerning whether january 6 defendants can be charged with obstruction of a proceeding under that specific law. and third, emergency room abortions. let's get right to cnn supreme court analyst joan biskupic and joan all of these huge decisions could come down within the next two weeks, take us inside the the court as this anticipation mounts, share your phrase supreme suspense was exactly right. and in addition to those big three that you mentioned, they also have a major case on second amendment gun regs. they've cases on social media yeah regulation by government. they have environmental protection cases, federal regulatory disputes. so a lot of major questions that have been lingering for years that have come to culmination. this term. so you go in jake at 10:00 eastern time and then the nine justices usually there are not today. justice alito wasn't on the bench. the nine do sit and the chief says to whoever's going to read the majority opinion for the day, has them speak. but as you know, this is the season of dissent from the bench also because we have so many big cases out there that, you know, a lot is at stake. and this is the time here when a justice who's dissenting wants to call more attention to his or her protest. and we'll speak from the bench. we had that last week and the bump stacks ruling when justice sotomayor protested the majority's decision to invalidate a federal regulation that prohibited bunds, bump stocks as machine guns there is just a lot of anticipation the room, sometimes relatives and friends of the justices come, often a spouse will show up today. justice kavanaugh, his parents were there. so it's just everyone in anticipation and we do not know which cases are going to come when until we get to the very last day, which so this year jake should be potentially a week from next friday or monday, july 1st, and the immunity decision, just a huge one. and obviously will have a significant impact on the presidential race and the timing of this decision can't be ignored. >> it can't jake and i just want to remind everyone that the justices had had an opportunity to take up jack smith's request to examine presidential immunity back in december, special counsel jack smith, representing the department of justice, the american people. he asked the supreme court to actually look then at former president trump's claim that he should be shielded from criminal prosecution for the events after the 2020 election and the justices said no. they decided to wait until oral arguments on april 25th. that's when they heard it. we obviously saw them struggling with some pretty important questions, but now they've already delayed many more weeks that if we get the ruling tomorrow or next week, we are right up against the november election in terms of a possible trial for former president trump because i think just the preparation for any kind of trial is going to take about three months, if not more, jake. so no matter how they rule think the window of opportunity for any kind of prosecution on behalf of the department of justice might be might be doing dwindling jake. >> it's worth noting, of course, that next week marks two years since the supreme court's dobbs decision which overturned roe v. wade. and as the white house bill harris to mark that day, they're also bracing for this emergency room abortion ruling that's right. >> and just think of how much has changed in america since is justices struck down nearly 50 years of constitutional abortion rights. some 14 states have completely banned abortion. several other states have imposed very strict restrictions on people's ability to women's ability to end a pregnancy and we've now even seen debates over in vitro fertilization, all sorts of reproductive rights are now, now, now really in doubt because of that decision. and i think jake, no matter how the justices rule on that federal law, that's intended to ensure emergency room treatment and whether that even applies for potential abortions for a mother's health and emergency situations in states like idaho that ban abortion, that will not be the last word on litigation coming from that 2022 decision to completely eliminate constitutional abortion rights. jiang. all right. cnn's joan biskupic. thanks so much. let's discuss this all with our legal panel. i have with me, elie honig time to pre and brandie harden. elie if the presidential immunity decision ends up being last on the docket. so she said july something's right. july 2 or something. what might the impact be on a potential trial? do you think that's that's it? no trial until after the election. and obviously if trump wins, so get rid of it. i think there's still a chance to get this trial. >> and as joan said, the window is very quickly closing every day that passes, of course, makes a trial less likely before the election. but we're really talking about small change at this point. i mean, whether the decision comes down tomorrow or comes down ten days from now doesn't make that big a difference. here's what to watch though, when the supreme court rules, i think what they're going to do is say, here's the test first-time wherever announcing this, here's the test for presidential immunity. if the court says, here's the test, and trump fails, then it goes back to the trial court and then i think they can squeeze in a trial before the election if they want. but if the court says, here's the new tests and now back to the trial court, you have to decide whether trump meets that test or not, then we're going back up the appeals chain and then there's no trial. >> don't you think that's the second option is what they're gonna do? >> i think the supreme court is basically take a middle position between the two somewhat extreme positions the parties have said that the jack smith says there's basically no immunity that trump team says it's absolute immunity. supreme court's going to come down in the middle. i don't think they are going to get into the facts of this case and apply their newly stated constitutional standard to trump in this case, we solve from the argument that they are operating at 30,000 foot level. they are thinking grand questions of constitutional law. they're not going down to this kind of granular. get your hands dirty question of well, what the stuff trump did falls on the official sayyed are on the private side. i think they're going to announce high arching legal principles and then leave it to the lower courts to sort it all out. >> so brandy, again, oral arguments on april 25th, chief justice of the united states, john roberts said, quote as i read it, it says simply a former president can be prosecuted because he's being prosecuted. why shouldn't we either send it back to the court of appeals or issue an opinion making clear that that's not the law translate that into english for us and when, and how do you think that for foretells what actually is going to happen? so i really just think they're saying, look, if a president is being prosecuted, he can be prosecuted. there is that, that's obviously something that's true but what i really think here is that just like everyone said, they are not going to make a decision. there's going to be new law that they come out with with respect to immunity. and they're just going to send it back to the courts. that's what's really going to happen. and let me say this as a defense attorney, i think there is no chance no possibility of a trial before the election. if i'm now starting a new, i have this file. i've been working on it. there is literally no possibility that i can get through everything and be prepared for a trial. nobody. how many people are on the team in order to be ready before the election. so i think once again, he's going to escape and they're not gonna be any more trials before the election. >> lu have an article coming out in tomorrow in new york magazine on the scenario posed by a see court of appeals judge, which asked quote, could a president who ordered seal team six to assassinate a political rival and who was not impeached, would he be subject to criminal prosecution? the argument being from the trump lawyers at that time during that argument that you have to be impeached before you can be prosecuted. peach impeaching convicted, i think right? you argue it's way oversimplified i think that mobile was the most memorable moment for all the trump arguments, right? >> who could forget it? the answer that dropped donald trump's lawyers gave was outrageous, wrong, reckless and dangerous. the problem is, you have to go beyond that. i am convinced the supreme court is going to reject this theory that anyone can only ever be indicted president if he's first been impeached and then remove, that will never happen. the court's going to say no, that's ridiculous. but we don't, we can't end there because then the court's gonna have to say, well, here's what the standard is, and that's where i think we get into what we've been talking about. so it's not as easy as just saying, of course it can't kill a political rival. of course they're going to reject this one it's taking so long. what's taking so long as they're trying to articulate the standard for the first time in american history. and then they're going to have to have that applied through the trial courts. so it's much more complicated. >> what do you think the standard is going to be? i suspect this court will try to draw some line between official conduct and private conduct. well, does supervising elections counters well, i mean, i think jack smith would have a pretty strong argument to say that the president doesn't really have any formal constitutional role in the election process. that's something that are framers basically delegated to the states, state legislatures, and the light, not the president of the united states. so i think under that test, i think president trump would have a difficult time trying to get out and claim immunity for that that type of conduct. the other thing i want to say is with regard to chief justice roberts quote, i think that actually is fairly significant because as we all know, the chief sits right in the middle of the court. and what he says from the benjamin physically feel scandalous often and so what he questions i interpreted what he said is basically questioning the dc circuit, the lower court's rationale where they rejected any sort of immunity and the chief basically found that reasoning to me circular. so what that tells me is that is exceedingly likely that the supreme court is going to reverse what the lower court said and recognize some sort of immunity. the scope yet to be determined. randi, let's talk about this other case down in florida because the new york times is reporting the two federal judges in florida urged judge aileen cannon to hand and off the classified documents case against donald trump when she first drew the assignment in june 2023. >> but quote, judge cannon, who was appointed by mr. trump, wanted to keep the case and refused the judges in treaties unquote we should note that one of the judges in the story declined to comment to cnn. but what do you make of this reporting, given how long this case this is taken. >> so i think it's probably true that her colleagues have been talking to her about like the heir of impropriety, maybe there's not a smoking gun that she's done something. so incredibly unfair that would make her need to recuse herself. but why create a situation where someone can argue that she's tainted. she should hand the case she should allow another judge to handle it. and i think that that's what makes all this speculation seems so true that maybe she is showing favoritism to mr. trump and that's the same argument you are making about judge merchan because he gave $35 to democrats 15 to biden and while i mean, why even have the stink of it? yeah. there's recusal does not mean the case goes away. your point recusal means it goes to a judge whom there's no questions about by the way, if 999 out of 1,000 federal judges, if another federal judge came up and said, hey, i think this case may be above your head would say, thanks for the advice. i think i'll keep it right. so she's definitely not going to let go of it because a couple of more senior judges said, you may not be up to the tavia. that's right. i mean, you're colleagues telling you to do something when you're an article three, judge, is not going to make you do it. but what i'm saying is that it's such a historic case. there is no reason to have the stench of somebody arguing that it's somehow unfair well, it telling one judge, one federal judge telling another judge, you should recuse because you're not up for the case though that is number one, extraordinary. number to someone in an inappropriate, frankly. i mean, if the reason why can and should have given up the case and we've seen him from reporting maybe because there wasn't a secure confidential information facility located in our courthouse that's different. but if the rationale for stepping aside was well, you're young, you're new, you don't know what you're doing. give it to one of the older judges. i don't know. that's questionable in my mind. yeah. my impression is it judge or judges tend to have rather healthy ego especially doesn't life tenure yeah, for sure. >> not going to tell me what you all for being here the trial of a los angeles it's ballerinas now underway in russia, howard donation to charity led to her facing up to 20 years in prison, plus the violent confrontation at sea. kohn and video, one that experts say raises the risk of us being pulled into yet another global conflict. >> the most anticipated moment of this election and the stakes couldn't be higher. the president and the former president, one stage two very different visions for 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your way? get it with gurus. >> i'm pete mundane at reagan national airport this is cnn close captioning bronchi. you by meso book book.com her firm. only represents mesothelioma victims and their families. if you or a loved one who has been diagnosed with ms ophelie oma call us now in our worldly at a 30 three-year-old russian russian-american ballerina who was detained in russia and accused of committing treason for donating $50 to a ukrainian charity, appeared in a russian court today, sandi, carolina, who lives in los angeles after immigrating to the united states more than a decade ago, was detained earlier this year while visiting her grandparents and russia. >> cnn's matthew chance joins us now from moscow. matthew, what happened in court today well, the colts at date was put back until august the seventh, where that trial will resume. >> but cosine karenina is facing extremely serious charges. these are treason charges and they're based on the allegation. i don't know whether it's a fact or not that she donated. i think it was $51 to a us based charity which did humanitarian work inside ukraine in its, it's because of that because she's a joule national as well. she's a us citizen. she's also russians but when she came back here earlier this year visiting our grandparents in the city of your catherine berg, which is about 1,000 miles or so for moscow, she was detained. she was accused of treason and is facing a very set was facing a life sentence maximum prison sentence if he's found guilty of that charge because the kremlin has recently increase the penalty for treason. and i think it just goes to show jake how heavily the kremlin is cracking down on any perception of dissent with amongst its own people passing down sentences like this targeting individuals like this, partly because of what she did. but i think can't rule that the idea that she was partly targeted as well because of that jewel american passport there are a number of americans detained in russia right