Transcripts For BBCNEWS World 20240701

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we really demonstrated that we could reform our country during the war and i think it is a huge success for us. the second increasing gdp during the war and we have morejobs, more people come back. that is great. we thank kristalina georgieva, that you will support us financially. it is important during this challenging people and it means that ukraine is strong and not alone. i'm joined now by justin urquhart—stewart, founder of the investment platform regionally. good morning. lovely to see you. this is a critical week for ukraine. we have president zelensky in washington, hoping to get vitalfunding zelensky in washington, hoping to get vital funding through congress but later this week the eu summit takes place, the last of the year where they will be discussing their aid for ukraine for zelensky and for ukraine for zelensky and for the economy this is very important. it for the economy this is very important-— for the economy this is very important. it is vital because the key happening _ important. it is vital because the key happening in - important. it is vital because the key happening in the - important. it is vital because i the key happening in the states and the eu as well is insular, looking after their own economy rather than necessarily what is happening in ukraine. while it was seen as a winner and doing well against the russians, that was fine, but now we have the russians possibly breaking through and that will be extremely difficult. somehow the shine has gone off it. huge amount of money being fed into the ukraine but they need it because they have nowhere else to grow. politically they have growth figures. that is very encouraging and that in itself does not generate enough. find does not generate enough. and it has taken _ does not generate enough. and it has taken a _ does not generate enough. and it has taken a huge toll on ukraine as an economy because, of course, any man are drafted into fight in the war. for the americas, bankrolling a very long while, coming up for two years in fabric, when they have an election year next year, that will not go down so well, which is the problem within congress, i am assuming? absolutely. they do not want to start to go through the process of supporting other people's was. easy for republicans who turned their backs and saying what about our borders? especially making knows about the mexican border, very isolationist which of course america has history of doing. on the other hand, ukraine needs that's upon, particularly from the americas because although you can write a certain amount of it, the big dollars come from america and without them, they have big problems. without them, they have big problem-— without them, they have big roblems. ., ., problems. thank you for your time and _ problems. thank you for your time and have _ problems. thank you for your time and have a _ problems. thank you for your time and have a good - problems. thank you for your time and have a good day. i problems. thank you for your | time and have a good day. we will keep across the day as it progresses it in washington in terms of what is achieved. well, let's stay with events in the us where the continued positive numbers on the economy have somewhat confounded watchers of late, showing an extraordinary resillience despite the high cost of borrowing. wall street closed at a fresh record for the year on monday as investors await the latest numbers on inflation later today and the central bank call on interest rates on wednesday. but according to research from the chicago federal reserve, the positive vibe on wall street is not filtering through to main street, with researchers marking an ongoing decline in consumer optimism. let's unpack this with martin baccardax, senior editor, at the street. hello to you. is this what you are gauging, in terms of the mood among us consumers of which is so important when it counts to two—thirds of economic growth? counts to two-thirds of economic growth?- counts to two-thirds of economic growth? you are absolutely _ economic growth? you are absolutely right. _ economic growth? you are absolutely right. this - economic growth? you are absolutely right. this is . economic growth? you are absolutely right. this is a i absolutely right. this is a consumer driven economy so sentiment plays an enormous part in understanding and strengthening the economy and where we are headed in the coming months. it is confounded because we have seen extraordinary growth this year, over the third quarter. it has slowed a little bit. we have been adding jobs but inflation has been slowing significantly. we have underlying strength so it is mystifying why consumers feel this way but when you drill down into, the way they engage with the economy, it is largely on the basis of energy, housing and food and those things remain elevated. you begin to understand a little bit as to why this is an expansion that is at a low at the moment.— the moment. inflation is exnected _ the moment. inflation is exnected to _ the moment. inflation is expected to come - the moment. inflation is expected to come down | the moment. inflation is| expected to come down a the moment. inflation is- expected to come down a notch when the numbers come out later today. do you think that, coupled with this research, could give the fed the larger to think, actually, you know what, maybe we could start to lower rates sooner rather than later? i lower rates sooner rather than later? ~ , lower rates sooner rather than later? ~' , ., ., later? i think they would want to hold their— later? i think they would want to hold their cards _ later? i think they would want to hold their cards close - later? i think they would want to hold their cards close to . to hold their cards close to their chests, close ——to be honest. the timeframe was longer than they anticipated last time. they would want to see inflation get closer to the 2% target they prefer, we are at 3.5% 4% at the call rate. and until they have overwhelming evidence, they will not signal to the market just yet because once they do, the actual interest rates that people translate into the economy start to fall very quickly and the fed can lose control. they want to stay conservative even if they get a very good reading tomorrow when they speak to the market on wednesday and we should not get full clarity until early next year. full clarity until early next ear. . ~' full clarity until early next ear. ., ~ , ., full clarity until early next ear. ., ~' ., year. thank you. good to get our year. thank you. good to get your take _ year. thank you. good to get your take on _ year. thank you. good to get your take on that. _ here in the uk we will get the latest numbers on jobs and wages injust over an hours time. and wages injust over an hour's time. wages rose faster than inflation from july to september and picked up further last month. good news for workers but there are signs the jobs market is starting to weaken. michael stull is director at manpower group uk. good morning to you. what we are expecting in terms ofjobs news later? i are expecting in terms of 'obs news lanai are expecting in terms of 'obs news latenfi are expecting in terms of 'obs news later? i think we're going to see, news later? i think we're going to see. as _ news later? i think we're going to see. as you _ news later? i think we're going to see, as you said, _ news later? i think we're going to see, as you said, softeningl to see, as you said, softening into thejob to see, as you said, softening into the job market. to see, as you said, softening into thejob market. we to see, as you said, softening into the job market. we are getting some of that lower investment coming through the lower consumer confidence, as you see in the us as well, coming through and vacancies are going down. you're also starting to see some caution, from workers, they are moving around a lot less than they were and also from the hiring managers, they are slower, wanting to see what is going to happen with the economy as well. i am really, really interested to see where the wages come in, typically wages have about a three month flag when you look at overall inflationary pressures so we should start to see that come back down on the same curve we saw inflation as well. but i think the other thing we cannot forget is that we still have really high job vacancies. our data will show that employers are extremely frustrated right now with hiring because of the skills shortages and i think thatis skills shortages and i think that is the other thing we will continue to see. still high vacancies and some hiring as employers need certain types of skills and that workforce. what skills and that workforce. what skills and that workforce. what skills are we _ skills and that workforce. what skills are we talking _ skills and that workforce. what skills are we talking about? - skills are we talking about? what is missing? these are the ones we have been talking for a while now, it, engineering, care, logistics and drivers. these are all in hunter mahan and continue to be asked for by employers. i5 and continue to be asked for by employers— employers. is this a hung over from leaving — employers. is this a hung over from leaving the _ employers. is this a hung over from leaving the eu? - employers. is this a hung over from leaving the eu? some i employers. is this a hung over from leaving the eu? some of| from leaving the eu? some of it. some from leaving the eu? some of it- some of— from leaving the eu? some of it. some of it _ from leaving the eu? some of it. some of it is _ from leaving the eu? some of it. some of it isjust _ from leaving the eu? some of it. some of it isjust overall i it. some of it is just overall covid—i9 and related to getting the work are back but a lot of it is just the fundamental changes that we are seeing in work. we are seeing ai coming in, companies are investing in that, they need it skills to leveraging technology, we see more robotics coming, robotics need technicians, engineering, so there is still a lot of changes, fundamental, going on to work which is changing the skills we need.— to work which is changing the skills we need. what about the economically — skills we need. what about the economically inactive - skills we need. what about the economically inactive which i skills we need. what about the economically inactive which of| economically inactive which of course the government is so focused on? they want to get people back into the work place and of benefit? imilli people back into the work place and of benefit?— and of benefit? will we see movement _ and of benefit? will we see movement on _ and of benefit? will we see movement on that? - and of benefit? will we see movement on that? there l and of benefit? will we see i movement on that? there are discussions around changing some of the rules around this. for me, i think the area we should be most focused on are the workers that are trying to get back into the workforce to be able to give them the skills that they need and the support that they need and the support that they need to be able, childcare and those types of things. childcare and those types of thins. . ~' ,. childcare and those types of thins. . ~ ,, childcare and those types of thins. . ~ ., childcare and those types of thins. . ., ., ~ things. thank you. good to talk to ou. things. thank you. good to talk to you- later— things. thank you. good to talk to you. later we _ things. thank you. good to talk to you. later we will— things. thank you. good to talk to you. later we will talk- to you. later we will talk about the changing face of the workplace, ai and the influence it has had. around the world and across the uk, this is bbc news. voice-over: bringing you different stories i from across the uk. breaking the law, these e—scooters were filmed on the streets of lincoln in the last few days. the only place they can legally be ridden is on private land with the permission of the landowner. but they've become a common sight in our towns and cities. they scoot past you. you don't even know they are coming around! a wide range of scooters on sale in big—name high street shops alongside warnings from lincolnshire police, and their message is think twice before you buy one as a present. the only place you can legally use them is on private land with the land owner's permission, and for most people, they're not going to have that option. from the point of view- of saving fuel and allowing people to travel, i think it is a good idea. - i think it's a good alternative to bikes, but until they're regulated and actually looked at, then i think it's a little bit of a problem, yeah. voice-over: for more - stories from across the uk, head to the bbc news website. you're live with bbc news. we are talking you through the top business stories. a jury in california has found that google unlawfully made its play store dominant over rival app stores. epic games — which owns popular video game fortnite — sued google in 2020, accusing it of a monopoly. google says it will challenge the outcome. it is really interesting. katie silver is in our asia business hub for us. this is a big outcome. at the start of the trial many wouldn't have predicted victory but the court found that google made up maxtor and billing service into an illegal monopoly. this affects hundreds of millions of consumers around the world. anyone with an android phone or who uses android phone or who uses android software and therefore uses the google play up to download apps will be impacted. the trial lasted a month but took the juryjust a the trial lasted a month but took the jury just a few hours and they answered yes unanimously to all questions asked, that was yes that google play had a monopoly power and yes the company google did anti—competitive things and that epic games is injured as a result. epic games or subject to the 30% commission that google charges to any in app purchases or payments on the platform. as i said the trial lasted a month and a lot emerged in that time. we had google had been paying apps and other game developers to launch on their devices on the same day all before they lodged potentially on the competitor apple and even had awaiting fees for certain partners like spotify. in a statement as you say google says they were fiercely appealed this and they are competitive with the likes of apple. epic games said the verdict is a win for all app developers and consumers in the world and google uses monopoly to charge exorbitant fees, stifle competition and reduce innovation. when it comes to exactly what epic games, the credit of very popular game format has one, they were not seeking compensation so that is unlikely to come about. they want app developers to have the freedom to create their own app stores and they wantjudge to tell you all that's the case. they signalled posting on x the chief executives say they could save millions if not billions of fees but we will know more on the second week of january when the court meets again. thank you very much indeed. to india now, where its boom time for the luxury market. from premium cars to designer hand bags, they are all flying off the shelves. but this boom in the luxury market also coincides with flattening consumption across the broader population and worries of growing inequality in asia's third largest economy. from mumbai, here's nikhil inamdar. india's richest man, mukesh ambani, launching the country's largest luxury shopping centre. the opening featuring a red carpet studded with bollywood's biggest stars. the shops and salons and marquee global brands occupy prime real estate here. luxury fashion houses like balenciaga have made their indian debut with this store. it's not hard to understand why these glitzy ultra premium shopping malls are springing up across the country. india is minting new millionaires. but it's notjust in retail where the growing appetite for luxury is visible. sales of ultra luxury homes have jumped fourfold this year. high—end smartphones are flying off the shelves. and luxury car makers are having their best year ever. this man fulfilled a lifelong dream last month when he splashed out on this $100,000 mercedes. translation: it's a big day for me. | i came from a humble background. people look at you differently when you have a mercedes. this is the new aspirational india that's powering luxury car sales as they grow at least twice the pace of the broader market. younger buyers are also more open to showing off their success, their wealth. there is clearly an aspirational boom in india right now. but the luxury boom comes as consumer spending in india as a whole remains weak. while the rich are buying more than ever, the poor are cutting back. 60, 70, 80% of people are still at the fringes, | if i may use the word, of their existence. i most of the growth in india as far as consumption i is concerned is largely- lead by the top 15%—20%. it's not a small number, i that is 40—50 million people. analysts forecast the huge number of potential customers will take the luxury goods market to $100 billion in the next few years. and it could not come at a better time. china, which has been the biggest driver of growth for the luxury market, has been losing steam. nikhil inamdar, bbc news, mumbai. to the cop28 climate summit in dubai now where, as you've been hearing, negotiations are ongoing as the host's are trying to hammer out a final agreement. an earlier draft was condemned for stopping short on calling for a phase—out of fossil fuels. whatever the outcome, it will require a great deal of investment to make it happen. one of the major players is the asian infrastructure investment bank. i spoke tojin liqun — president of the aiib and asked him what his main aim is. we are doing whatever it takes to push for a greater amount of financing for climate change. as you know, we stepped to the target in 2025, no less than 50% of the finances. we achieve this ahead of schedule. in 2022 we already did 56% of financing for climate change and this year the same. so all of this is very much important and this action, it is notjust talk. 0k, action, it is notjust talk. ok, so you've raised a lot of funds and as you say there is action as opposed to just talk. who is able to access the funds available from aiib and how do you choose who gets funding? figs you choose who gets funding? is you choose who gets funding? is you know, this bank has grown from a —— two next to the world bankin from a —— two next to the world bank in terms of membership. as long as the projects are aligned, as long as the projects are conducive to the mitigation of ghc is, we are willing to process. something ou've willing to process. something you've said — willing to process. something you've said in _ willing to process. something you've said in the _ willing to process. something you've said in the past - willing to process. something you've said in the past is i willing to process. something you've said in the past is that| you've said in the past is that the climate fight will be won or lost in asia.— the climate fight will be won or lost in asia. what you mean b that? or lost in asia. what you mean by that? asian _ or lost in asia. what you mean by that? asian countries i or lost in asia. what you mean by that? asian countries are i by that? asian countries are the most gloomy economies in the most gloomy economies in the world and this has a number of indications for the economy, for climate, free environment, as on the one hand, asia, because of the large economies, growth, asia contributes to 50% of emissions. at the same time asian countries are moving forward and moving over the steve kerr are promoting renewable energies, so asian countries are also working with us to build infrastructure projects for tomorrow. this means that asian countries' infrastructure development will not increase emissions. they would actually reduce emissions ljy would actually reduce emissions by for instance mass transit systems, electric vehicles, by phasing out coal—fired power implants and building renewables.— implants and building renewables. . �*, , , ., renewables. that's president of the asian infrastructure - the asian infrastructure investment bank. to the world of work now, which has changed a lot in the last few years, not least with the mass uptake of things like hybrid working. changes enabled by new technology and there's no newer tech at the moment than artificial intelligence. we've all thought about how it's going to affect ourjobs. well, according to a new report from linkedin, it's having a major impact, with head of ai positions tripling globally and job posts mentioning ai more than doubling over the last five years. i'm joined now by karin kimbrough, chief economist at linkedin. good to have you on the programme. iam good to have you on the programme. i am fascinated. head of ai. what someone like that do, i wonder? a, head of ai. what someone like that do, i wonder?— that do, i wonder? a lot of companies _ that do, i wonder? a lot of companies right _ that do, i wonder? a lot of companies right now i that do, i wonder? a lot of companies right now are i companies right now are starting to explore how to integrate energy with or ai technologies into their process is and their operations and so i headed ai for someone who thinks about how do we construct the right technology with the right guardrails to implement ai and use as a tool to bring efficiencies and productivity to the workplace —— a head of ai. that's what a head of ai does but a lot of jobs we are starting to seebohm.— jobs we are starting to seebohm. , y., ., seebohm. sorry, you mentioned over the past — seebohm. sorry, you mentioned over the past five _ seebohm. sorry, you mentioned over the past five years - seebohm. sorry, you mentioned over the past five years jobs i over the past five years jobs mentioning ai are coming up more and more.— mentioning ai are coming up more and more. that's right so we have seen _ more and more. that's right so we have seen this _ more and more. that's right so we have seen this real- we have seen this real explosion injobs on we have seen this real explosion in jobs on the platform that are calling for al skills and talent. we are ai skills and talent. we are seeing members on the platform linkedin actually viewing ai jobs more than otherjobs and it's probably a sense of excitement that there is something new here and publish an element ofjob security because there are so much demand for this talent and it probably outstrips the supply of ai talent that exists at this very moment. but there are a lot ofjobs by the way that are not necessarily ai jobs but are not necessarily ai jobs but are jobs that require some ai literacy, if you will, so understanding how to use technologies to make you more efficient, how to shed some of the routine tasks so you can spend more time on the more interesting cognitive tasks and that can be in any occupation, it is notjust have to be an engineering job.— it is notjust have to be an engineering job. engineering 'ob. what do you have to do — engineering job. what do you have to do to _ engineering job. what do you have to do to get _ engineering job. what do you have to do to get trained i engineering job. what do you have to do to get trained in i have to do to get trained in this area? i assume, i have to do to get trained in this area? iassume, i have heard of courses, short courses you can do, that kind of thing. yes, and think about it this way. what's really changing is the speed of technological change, if you will, so as technology evolves faster and faster, the real skill is your agility or your ability to learn, so the idea that we can have continuous lighting and small bite—size amounts that help us keep up to speed is really we want to go and a lot of the ai literacy learning is and taking courses such as on linkedin we can be taking a course as a project manager, taking it as a someone who is an architect thinking what is the software i want to use little help me think about incorporating more light into a building, using more sustainable materials, redesigning a fleet of vehicles so that they are sustainable, all of these things are skills that people will develop over time, it does not have to happen overnight, but what we're doing is encouraging people to think about bringing the skills to bear and getting started now.— started now. 0k, really interesting. _ started now. ok, really interesting. thank- started now. 0k, really interesting. thank you | started now. 0k, really i interesting. thank you for getting up early, karin kimbrough, actually, san francisco, it is not only at all, it is late—night. thank you, regardless. it has been good to have you on, chief economist at linkedin. flood—stricken financial markets to show you in asia, not big gains but the sort of positive vibe is continuing and that's definitely because of what happened the night before on wall street. let's show you the us you can look at they don't like how the day ended. if you can move, thank you very much, you can see there, sever some of these markets a year high as these markets get closer and to that federal reserve wrapping up on wednesday and a decision on the cost of borrowing. i'll see you soon. hello. tuesday is going to bring a lot of cloud and the skies will look rather like the picture behind me. on top of that, shower clouds are expected as well. some of the showers could be heavy, the odd crack of thunder and additionally it will be quite windy around southwestern parts of the uk, but it's going to be relatively mild first thing. now, the satellite picture shows fairly clear weather as we're in between weather systems, or we were during monday. but now the clear skies are giving way to this area of low pressure, which will be moving across the uk during the course of tuesday and will continue to affect our weather at least for a time on wednesday. so the forecast then through the early hours, we will have had some rain across northern ireland, southwestern scotland, the north of england too, rain elsewhere, but also one or two clear spells and really quite mild in the south. 11 degrees in plymouth, about that in london. but for the most part, it's about 5 to 8 degrees. so certainly no frost first thing. and the forecast then for tuesday. so here's that area of low pressure as it slowly barrels across the uk. here's the weather front spiralling into the centre of the low where the winds are actually really light. so any showers that circle within this low right in the middle could last for quite some time. they'll be slow—moving, very little wind to push them around. but just to the south, around the southwestern approaches cornwall, devon, central southern england, the winds really could be quite gusty, 40—50mph winds around coasts. on top of that, an onshore wind here around eastern scotland and the northeast of england will make things really wet and it could last right until wednesday. now, on wednesday, finally, that low pressure pulls away out towards the west, high pressure builds. and that means there'll be some sunshine, for example, in glasgow, liverpool and in cardiff. but the east coasts could stay quite cloudy, gloomy and feel chilly in that breeze off the north sea. here's a look at thursday and into the weekend, really. eventually, all weather fronts clear, high pressure starts to build from the southwest. but there is a lot of cloud stuck in this area of high pressure. so not necessarily all that sunny. and in fact, the northwest of the uk may continue to be brushed by weather fronts coming off the atlantic. so, yes, for the majority of us, the weather settles down come friday and should stay dry and bright with a bit of luck into the weekend. but the north could be wet at times. bye— bye. good morning, welcome to breakfast withjon kay and sally nugent. our headlines today. a last attempt to butter up potential tory rebels. rishi sunak hosts a breakfast meeting to persuade mps to vote for his rwanda bill tonight. tense negotiations through the night at cop 28 as a draft deal that excludes phasing out fossil fuels is met with outrage. as more and more people turn to buy now pay later options for their christmas shopping are the services are being regulated properly? i'll be finding out. league football in turkey is suspended after a referee is punched to the ground by a club president following a top—flight game last night. hi, barbie! hi, ken! and can barbie revive the golden globe awards? the film leads the way with nine nominations. good morning. for england, wales and northern ireland, rain pushing east bits followed by a fair bit of clout, limited brightness and heavy showers which could be country. scotland will be fairly cloudy and wet on and off throughout much of the day. all of the details later in the day. all of the details later in the programme. it's tuesday the 12th of december. our main story. rishi sunak is hosting a breakfast meeting at downing street this morning, to convince potential conservative rebels to back his flagship rwanda bill, ahead of a vote later. the legislation to send some asylum seekers to the east african country

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