Today on this special labor day edition of inside politics. Tries to earn his nickname. Joe biden spends labor day in philadelphia making the case to the union Rank And File he is still their man in washington and deserves another it turn in the white house. A 2024 snapshot makes clear the republican primary is Donald Trumps to lose, but are the four criminal indictments a sugar high, putting the former president on a course crash. A mess of their own making. Reporting from cnns Capitol Hill Team underline the Mountain Congress needs to climb and climb quickly to avoid a shutdown. Im manu raju in for dana bash. Behind the headlines and inside politics. Joe biden this labor day who hes talking to and what it tells us about 2024. The current president s team sees shaky ground. Mr. Biden is in philadelphia home turf, the audience is what we would think of as reliably blue voters, union workers. But how organized the labor vote is behind the incumbent is simply not a lock. Polling and just talking to workers on the Assembly Lines leaves doubt that they will make the choice to give the president four more years. We start here In The City Of Brotherly Love with cnns ar let sa arlette saenz. Reporter President Biden once again touted himself as the most prounion president as he tried to rally workers here ahead of a labor day parade. President biden really trying to lean in to the, quote, bidenomics hes been promoting, trying to make his case to American Voters that the policies he has put in place are starting to pay off with the economy, when it comes to the unemployment rate, the number of jobs created, and other measures as well. President biden in a speech today notably took quite a few swipes at his predecessor, former President Donald Trump. He never named him by name, but he did try to make a contrast with him when it comes to the economy. Take a listen. When last guy was here, you were Shipping Jobs to china. Now were a bringing jobs home from china. [ applause ] when the last guy was here, pensions were at risk. We helped Save Millions of pensions for you at home. When the last guy was here he looked at the world from park avenue. I look at it from scranton , pennsylvania. Reporter the president promoted the fact that he was able to get an Infrastructure Bill passed when President Trump was not, and took a ding at him, saying as a real estate builder he never built anything. What President Biden is trying to do here is trying to make his selling points when it comes to the economy, at a time when there is still a lot of anxiety amongst voters when it comes to economic issues. The president s polling is around 37 Approval Rating when it comes to his handling of the economy, specifically, and the president , while he enjoys a lot of support from the labor community, multiple endorsements from labor groups, hes trying to hone in on the Rank And File workers and trying to make sure that he has their support. The president is making that case today here in the state of pennsylvania, a key Battleground State that helped him beat donald trump back in 2020 and he would need to go into his column to win reelection in 2024. All right. Arlette saenz from philadelphia. Thank you for that. Here to share their insights cnns kayla tausche, elaina train and Tia Mitchell A correspondent for the Atlanta Journal constitution. Interesting what we heard from President Biden trying to make the contrast with donald trump. We have not heard him say a whole lot about donald trump, but, you know, we are now getting past labor day, traditionally the beginning of the campaign season. What do you make of the of this, perhaps, shift from the president to go more directly after donald trump . I think it directly reflects where the polling is right now. I mean, theres recent polling out in the last few days showing that voters overwhelmingly say that donald trump is better for the economy and he has a better vision for the future. I believe he has an eightpoint spread over the current president on that front. President biden is trying to double down on his message, on his platform, on his policies, saying that, you know, this administration and what weve done is going to be good for the future. The question is whether and when the voters will buy that, especially with the backdrop he has today. For months the president has been touting that all of these unions support him, support his administration. Hes been calling himself the most prounion president in history, but it comes at a time when weve seen just a dramatic increase in unrest among organized labor, threatening threats of strikes in so many different industries, wages have stalled, the rate is too high, and they want their unions to answer for that. Were still uncertain how this the economy is always central to every single campaign, how biden is judged on the economy. The numbers have not been great, but his Commerce Secretary was out on the sunday shows yesterday trying to make the case joe biden deserves credit. I think the president has done a fantastic job on the economy. When i look at this jobs report, increased manufacturing jobs, increased investment, more resilient supply chains, americans are working, wages are up, i just feel that its clear that bidenomics is working for the American People. While the challenges to the American People buy that. This is what Wall Street Journal poll said about whether or not they believe that biden is doing a good job here. 37 , thats it, approve of the president S Performance and the economy. 59 disapprove. Look at inflation and rising costs. Even as inflation subsided and things are looking more positive on the job front, 34 approve of his Job Performance on inflation. 48 disapprove. Those are troubling numbers for the white house. They are. I think the thing that i find really interesting is, as much as the Biden Administration is trying to lean into the economy and make this a leading part of his campaign, if you talk to House Republicans and people in congress they see the economy as one of their best messages and how they argue biden is mishandling it. We know the economy is something republicans, inflation, talking about gas prices, is something that they increasingly still believe is a priority for them in the election, and i think its a tough bet for biden to make and well have to see. Theres a lot of time between now and the General Election and a lot can change with that, but i to think its interesting to see how theyre trying to make this argument for themselves, whereas republicans see it as one of their best arguments biden not doing a good job. Biden we heard the contrast, we talked about it with trump and this is another really interesting number, the white house needs to Pay Attention to in this reelection bid about Biden Versus Trump and who has a strong record of accomplishment. Just 40 say biden does. 51 believe that donald trump has. Even if you look just objectively on what was passed in the last Congress Versus what was passed in the first two years of under donald trump, republican controlled, less legislation was passed, passed a big tax cut bill a number of bills were passed in the last congress, whether it was infrastructure or gun violence, you name it, but still, the American People believe that donald trump did more, at least according to this poll. Yes. I think the Biden Administration thinks they have a Messaging Problem which is why theyre out there trying to tout his accomplishment, talking about bidenomics, Dispatching Members of his cabinet and other surrogates. What polls show, its not just messaging, its what people feel. I also think its going to take some time, the infrastructure money, some of the Inflation Reduction Act money, the green energy programs, are going to take time and so i think theyre not going to have as much shortterm benefit as they would like. Thats always a problem. Big bills, the Inflation Reduction Act, massive bill, so much in it, going to take years to play out. Well see how people view it in a few years. We saw this with obama care. Many years for voters who didnt like it initially to say they did like it. Kayla, you cover the white house and how President Biden tries to talk about his prounion bona fides. This has how he has been messaging this over his time in office. I made a commitment that i would be the most prounion president in american history. Im keeping that promise. Union workers are the saviors. Youre the best. Not a joke. Youre the best in the world. Wall street didnt build america. The middle class built america, and unions built the middle class. Laborers, electricians, cement workers, iron workers, communication workers, auto workers and so much more. Products made in america with union labor, not labor, union labor. Again, the numbers show the challenge ahead. Just look at exit poll data over the last number of election cycles, you see a decreasing share from, you know, the high point back in the 70s to 2016 in terms of vote for the president among Union Households around 50 in 2016, closer to 60 in the 2020 election, but republican number has been rising as well, so you know, the Union Leadership may be behind the president Rank And FileBlue Collar Workers is a challenge. The challenge is very difficult on the ground, and i think that one of the things that the former President Donald Trump did fairly well with the Union Membership was just talking about the threats from overseas, the threats to their jobs specifically, and what he was going to do specifically to attack, for instance, china. What President Biden has done has tackled more of the domestic issues, about, you know, how the economy is working, theyre tweak something regulations, so that, for instance, employees can get paid more for overtime when theyre working more hours in a week. That was a rule that they changed just a week ago, and theyve been talking quite a bit about that in recent days. The problem is that, you know, the brass tacts for these people is difficult because things are more expensive. When gas prices are approaching 4 a gallon, grocery are still much more expensive than three years ago, even though inflation has tapered, thats difficult for people on a daily basis and that is carried with them when they go to the voting booth. Look, were outlining what the white house recognizes clearly here is their challenge explaining why he gave the speech he did here in philadelphia. I assume that will be more of the message in the weeks and months ahead. 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Get ongoing advice; and manage your investments in the chase mobile app. Conquer financial reports. Conquer 2000word essays. Conquer 300 thankyou notes. Rule over what you write with the smooth writing, longest lasting gel ink pen in america. Do you g2 . A poll at the end of summer 2023 does not guarantee anything in 2024. Its hard to see how donald trump is not very, very happy this morning. New numbers from the Wall Street Journal cements the former president s standing at the top of the field. Trump 59 . His closest competitor ron desantis sits 46 points behind. Now more here with our panel. Elaina, youve spent a lot of time outside of the former President S House in bedminster, new jersey, talking with teams, you look at the numbers here, just to show our viewers again. Trump versus desantis. Back in april, the was a little bit closer, 48 to 24, trump was up. Now trump is 59 to 13 just 4 are undecided. Under the national poll, theres still time left, but do the rest of the candidates in the field worry that this race is might be over . I think their definitely is concern about this, especially given there was so many question marks around how the charges and indictments donald trump would face would affect him. Weeks later if youre thinking about georgia, hes still very much enjoying that boost from these charges and youre seeing that, and youre right, Donald Trumps team is happy. Weve seen them blasting out these Wall Street Journal poll numbers today. Yes, i do think a lot of the candidates are worried about this. We had some reporting last week about the Desantis Campaign as well as the never back down pact boosting Him Vocalizing that they need to do really well in the early primary states in order to stay in the race, and we know a lot of these candidates, the other candidates who are lagging far behind, not just desantis but tim scott, nikki haley, chris christie, all are having to shift their strategy to focus on iowa, new hampshire, south carolina, make sure that they do well in them. If they dont, i think many people will argue that this is Donald Trumps nomination to win. Weve been saying this a lot, this has been an unprecedented year. Never seen a former president charged once, never seen a former president charged four times and does not have any impact on him and in this race, especially in the aftermath of the 2020 elections. Just look for this number from the poll about his actions, peddling falsehoods saying the election was stolen, hes been charged twice in a state case and federal case involving his actions after the election. Trumps actions, 78 of gop Primary Voters believe Donald Trumps actions after the 2020 elections were legitimate. 78 say legitimate. Just 16 say illegal. Therein lies the challenge for his challengers. They are not talking about Donald Trumps actions because they dont think it will work politically. Right. Theyre probably right. I think the bigger challenge is that some of Donald Trumps opponents are thinking about the General Election and where the trials, the indictments could hurt him in a matchup against joe biden. But the reality is, donald trump has reshaped the Republican Party in his own image. He has convinced republicans that a attacks on him are attacks on them, and he has convinced more than a majority of the Republican Party that his question of the 2020 election and his questions about the integrity of the election system, are true, theyre legitimate. We know its not, but hes convinced them otherwise. So they know if they challenge trump on these issues, it may not play well. It likely wont play well in a republican primary talking to fellow republicans. Good question