Transcripts For CNN The California Recall Special Election Coverage 20240709

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Newsom should be recalled, removed as governor of california. If no wins that, then newsom remains in office and will hold on the seat for democrats and dodge a huge defeat in Deep Blue california. If yes wins, then newsom is gone. Hes removed from office delivering a major victory to republicans behind the recall drive, and the second question on the ballot asks who should replace newsom if recalled. A whopping 46 candidates are on that ballot, including republicans. Larry elder emerged as the top. The firsttime candidate supported former President Trump and is borrowing from his playbook. For instance, making baseless claims of Election Fraud before one vote has been counted. Other prominent republican candidates including former Olympian And Reality Tv Star Caitlyn jenner and former nominee John Cox and San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulkner and kevin kylie. There are some democrats on the ballot, as well with you Tube Personality Kevin considered the leader of the democrats. Top democrats supporting Governor Newsom. President biden and harris stumped with him on the closing days of the campaign warning this election has national consequences and it does. We have correspondents in Newsom Headquarters as we track the votes being cast today and millions of ballots already cast by mail during early voting. First, lets go to Kyung Lah covering Governor Newsom. Kyung . Reporter jake, the message were getting from Team N Uewso is confidence. The team is feeling confident and a top advisor is telling me quote, The Blue Tide keeps rising. What is he talking about . Hes talking about turnout. The campaign is seeing strong turnout across this state, and the anticipation is that they may indeed set a record when it comes to percentages. What am i talking about . In 2003, the last recall a Record Set at 61 , 61 turnout. Now, this year, there are obviously more registered voters, so well have to sort the mat at th at The End of the night. When this turnout means is good news for Team Newsom because democrats out number republicans 21. The more people who vote, the better the numbers for Governor N Newsom and one last thing, pushing the governor over the Finish Line is that lastminute appearance by president biden, jake . Kyung lah, lets go to Stepahnie Elam in Orange County that could be key in this recall. Stephanie. Youre right. Part of the reason is what you see here. You see this long line of people. Its only gotten longer as people finished their workday and only getting longer. You have a lot of republican voters here and many of the people i spoke to said they want to make sure their vote was counted and theyre showing up to do this in person. We talked to people who said they think newsom has done an awful job and want him out of office and one woman said this is a giant waste of time because they have an election next year for the Governors Office and another person who just said overall, she thinks this is a good idea because this will make sure our elected leaders are held accountable. This line is now wrapping around the block. They will come through here just to show you what will happen here. These folks are standing in line to make it inside and based on what we seen before, its about an hour long and go in here to the library. They go inside. They get their ballot. They go to a kiosk and fill it out and then, just by themselves, they scan it in. There is someone there to show them how to do it so theyre scanning in their individual ballots themselves but as you can see here, there is a lot of activity in Orange County and obviously, republicans hope this will break their way in a county that has traditionally gone for republicans but not always has the demographics changed in Orange County, jake. Orange county could be key to results. Lets go to Pamela Brown tracking the ballots. Pamela, what are you looking for tonight . Jake, The Big Question in the California Recall Election is who is going to vote . The democrats who out number republicans 21 will turn out to keep Governor Gavin Newsom in office for the remainder of his first term. Keep in mind all active registered voters in california receive the ballots in the mail and all counties kept one or more early voting locations open at least since last saturday. So as of monday, more than 9. 1 million californians had cast their ballots but look at this comparison right here. That is about 3 Million less than the number of preelection votes cast just before the 2020 president ial election. What is the Voter Breakdown so far . Majority democrats are more likely to vote by mail. And look at this breakdown. Nearly identical to the breakdown of preElection Day voters just before the November 2020 president ial election. Jake . All right. Pamela, thanks so much. Lets go to John King at the Magic Wall now and john, what is Governor Newso Ms path . Keep him as blue. Hes a democratic governor. If the counties say no we want a recall, they will fill in no. California is an overwhelmingly democratic state. Lets go back to 2018. This is when Gavin Newsom was elected governor. He got 62 of the vote. What Gavin Newsom needs, forget the numbers and percentages. He needs for the map to look something like this because if it looks close to this, he will not be recalled and get to finish his term. You see a lot of red. Remember the president ial election, some states Joe Biden carried, not a lot of people live in the northern part of the state. 58 counties in california. You come down and start to shrink these countcounties. The population, what has to happen . If the Map Fills in like this, Gavin Newsom is continuing as governor because of all these Red Counties, only two are in the top ten. This is the nations most populous state. One is here. Well watch riverside county. Its the fourth or fifth largest. You watch the one red on this map that was not red in the president ial election as you come up here and its fresno county, the central Valley Part of the state. Covid disruption and signatures to get the recall on the ballot came from here. Even here, this was pretty close. Right . Its pretty close. If its pretty close tonight even if its red, Gavin Newsom is fine. The people live in the bigger counties here, Los Angeles the number one. Big test for democrats. The Newsom Campaign is encouraged they are coming out. Well leave that here. This is where you talk to stephanie, yes, yes, this used to be the bedrock of the california republican party Orange County, ronald reagan, the home of the party in those days. Look. Its 50 50. If you come back to the president ial race, it was even more so in Orange County. If there is to be a revolt tonight, just about every republican in california has to come out and vote no. A lot of democrats in a state overwhelmingly democratic, not only do all these republicans have to vote but democrats a combination of staying home or coming out to vote no, there is no evidence of that but were going to get to count votes soon. Not saying its the same thing but there was a recall in 2003 and a democratic governor was replaced by a republican. It can happen even in true blue california. It can happen. One point, one point since then, let me show this since you asked the question. Even since then, the percentage, this is back then, that was back there 18 years ago. Since then, the percentage of republicans has dropped. So what the republicans need essentially is not only fewer republicans. So back here, Arnold Schwarzenegger had a lot of republicans but youre right. They needed democratic help and independent help and got it. They need for it to happen this time and need more of a Reas A result revolt. Were getting an early read on what voters are thinking from our Exit Polls and there is much more of our special coverage ahead. Well be right back. Age before beauty . Why not both . Visibly diminish wrinkled skin in. Crepe corrector lotion. Only from Gold Bond. Today lets paint with new Behr Dynasty™. So that you can be proud of your walls. Wheres your furniture . Oh we thought it distracted from the new Behr Dynasty paint color. Let me take your coats. Because Behr Dynasty only takes. One. Coat. Behr dynasty. Go ahead, throw your wine on it. What . Stain repellent. Its also scuff resistant. Youre paying for that introducing Behr Dynasty™, the best of behr. Exclusively at the home depot. Fine, No One leaves the table until your finished. Fine, well sleep here. Its the easiest because its the cheesiest. Kraft. For the win win. Welcome back. California voters are making a big Decision Tonight whether to boot democratic Governor Gavin Newsom from office or keep him around. Were expecting results at the top of the hour when Polling Places close across the golden state. Were getting an early read what California Voters are thinking as they cast their ballots. David is tracking our Exit Polls and david, what are you learning . Were taking a look at some key political dynamics. You were talking with John King about the democratic nature of the state of california. That is certainly true. You talked about the Registration Statistics but what matters, of course, is the E Electret that shows up. 43 of the voters identify as democrat. 31 independent. 26 republican. Not quite the 21 advantage that exists in registration. This is what we mean when we say it comes down to turnout. Take a look at the president s approval rating. You saw him come in at The End of this campaign. Here is why. 56 of California Voters in this recall approve of the job Joe Biden is doing. That is better as you would suspect in california than he performs nationally with his job approval rating, again, getting at the democratic advantage that republicans have to overcome tonight. Also, just views of each party, what are your views of the democratic party, views of the republican party in this Electret Tonight . According to the early numbers and these will shift throughout the night, jake, 52 of voters in the recall have a favorable view of the democratic party compared to 43 who have an Unfavorable View. Look how people think about the republican party in terms of the Voters Today in this recall. Only 32 of voters in hrecall have a favorable view. Nearly twothirds have an Unfavorable View of the republican party. These are the political dynamics at play and i think it gets at the steep mountain to climb as you noted, republicans were able to do so in 2003 but this is a steep mountain to climb for republicans. Dana Bash And Nia Mallika Henderson and kasie hunt. Dana, what are you looking for tonight . Is it just turnout in the big cities or looking to see how many conservatives turn out in the Red Counties . All of the above, but what david just showed us was so fascinating when it comes to the california electret. It may be a telltale sign where you see a change of demographics. The republican forty and ill Give Credit to Terrance Burly is the Third Party in california. Its the democrats and then its the unaffiliated independents and then its the republicans and it was a decline from the last recall in 2003 but it just shows how changes can affect things, and it also is a reminder of why Gavin Newsom had president biden, the Vice President and key senators because this is all about making the democrats who are the vast majority of thE Electret in california anxious and worried enough to get out and actually vote, to counter the anger that is very real and very palpable for people in california to counter the anger for all of the reasons we know about and it seems as though, it was the steepest of hills to climb. In the anger initially around this recall was over covid and his handling of Covid Covid restrictions, right . Bpeople thought he was going too far dinner at the french laundry. Clouting the rules personally. This is how it gained steam and the Delta Variant came along and things changed All Of A Sudden and Larry Elder emerged. That is interesting to me. This, again, as was 2020, this seems to be a covid election and what was really interesting, it came at a time, delta came along and had the sort of foil that Ron Desantis was, i think, for this election. Thats huge. Somebody like Greg Abbott in texas. You saw california do pretty well in terms of Vaccine Mandates and mask mandates. Things that were very popular among the constituents there because it allowed them to get back to normal but also stay safe, a situation thats vastly different in places like florida and texas. Just to pull the lens out and think about what this means in context. I have to say and ive been talking to both republicans and democrats and theyre sort of reading from the same page, which is that this should not have been as hard as it actually was for newsom in the middle of the summer. He was coasting along and they have polls that show in a State David showed us the numbers in a state thats overwhelmingly democratic, he had real issues and they actually did have to engage. They had to start painting Larry Elder as a Trump Candidate to galvanize democrats to get out and vote because they were scared. And on that point as you note, the polls were narcotic ro narrower in the summer and democratic consultants said the best thing that happened to Gavin Newsom is Larry Elder shot up in the polls because that enabled him and instead you might remember a few months ago, he was criticizing President Trump and criticizing the recall people and now All Of A Sudden, you and i heard Joe Biden say dont compare me to the all mighty, compare me to the alternative. At The End of the day, what elections are about and the fact that newsom had to do that because there was somebody threatening him enough in the early polling tells you there was a real risk. It also shows you a blueprint for both democrats and republicans in the midterm elections. Larry elder is a conservative Talk Radio Host wellknown among the republican base in california. He has a long Track Record of staying really controversial things and so it was pretty easy for the new Ssom Campaign to sa hey, you should be scared of this guy. If you look at the swing districts, dana, you covered so many midterm elections and democrats are worried about hanging onto the house, theyre likely to lose it. If they are running against an anonymous republican, there are questions whether democrats can govern in california. Look at Covid And Homelessness and other issues. The way the Newsom Advisor described to me preLarry Elder, prethe foils he had governors in texas and florida and covid, he was punching the air. Gavin newsom was punching the air. There was nothing for him to grab on to. Then he had somebody elder Larry Elder and Others P Persona fied what could be. As it was about elder, it was also about trump this idea, the best quote from this was from Gavin Newsom saying listen, Trump Isnt on the ballot but Trump Isnt is. Were nearing a critical hour in the California Recall when the polls close and first votes come in. The special coverage continues after this quick break. Stay with us. Thats a nice truck. Yeah, its the Chevy Silverado. Check out this multiflex tailgate. Multiflex, huh . Wow. It becomes a step. Mom, dads flexing again. Thats not all. You can extend the bed for longer stuff. Is he still. Still flexing. Thats right and, it becomes a workspace. You can put your laptop here. Im sending an imaginay email. Hey dad, dinner hey look who stopped by daddys office. Wait, you work here . The Chevy Silverado with the available multiflex tailgate. Find new flexibility. Find new roads. Chevrolet. My father was an Allstate Agent for 17 years. And ive been with allstate for 13. Weve seen a lot. 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Polling places close at the top of the hour in this consequential Recall Election. The first question on the ballot is the key one asking if Governor Newsom should be recalled. Newsom is counting on the no votes to win but if a majority of Californians Vote yes, he will be removed as governor and replaced and in that case, question two kicks in. They are choosing among 46 candidates to take his job if he is ousted. Were getting a new read of the thinking inside the Newsom Campaign. Lets go to Los Angeles. What are you hearing from the democrats about Latino Turnout Today . Reporter so obviously, jake, this is a huge concern for democrats as recently as a week ago they would see an under performance among latino voters and that community has been hit the hardest by covid19. There are some signs strategists were telling me today that has begun to turn around and if that trend holds like were seeing in the Exit Polls where they are a Descent Share of thE Electret, they think the Turning Point will be the fact that the governor really ramped up his out reach to that mcommunity an began talking about elders statements on immigration and Xenophobia Rhetoric and saying this is a sign those voters are coming back to News Om but sayig dont take us for granted. Very interesting. There is obviously a very different view from the campaign of the top Republican Challenger for newso ms job. Lucy is at elders Campaign Headquarters. What are you hearing from Team Elder . Reporter jake, the Elder Campaign is describing this as a victory party. We know Larry Elder is in the hotel at the hilton watching the returns ask doing Radio Interview hits. We understand that the Newsom Camp is suggesting they are not seeing day of republican turnout. A surge in that, which is Something Elder would need to overcome the early Return Lead but a senior aide to the Elder Campaign is disputing that characterization. He they that aide is saying they are confident that they will see an in person voter turnout. They would not discuss the campaigns internal targets but said we havent had a Recall Election in 18 years. What everyone is modelling is off. We understand the campaign is expecting to see, theyre counting on independents turning out for Larry Elder and while they do expect the numbers to show higher for Gavin Newsom initially buecause of the Mail N ballots, we know republican voters say they will be voting in person and so they expect a surge once the in person numbers are in. Jake . Lucy at elder Campaign Headquarters where the band is tuning up, i guess. Were closing in on The End of the voting in the California Recall and the first results on the fate of Governor Gavin Newsom and we have breaking news on the top u. S. General secret action to try to keep nuclear weapons safe from then President Trump. Thats all ahead. Stay with us. Ive always dreamed of seeing the world. But im not chasing my dream anymore. I made a financial plan to live it every day. Find a Northwestern Mutual advisor at nm. Com [swords clashing] had enough . No. Arthritis. Here. New aspercreme arthritis. Full prescriptionstrength . Reduces inflammation . Thank the gods. Dont thank them too soon. Kick pain in the aspercreme. As we await the results of the California Recall. We have breaking news, chilling revelations about the top u. S. Generals response to the parol posed. After the January 6th insurrection, general mark milley, the Chair Machine of the Joint Chiefs Of Staff took secret action to potentially limit then President Trumps ability to order a nuclear strike or other military strike. He feared that the commander in chief was erratic and potentially would go rogue. This is one of the headlines from the new book peril. Cnn special Consrespsq Corret Jamie gangel got a copy of the book. Hes concerned about trump. Its two days after January 6th and these were precautions. He was trying to make sure the Guard Rails are in place, but it is an extraordinary meeting. He calls in the generals and the colonels that run the Pentagon War Room and says to them, according to the Book Quote if you get calls no matter who theyre from, there is a process here. There is a procedure. No matter what youre told, you do the procedure. You do the process, and im part of that procedure. He wanted to make sure there were no dangerous or illegal orders. Hes looking at donald trump. Hes worried about January 6th. And he also knows that the chinese have been rattled by trumps behavior, and by his failure to concede, and he is making sure every precaution is in place. And in the book, it speculates that this news might prompt some individuals to criticize milley for saying, for suggesting that Milley Over stepped his authority and doing something he doesnt have the right to do. Correct. Some people may but. Marco rubio called for his resignation, i think. I think there will be politics involved here and i dont think Marco Rubio read the book yet. I suggest people read the book and look at it in context. It is true that he is not as chairman of the joint chiefs in the Chain Of Command however he is the most senior military official. He is the adviser to the president. He has tremendous authority and what he was doing here was making sure the Guard Rails were up, that there wasnt some kind of accident. One senior republican source said to me tonight, quote, No One should be criticizing milley. They all knew trump was bonkers. Thats a quote. Milley stood up and took precautions to make sure nothing dangerous or illegal happened. He was just making sure the procedures and processes were followed. We should note, this came after a conversation that general milley had with Speaker Pelosi where milley said there are Guard Rails. Guard rails, look what happened with the riot on the capitol. Nobody was stopping President Trump from doing that and thats what prompted milley to do this. 100 . He knew china was rattled. He knew what he had seen on January 6th, but he had also now been through months, years of trumps explosive behavior, and Woodward And Costa write they were worried trump was after the election suffering serious mental decline and that he was unpredictable and unstable. The book also talks about then Vice President Mike Pence reaching out for advice on what to do in the House Of Representatives on January 6th. Trump was suggesting that he had some sort of Magic Power to overturn the election, which he does not have. What does it say, the book . So what the book recounts is a rather striking scene between Mike Pence and he reaches out to former Vice President Dan Quail. Dan quail. Dan quail. George w. Bushs Vice President. Right, also from indiana and what is striking is that over and over Mike Pence appears to be looking for a way to help trump. We know that he got to the right place on the 6th. It may be because of Dan Quail and this conversation in the Book Quote, quail says to Mike Pence, mike, you have no flexibility on this, none, zero, forget it. Put it away. Pence comes back, you dont know the position im in, quail cuts him off. I do know the position youre in. I know what the law is. You listen to the parliamentarian, thats all you do. You have no power. The wise words of former Vice President Dan Quail. Stick to the constitution and he did. Jamie gangel. Thank you. The polls close in california very soon. Stay with us for the very first votes that will indicate whether or not Governor Newsom stays or goes. 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David axelrod, what do you anticipate for tonight . Well, look, everything is pointed to the governor surviving and if he does, it will be for three reasons. They really followed a textbook, which is one, when youre in trouble, dont let it become a referendum on you, make it a choice. The second was to make it a partisan fight in a state where you have an overwhelming democratic edge and the third is, define the choice. Define the stakes. And Larry Elder gave them a good target for that and covid became the backdrop for it, if you elect this guy, hes going to rollback all these protections, the mask mandates, the Vaccine Requirements and were going to be like florida. Were going to be like texas, and then the Over Lay is trump as part of this. So its a formula and it took them from a close race in polling to a big lead. Well see if that lead holds up tonight. Thats when you were involved in the 2003 recall and became the Deputy Chief of staff for governor schwarzenegger. Obviously, this is a different recall than 2003. There is no Arnold Schwarzenegger for one. The state is democrat over republican in the last 18 years is 31. It become out of reach for republicans. To have a chance to win in a state like this, you need to follow the playbook of republicans in blue states like Larry Hogan of maryland. Larry elder is maybe the maybe that type of republican so hes played well to the Small Hardy Band of republican base but its going to be completely insufficient in a blue state like this. There was a lot of unhappiness with newsom the way he handled the pandemic. They felt it was too Big Brother and too many restrictions, Et Cetera, Et Cetera and then came the Delta Variant and life changed and people were worried about being safe. As we look at results tonight, if we get results tonight. Well have a question about how the public feels in a way, and again, california is a different state about embracing these mandates. You do have two governors races coming up in New Jersey and virginia. Both governors are very strongly promandate. They are looking at what happens in California Tonight to see how that goes. I think there is a danger of over interpreting a number of things. Assuming that gavin does well, you could underestimate the amount of Misery And Frustration at the base for both parties in california because right now you want Larry Elder or not . There are big, big problems baked into the state. You have wildfires, droughts, a pandemic, a lot of discontent. There is no place to go. You cant go with Larry Elder. You can underestimate the amount of pain at the base and over estimate the amount of enthusiasm for the mandates with regard to mask and with regard to vaccines. Liberals and progressives assume everyone agrees with us that its not just right wingers that have concerns about these mandates. You also have a bunch of people of color who are still vaccine hesitant. Its going to be important, i think, that we dont get out over our skis and over interpret but well say with regard to Gavin Newsom, this guy, his future is on the line today. If he does get beat, hes Gray Davis. Gray davis is likely a forgotten man now in california politics because he was recalled in favor of schwarzenegger. But if he wins, hes Scott Walker. Scott walker had to fight off a major Recall Effort in wisconsin, did it and then he went on to become a viable president ial candidate. Im not sure he wants to be the new Scott Walker in terms of becoming a national figure. Does the Margin Matter . I think so. We should point out Gray Davis lost to Arnold Schwarzenegger that would be different than losing to Larry Elder. What are the Ripple Effects . I think to look where the margin should be. California has been a 6238 D Versus R state in the last two elections. Thats how much newsom won by and biden Beat Trump by. So anything less than that 20 to 22 Points Tonight means hes under performing really what the baseline should be. So youre saying if he gets less than a 20point Margin it are you over stating that . If the recall doesnt go down by 20 points, then newsom has under performed really what democrats should be doing. So to your point, van, there are these underlying problems that are so frustrating to a lot of californians. I think thats right. I see it slightly differently only in that this is an off year, off month, off the Wa Wall Election so republicans are enthusiastic. The democrats just got into gear the past couple weeks. Well take a quick break. Were closing in on results for the Governor Recall of Gavin Newsom. More ahead. Oh we thought it distracted from the new Behr Dynasty paint color. Let me take your coats. Because Behr Dynasty only takes. One. Coat. Behr dynasty. Go ahead, throw your wine on it. What . Stain repellent. Its also scuff resistant. 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If not, his Party Will embarrassing an embarrassing defeat. If yes wins, newsom will be removed. That hands a big win to republicans who fought to oust him. The second question on the ballot asks voters to choose if newsom is removed, who with . There are 46 candidates vying to replace newsom. The top of the polls, Larry Elder. A conservative Talk Radio Host, Trump Supporter and he is known for generating controversy. As we count down to the top. Hour, lets go to our correspondents on the ground. First to Los Angeles, what are you hearing from the Newsom Camp about their Ground Game Today . Reporter one reason newsom people are so optimistic, they finally got a date and could tell voters what they would need to do with that date. When i spoke to the head of the Ground Game a short while ago, she said that theyve had real conversations now with about 1. 5 million voters over that tiny short period of time. Is he thats very unusual in a State Campaign where normally it just plays out on the airwaves. All right. Thank you. Lets go to Josh Campbell now in san francisco. How are local officials prerps to keep the votes secure as they count the ballots . Yeah, despite this barrage of Conspiracy Theories that weve heard, officials have been working for months to prepare for the security and the integrity of election. Officials tell us for example, the by Mail And Inperson voting, it all has extensive tracking logs. A paper trail. So from the scanning to the tabulation to what comes after, all of that has data that surrounds it. Were told after Election Day, a manual count is actually done to ensure that the records posted on Election Day and shortly there after match what happened to the ballots. Were told, jake, what we will see here shortly, sheriffs deputies escort all the ballots from the 580 locations where the votes were cast In The City to this location. Unheavy security to ensure the integrity of the ballots. Pamela, when we get the first votes, where are they going to come from . Well, all eyes are on california, polls are just minutes away from closing in the special Recall Election of the democratic Governor Newsom. We expect to see our first reports of free election votes, surely. Lets just look at roughly what we expect to see from the three largest counties in the state. Well start with l. A. Los angeles county. We expect about 1. 9 million votes. You go to San Diego county, were expecting 850,000 votes there. And then in Orange County, they are about 800,000. These first results will give as you look at how well democrats did in pre election voting. How fast will results come in . Lets look at the November 2020 election right now. By Midnight Eastern on election, 56 of california votes were counted. By noon on wednesday, 68 of votes were counted. So in the next few hours, we should see a lot. Vote. If its close, it could take some time to know results. All right. Thank you. Im here now with John King at the Magic Wall. Walk us through what to expect in the next hour . Number one, the great thing about to happen is we get to count votes. We gotett put to the test all the campaign are saying. The Newsom Campaign says the Participation Machine is off the charts. Well get on test that. Ill show you where in a second. And the republicans say just wait. Dont jump ahead. Well put that to the test. As you know, this is a quirky recall. Keep newsom, recall newsom. Thats the biggest question. On if yes wins does the second question matter. We will get to see what happens. But they dont matter unless yes is in play. Right . Well get to see. Who of the 46 candidates, the top six or so. It only matters if back on question one. Back on question one. If yes is in play, as we start to count votes. Pam brown made a very important point. We lived through this in november. Democrats have he said theed to vote disproportionately by mailin ballots. You may see no jump out to the lead but it may or may not hold. Lets use the 2018 map. It underscores those who want red. Red tonight will be yes on the recall. For the map to be red, the math is just overwhelmingly against republicans and democrats and independents who have moved away in california. What do we look at . She just said the Newsom Campaign thinks its turning out democrats. Well, Los Angeles is 26 of the statewide population. The largest by far of the counties. If democrats are turning out, well get evidence right here. Gavin newsom before he was governor, he was mayor in san francisco. In alameda county, thats oakland. Let me pull this out. San francisco. Look at these percentages. 80 in the governors race. If democrats are turning out, if the Newsom Campaign is turning out, we will see it here. We will find out not only if democrat are turning out in high numbers. What percentage of democrats, what evidence do we get that some democrats defecting . How big is that . For yes to have any chance, these are the counties that voted republican in the 2018 race for governor. Republicans to have turn out in overwhelming numbers here. Especially in the more populous places like riverside county. Republicans have to have a rebounder. Yes votes have to have a rebound. If it is just republicans, even if every republican comes out and votes yes, it wont be enough. There has to be a democratic revolt and an independent revolt against Gavin Newsom. All right. Thank you. Were just moments away. 17 seconds. The fate of democratic Governor Gavin Newsom and his partys hold on the top office. In Critical Blue State is now in the hands of voters. Now lets get a key race alert. This election is too early to call. But based on our Exit Polls, it looks like it will be a good night for Gavin Newsom. We are not yet able to make a Promise But Cnn is able to rt ro, we can report that no vote, rejecting removal, the no vote has an early lead in our poll. If that lead holds, newsom will remain governor of california. What is behind this encouraging news for Gavin Newsom . Well, Issue Number one is the coronavirus. The most important issue on California Voters minds

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