Israels name bringing back 60,006 placed rail to the northern border, how do you do that . Northern border, how do you do that . Displaced residents. Theyve been trying to set up Buffer Zones to minimise direct Market Fire on northern israel. But i dont think telling people theyve taken away the immediate threat of anti tank missiles being fired at the border. Theres still a very well armed militant group with thousands of rockets. I dont think that will convince people to come back to the northern border. An aerial campaign, if it goes out for days or weeks, and can damage the capability of hezbollah to fire rockets and missiles, but they will stop to have 150,000 of those. It will take a very big, very long israeli campaign to damage the artisanal � s to the point where it was no longer able to regularly fire projectiles. What is israel going to do that will give residents of the north the confidence that they would need to go back . It wasnt clear from Daniel Hagaris statements or the governments statement. No one really has an answer. Governments statement. Noone really has an answer. Really has an answer. When he said the idea really has an answer. When he said the idea forces really has an answer. When he said the idea forces a really has an answer. When he said the idea forces a position | said the idea forces a position of readiness, how difficult would it be to fight on three fronts . There are still units of because of course, there are operations in the west bank. To go into Southern Lebanon in the south, how much would that stretch the israeli Ground Forces at this moment . If stretch the israeli Ground Forces at this moment . If we have this forces at this moment . If we have this Conversation Forces at this moment . If we have this conversation in have this conversation in november or december, i think the war in gaza would have made it impossible for israel to do any kind of a Ground Offensive in lebanon. It had a lot of manpower committed to gaza, a lot of military equipment. Thats not the case any more. There still are israeli troops on the perimeter of gaza, and along these two axes inside the territory. But its a much smaller Military Presence that it was late last year. Theres less a equipment committed to the effort. I think gaza is less of an obstacle if it that would be. Not so much a problem in terms of tanks and armoured vehicles. The israelis dont use as many of those. So, its not exactly if the front at this point. Lets call it a one and a half front war. It would take a lot of motivation. I think of it wanted to do something on the ground, it would have more resources to do that now than in any point earlier this year. That now than in any point earlier this year. You can see it, ou earlier this year. You can see it. You cant earlier this year. You can see it, you Cant Hide earlier this year. You can see it, you Cant Hide it. Earlier this year. You can see it, you Cant Hide it. They it, you Cant Hide it. They havent it, you Cant Hide it. They havent had a Call Up of reserves. There is said to be about reserves. There is said to be about two reserves. There is said to be about two divisions there, not enough about two divisions there, not enough to about two divisions there, not enough to mount the kind of incursion enough to mount the kind of incursion that will be required. Its interesting because hodari made it hagan because hodari made it hagari made actually, absolutely clear. Now theyre saying absolutely clear. Now theyre saying the same when it comes to lebanon. Saying the same when it comes to lebanon to lebanon. What about the window . To lebanon. What about the window . We to lebanon. What about the window . We should to lebanon. What about the L Window . We should probably to lebanon. What about the window . We should probably put this to israel. It occurs to me that you cant entirely divorce what is happening right now from the political situations in the united states. You have biden and two candidates who are not going to rock the boat by criticising an Ally Or Withholding weapons. Were trying to find some leverage. In that sense, the israeli Prime Minister probably has a three month window. Prime minister probably has a threemonth window. President biden and some threemonth window. President biden and some officials threemonth window. President biden and some officials have i biden and some officials have been biden and some officials have been speaking out, expressing Their been speaking out, expressing Their concerns, but we havent heard Their concerns, but we havent heard is Their concerns, but we havent heard is far Their concerns, but we havent heard is far as i know, from donald heard is far as i know, from Donald Trump or kamala harris, TheirDonald Trump or kamala harris, Their advisers must be thinking what Their advisers must be thinking what the Their advisers must be thinking what the can say about this. They what the can say about this. They will what the can say about this. They will say israel has the right they will say israel has the right to they will say israel has the right to defend itself. Hezbollah is a prescribed organisations for a number of governments. Lets say the biden governments. Lets say the biden administration, they do not want biden administration, they do not Want To see, this is exactly not Want To see, this is exactly what they did want. The proof exactly what they did want. The proof powerless to stop it. Do Ou Proof powerless to stop it. Do you have proof powerless to stop it. You have a proof powerless to stop it. Dr . You have a final thought, greg . I think thats probably right. What we have seen is biden has a great deal of leverage that he could be using. Kamala harris is showing no signs that she is prepared to use it. Donald trump, you could probably make a Trump Case to why he could come down harder on Israel And State israel has spent tens of billions. I dont think hes going to listen to that. I think there is a window where america has been absent for some time and it seems it will be for a while to come. Greg, lyse, thank you very much indeed for your company. Its good to get your analysis just off the back of that. Our panel comes up at nine oclock. We shall keep talking about what we just heard. Shall keep talking about what wejust heard. Not shall keep talking about what we just heard. Not entirely sure where were going next. Lets talk about President Zelensky, whos in the united states to present his plan to end the war with russia. He is on a tour of the united states at an Arms Factory in pennsylvania. Now hes in New York for the meeting of the un general assembly. York for the meeting of the un generalassembly. Nada york for the meeting of the un general assembly. Nada tawfik is in New York. Tell us what the objective is this week for the objective is this week for the ukrainians, because we talked about this plan for victory that he says hes going to present to Joe Victory that he says hes going to present tojoe biden. Is there any intel on that plan . What weve heard so far is hes going to outline specific steps he thinks will swiftly strengthen ukraine, Will Force president Vladimir Putin to the Negotiating Table and essentially bring a diplomatic end to the war. He says part of the plan is the incursion into Kursk Will Hopefully Show partners that and show that President Putin Isnt in control, he says. He also wants to focus on his plan on the long Term Security for ukraine. Getting more weapons of course, that has been a key priority of President Zelensky� s from the start of the war. We know that he has been really trying to get allies to approve the use of long range missiles. What he says are places where russia is launching attached. Hes going to keep pushing for that. President Biden Hasnt yet said whether he feels he will allow that because of course, the risk is President Putin saying he regards that as a direct involvement of nato in the war. But President Zelensky says that this plan will hinge its success on whether President Biden accepts it. Biden accepts it. Looking at the Weapons Biden accepts it. Looking at the Weapons Factory Biden accepts it. Looking at the Weapons Factory that I L the Weapons Factory that i think he went to visit. Long range missiles that the ukrainians or using. You see one of those factories that have been produced in the shoals of that have been going to you crown ukraine. What about the meeting with Donald Trump . If he has this plan in hand, hes obviously keen to present it to both president ial candidates. Do we know whether there is an invitation from Mar A Lago from Donald Trump and whether he would be prepared to listen to what President Zelensky wants to tell him . ~ , tell him . Well, President Trump sa s he tell him . Well, President Trump says he will tell him . Well, President Trump says he will probably tell him . Well, President Trump says he will probably meet tell him . Well, President Trump says he will probably meet with | says he will probably meet with President Zelensky while hes here in New York. Weve reached out to Donald Trumps campaign, but President Zelensky said it and he knows that he has to really get buy in from whoever is the next president. Whats interesting is if he does meet with Donald Trump here in New York, it will be the first in Person Meeting since Donald Trump was in the white house. They had a Phone Call injuly after Donald Trump officially became the republican nominee. After he survived that assassination attempt, he described that as a very good call. Whats so interesting is the different dynamics of the Trump Campaign when you hear talk from his Vice President ial pick, jd vance, saying he doesnt care about ukraine. President Zelensky Has said thatjd vance has too radical a position when it comes to his country and trying to get a Peace Deal done. He says he has very different signals from Donald Trump. Very different signals from Donald Trump. Nada, good to talk to you Donald Trump. Nada, good to talk to you. Covering Donald Trump. Nada, good to talk to you. Covering the Donald Trump. Nada, good to talk to you. Covering the un i talk to you. Covering the un general simply for us. This will be the last president ial election Donald TrumpContest Win or lose. He asked if he could see himself running again four years from now were he to lose. Mrtrump, who four years from now were he to lose. Mr trump, who then said he would be 82, said he would have his last role of the dice. Us president s are barred from serving more than two terms in office. If youre not successful this time, if youre not successful this time, do if youre not successful this time, do you see yourself running time, do you see yourself running again in four years . No, running again in four years . No, i running again in four years . No, i dont. Running again in four years . No, idont. I running again in four years . No, i dont. Ithink. Running again in four years . No, idont. Ithink. I running again in four years . No, i dont. Ithink. I dont see no, i dont. Ithink. I dont see that no, i dont. Ithink. I dont see that at no, i dont. Ithink. I dont see that at all. No, i dont. Ithink. I dont see that at all. I no, i dont. Ithink. I dont see that at all. I think see that at all. I think hopefully see that at all. I think hopefully were see that at all. I think hopefully were going| see that at all. I think. Hopefully were going to see that at all. I think hopefully were going to be successful. There were some brighter news for the former president. He is ahead in Arizona And Georgia and still ahead neroli and North Carolina. Pulling in arizona is not telling a very consistent story. It was harris that led by five in august. Thats quite a turnaround. In georgia, hes ahead by four points. Republicans think they have that one in the bag. In North Carolina, this has him in front by two. 15 of the election and all three states said they are yet undecided. Lets bring injonah zogby. Pretty rough few weeks. Pick got that thought that i was just making that its just a bit of a roller coaster. Who go into a five Point Lead from harris and trump. Into a fivePoint Lead from harris and trump. Into a fivePoint Lead from harris and trump. This is a very fluid harris and trump. This is a very fluid position. Harris and trump. This is a very fluid position. Even i very fluid position. Even a three orfive Point Lead very fluid position. Even a three or five Point Lead at this point in the history of these very close elections, this century, going back to the national tie in 2000, what weve seen is one candidate go up weve seen is one candidate go up by as many as four, five, six points, and then swing on the Other six points. Its fluid because there are Other regional number of undecided voters and simply not paying attention. This could go either way. Attention. This could go either wa. ~ attention. This could go either wa , ~. , attention. This could go either wa. ,. Attention. This could go either way. Was a difference of the North Carolina way. Was a difference of the North Carolina and way. Was a difference of the North Carolina and georgia . J North Carolina and georgia . Theres a Big African American population in both states. Joe biden won in georgia in 2020, but it seems republicans feel confident about that state this time around. Not so confident about North Carolina. Whats the difference . North carolina substantial the difference . North carolina substantial number the difference . North carolina substantial number of the difference . North carolina substantial number of black i substantial number of black voters, as you point out. However, it needs to be noted that Donald Trump is over performing among black men, particularly young black men, but china makes it a little murky. But kind of makes it. Georgia is high growth in one of the larger states in the us, North Carolina has had a number of people coming in from all parts of the country, moving into places like what we call the Research Triangle charlotte, banking centres, hi