the country from gaza. gunmen then cross the border, some on paragliders, launching multiple attacks on towns, military bases and kibbutz. 1,400 people were murdered. hostages were also taken, with the israeli military now saying 155 people are now being held by hamas. israel responded with air strikes on gaza which have continued all week. electricity, food, fuel and water have been cut off and more thani million residents were told to leave. the palestinian authorities say more than 2,670 people have already died. meanwhile, an estimated 300,000 israeli troops have gathered on the border with gaza, ahead of a possible ground invasion. let's focus now on hamas�*s objectives. after launching its attacks in southern israel. live now to kamran bochari, senior director of the eurasian security and prosperity portfolio at the newlines institute.. and an expert on islamic extremism: if you can, talk to me about where hamas�*s objectives now lie given what we have seen over the last few days. i what we have seen over the last few da 5. ~ . .,, ., what we have seen over the last few da s. ~ . .,, ., ., ., days. i think hamas, on one hand wants to see _ days. i think hamas, on one hand wants to see an _ days. i think hamas, on one hand wants to see an escalation, - days. i think hamas, on one hand wants to see an escalation, the i days. i think hamas, on one hand . wants to see an escalation, the more that israel ferociously comes in an large—scale offensive that leads to the deaths of innocent lives that works for hamas. they planned it this way, they knew what they were getting into. but the question remains, what becomes of hamas itself? how does hamas come out of this on the other side still intact? that is the tricky question here. i don't think that when they were planning this they had, you know, a sense of the extent to which they would be able to cause havoc inside israel. because they plan for certain things and then there are unintended consequences and the result on the battlefield is very different than the planning stage. so now, they know that there is going to be regime change which is why the northern half of the strip is basically being targeted right now by the idf to go in and set up shop there and dismantle the regime. how they defend themselves is a big question and i think they are going to take a severe hit. i don't want to take a severe hit. i don't want to go as far as to say that hamas will be eliminated but i think it's safe to say that when all is said and done, they will no longer be ruling gaza. d0 and done, they will no longer be ruling gaza-— ruling gaza. do you think they didn't realise _ ruling gaza. do you think they didn't realise this _ ruling gaza. do you think they didn't realise this when - ruling gaza. do you think they didn't realise this when they l ruling gaza. do you think they - didn't realise this when they launch the attack, did they not realise this would happen? it’s the attack, did they not realise this would happen?— this would happen? it's a bit complicated. _ this would happen? it's a bit complicated. it _ this would happen? it's a bit complicated. it depends - this would happen? it's a bit complicated. it depends on | this would happen? it's a bit - complicated. it depends on hamas's monolithic entities, there are different people making decisions, different people making decisions, different opinions. they have their own estimates of what their attack would produce. definitely they wanted a massive retaliation but then, of course, there are miscalculations, it happens all of the time. sometimes there is over estimation. you perform, from your point of view, far better than you expected and you haven't planned for that. so i think it is a mixed situation. that. so i think it is a mixed situation-— that. so i think it is a mixed situation. ~ . ., , , , i] situation. what happens next? i think what _ situation. what happens next? i think what happens _ situation. what happens next? i think what happens next - situation. what happens next? i think what happens next is - situation. what happens next? i think what happens next is we l situation. what happens next? i. think what happens next is we have to wait and see just how the idf counter offensive is going to proceed. what is going to be the death toll of civilians? how quickly can the idf dismantle the hamas resume? what will be egypt's cooperation considering that more thani million people are being pushed into the southern end of the strip near the border with the peninsular. what will happen with the diplomacy that is going on? the united states is leading the effort and other are involved with that as well. there are so many variables right now and then of course, the big question of a second front by has bella —— hezbollah. this has consequences for the counteroffensive. you couldn't detect that this was going to happen and know about it then how good is your intelligence in terms of pushing ahead with your own counter offensive? so a lot is up in the air and wejust have offensive? so a lot is up in the air and we just have to wait and see what happens. i and we just have to wait and see what happens-— and we just have to wait and see what ha ens. , , ,.,, , ., what happens. i suppose the big fear riaht now what happens. i suppose the big fear right now especially _ what happens. i suppose the big fear right now especially on _ what happens. i suppose the big fear right now especially on the _ what happens. i suppose the big fear right now especially on the side - what happens. i suppose the big fear right now especially on the side of i right now especially on the side of the us that this spreads out to become a regional conflict. indeed. that is what — become a regional conflict. indeed. that is what the _ become a regional conflict. indeed. that is what the us _ become a regional conflict. indeed. that is what the us is _ become a regional conflict. indeed. that is what the us is trying - become a regional conflict. indeed. that is what the us is trying to - become a regional conflict. indeed. that is what the us is trying to do l that is what the us is trying to do through diplomacy, through a show of force, the fact that the pentagon decided that they will keep the uss eisenhower carrier in the mediterranean alongside the forces shows that they are not sure, at the very least they are not sure what the intentions of iran and others are. they helped them get to this point and they also have a problem that they just step aside and point and they also have a problem that theyjust step aside and let hamas bear the brunt of the israeli counteroffensive then that undermines their credibility and their standing undermines their credibility and theirstanding in undermines their credibility and their standing in the region. it's one of those moments where every side is wondering what the other side is wondering what the other side is wondering what the other side is doing and the reality is that no side actually knows what they will do moving forward. it hour by hour, by day. they will do moving forward. it hour by hour. by day-— they will do moving forward. it hour by hour, by day. thank you very much indeed forjoining _ by hour, by day. thank you very much indeed forjoining us. _ by hour, by day. thank you very much indeed forjoining us. my _ by hour, by day. thank you very much indeed forjoining us. my pleasure. i indeed for “oining us. my pleasure. let's aet indeed forjoining us. my pleasure. let's get you _ indeed forjoining us. my pleasure. let's get you more _ indeed forjoining us. my pleasure. let's get you more on _ indeed forjoining us. my pleasure. let's get you more on the - indeed forjoining us. my pleasure. let's get you more on the situation on the ground in gaza. laetitia courtois is the head of the international committee of the red cross delegation in new york and its permanent observer to the un — she gave us the latest from their teams on the ground in gaza. the international committee of the red cross has a team of over 100 staff in the gaza strip. they are still deployed and trying to help and cope with the most urgent need, trying to fix the damaged water systems. it has not been providing water for the last few days. trying to support the medicalfacilities. in particular the paramedics of the palestinian red crescent society, working to take care of the continuous flow of patients back in the hospitals. in very difficult circumstances. we are trying to set up a response for the thousands of people displaced. but the difficulty right now is to bring the necessary items to respond to those massive needs. we stand ready, there are trucks on the way, but we need access to the gaza strip, into gaza, to make sure those goods are supporting the people in these critical moments. a lot of new images have been emerging from israel, gaza and neighbouring countries. these are palestinians trying to leave gaza gathering at the rafah border. many are hoping for the possible reopening of the passage which would allow aid into gaza and give these families a chance to leave. this shows fuel trucks leaving gaza for egypt at the crossing. it suggests that they seem to be heading for the crossing on the gaza egypt boarding. with the country largest port, they are trying to board ferries to go to cyprus. the israeli defence forces says this video shows forces destroying in lebanon. in the us state of illinois, a man has been charged with murder and hate crimes after allegedly stabbing a six year—old muslim boy to death and severely injuring his mother. the boy's father identified the victims as palestinian—americans. police say 71—year—old joseph czuba was the victims' landlord, and that he targeted the victims because they were muslim. they allege he was motivated by the israel—hamas war. in a statement on sunday, president biden expressed his condolences, and said, "this horrific act of hate has no place in america." and here in the uk, the prime minister rishi sunak has visited a jewish school in london — to underline his support for the community. the visit followed several demonstrations across britain, during which people voiced their backing for hamas — which several countries, including the uk and the us, consider a terrorist organisation. mr sunak addressed an assembly of students and teaching staff. he also posed for a picture in front of a charity appeal for israel, and wrote a personal message. the prime minister spoke to a reporter afterwards. well, i have come to the school to support the jewish community and let them know that i'm going to do everything to keep them safe. i met with the community trust, the community that helps keep schools and otherjewish community institution say. we spent time at the police to make sure that they have all the tools, powers and guidance to police protests over the weekend appropriately and strike the right balance. i am determined to ensure that ourjewish community is able to feel safe on our streets and that there is no place in our society for anti—semitism and we will do everything we can to stamp it out and where it does happen it will be met with the full force of the law. you were asked by one of the children just now, where is the line between protesting for palestinians and supporting hamas? it's a great question, what's your answer? hamas is a proscribed terrorist organisation. it's very clear under the law that support and glorification of hamas is illegal and those offences are punishable with up to almost 1a years in jail. is britain working with the us to keep safe routes open and what is our role? ., v keep safe routes open and what is our role? . �*, ., ., our role? that's one thing i have been discussing _ our role? that's one thing i have been discussing with _ our role? that's one thing i have been discussing with students i our role? that's one thing i have l been discussing with students who have family and friends impacted in israel. we will do everything we can to provide support. i know it is an anxious time for those who have loved ones who are missing and we are providing consular support from the fullness —— foreign office that we can. the humanitarian situation is one that we are concerned about. no one wants to see this, the israeli prime minister does not want this, i have been speaking to other leaders around the region, all of us are united and not wanting to see regional escalation. that's one thing that we can help with. that was rishi sunak. _ i'm joined now byjustin cohen, news editor atjewish news — a newspaper that serves thejewish community here in the uk. thank you so much for coming in today. how are reassured are you by the prime minister?— the prime minister? absolutely. the leadership of — the prime minister? absolutely. the leadership of this _ the prime minister? absolutely. the leadership of this country, _ the prime minister? absolutely. the leadership of this country, the - leadership of this country, the leadership of this country, the leadership position and the support from them have been... we couldn't have asked for any more since this has happened. the increase funding for security and jewish institutions, the words of support, the visits, the meeting with the chief rabbi. it has been extraordinary. unfortunately it's very much needed. there is a better role —— visceral fear among very much needed. there is a better role —— visceralfear among dues on the streets at the moment. i can feel it wherever i go in my phone is full of these messages. there is all sorts going round which is causing huge panic. i sorts going round which is causing huge panic— sorts going round which is causing huge panic. i want people who are watchin: huge panic. i want people who are watching to _ huge panic. i want people who are watching to understand _ huge panic. i want people who are watching to understand this. - huge panic. i want people who are| watching to understand this. there is historical context that needs to be understood to get a clear picture of why you feel such a visceral fear. i of why you feel such a visceral fear. ~ , ., of why you feel such a visceral fear. ~' , ., . ~' , fear. i think it is worth taking us back to the _ fear. i think it is worth taking us back to the beginning. - fear. i think it is worth taking us back to the beginning. what - fear. i think it is worth taking us back to the beginning. what we | fear. i think it is worth taking us - back to the beginning. what we saw on saturday, a week ago, was the result of a preplanned attack by hamas terrorists on civilians. they had been planning it for months. they decided months ago and they decided to plan every single detail to go into houses, to go into the street and to behead babies and raped women and to do the most unspeakable crimes possible. the result of that, in the uk and around the world, has been that some people have decided that this is the right moment to demonstrate support for hamas and take to the streets calling for the annihilation of israel. �* ., calling for the annihilation of israel. �* . ., , ., , , calling for the annihilation of israel. ~ . ., , ., , , ., israel. and that was happening over the weekend. _ israel. and that was happening over the weekend, wasn't _ israel. and that was happening over the weekend, wasn't it, _ israel. and that was happening over the weekend, wasn't it, in - israel. and that was happening over the weekend, wasn't it, in london? | the weekend, wasn't it, in london? that was happening over the weekend in london. and to target british dues with anti—semitism that now amounts to a 600% increase, targeting jewish students on campus i've spoken tojewish doctors in hospitals i have literallyjust come off the phone to a colleague of mine. as i was coming to the studio, her road was targeted by a man that was pulling off the religious symbol the mezuzah that is on the door of everyjewish home which contains holy prayers for peace and the blessing. they were pulling off each of those of each of those houses and when she challenged this person they spat at her and spat at her car. this is the instance that we are now seeing on the streets of london in 2023. ~ ., , ., , ., ., w 2023. what needs to be done to make sure that jewish _ 2023. what needs to be done to make sure that jewish people _ 2023. what needs to be done to make sure that jewish people in _ 2023. what needs to be done to make sure that jewish people in this - sure thatjewish people in this country are kept safe? i do sure that jewish people in this country are kept safe? i do think that the government _ country are kept safe? i do think that the government is - country are kept safe? i do think that the government is doing - that the government is doing everything that it possibly can. there has to this time, unlike two years ago when we saw for example a convoy through the streets of london calling for the rape ofjewish women and that wasn't even prosecuted, we need to see prosecutions and we need to see them quickly. if people take to see them quickly. if people take to the streets with pictures of hand gliders in clear celebrations of those attacks and they need to be prosecuted and prosecuted very quickly. prosecuted and prosecuted very ruickl . ., ., , , �* quickly. how tough is this time ben over the past _ quickly. how tough is this time ben over the past couple _ quickly. how tough is this time ben over the past couple of— quickly. how tough is this time ben over the past couple of weeks? - quickly. how tough is this time ben over the past couple of weeks? it's| over the past couple of weeks? it's been over the past couple of weeks? it�*s been really difficult because family and friends have been directly affected. i went to school with someone whose brother was killed and i know that even those who were living in the centre of the country that didn't face those hamas attacks, they are facing rocket attacks. it's still terrorism on a daily basis. i would just ask your viewers to think about, if what happened last saturday happen on the streets of london, what would you want the british government to do? it wouldn't be just to sit there and wait for it to happen again. i really appreciate you come —— coming on and talking to us. let's move on now and talk about the news but first, across the world and across the uk this is bbc news. let's ta ke let's take you to more headlines across the uk. more foreign prisoners are to be deported to their home countries under plans to tackle overcrowding injails. justice secretary, alex chalk is due to set out plans in the commons today for reducing the prison population in england and wales. figures show thatjails are approaching full capacity — with the number of inmates at an all—time high. the true picture of a&e waiting times in wales has been seriously under—reported for a decade, according to the royal college of emergency medicine. the independent medical association has found thousands of hours are missed from monthly figures. when the missing data is taken into account, it suggests the performance in wales is worse than previously believed. battersea dogs and cats home will name its veterinary hospital after the charity's late ambassador paul 0'grady. the tv and radio presenter — who died in march aged 67 — became an ambassador for battersea in 2012. the charity set up a fund in mr 0'grady�*s honour after his death, which has raised £480,000 to date. you're live with bbc news. let's get some other news, and in poland, a second exit poll has now predicted the governing law and justice party won the biggest share of the vote in sunday's elections, but could still lose power. it's likely to have the first opportunity to form a government, although it is expected to struggle to command a parliamentary majority. that would open the door to three opposition groups to form a coalition. the largest among them is the civic coalition, led by the former head of the european council, donald tusk. translation: yesterday people approached me and asked, - "will you be able to do it?" it wasn't possible for so many years. this is the end of this bad time. this is the end of the rule of law and justice. live now to warsaw, our eastern europe correspondent sarah rainsford is there for us. just give us a sense of what this all means now for poland. well, i think it potentially _ all means now for poland. well, i think it potentially heralds - all means now for poland. well, i think it potentially heralds a - think it potentially heralds a massive turnaround in this country. all along, massive turnaround in this country. allalong, both massive turnaround in this country. all along, both sides were talking of historic votes, talking about poland deciding its future direction. voters were given a pretty stark choice, continuing with the law and justice party which has beenin the law and justice party which has been in power here for eight years which was campaigning on a platform of security and particular high social spending and also very much anti—illegal migration. all the opposition party which was saying that the government represents a threat to democracy saying that it is ruin relations with the eu, that there are massive problems here with there are massive problems here with the rule of law in poland, something that has meant that the eu is holding back a lot of funding from poland. talking about problems of the independence of the media, women's rights and lgbt rights and other fundamental issues here. women's rights and lgbt rights and otherfundamental issues here. the opposition was campaigning on a platform for change. judging by the results so far, the exit polls about half of the votes counted, looks like several opposition parties would have a majority and would be “p would have a majority and would be up to form a government whilst the ruling law and justice party would not. forthe ruling law and justice party would not. for the moment we are not at that stage. we are about halfway through the vote count but certainly, last night we were at the party headquarters for the election result headquarters for the opposition and they were celebrating like it was a victory. certainly lots of people today supporting the opposition saying that we have won poland back. this is the first day of a new future, donald tusk himself called it a rebirth for poland. what called it a rebirth for poland. what did the opposition _ called it a rebirth for poland. what did the opposition parties actually disagree on then? if there is an opposition coalition appointed and confirmed they are going to have to work together and that may end up being quite difficult. i work together and that may end up being quite difficult.— being quite difficult. i think it wouldn't so _ being quite difficult. i think it wouldn't so much _ being quite difficult. i think it wouldn't so much to - being quite difficult. i think it wouldn't so much to be - being quite difficult. i think it wouldn't so much to be a - being quite difficult. i think it - wouldn't so much to be a problem for oppositions to work together, they are broadly in consensus of some of the key issues, certainly in terms of the changes that they believe need to be made, what could be the problem with that there would still be a very large constituency from the governing party and other far—right party which also looks like it will have a number of seats in parliament. i think, going forward with the president is well—being backed by the governing party, any kind of coalition from opposition might find it difficult to make the kind of changes that they have been promising that they do want. first and foremost, there needs to be a decision on who is going to have the first chance at forming the government. we have just heard from the president who is in the vatican today a visit, he made a short statement and mentioned nothing yet about forming a government. he talks about the selection being a gigantic successful polish democracy. because specifically you are talking about the enormous turnout, 17 point 4% —— 70.4%. and it shows how important many people have shown that it might see in the selection. young people turned out in particularly high numbers because they felt this was a vote about their future.— vote about their future. thank you very much — vote about their future. thank you very much indeed. _ vote about their future. thank you very much indeed. sarah - vote about their future. thank you | very much indeed. sarah therefore us. to ecuador now where businessman, daniel noboa, has won the country's presidential election. the 35—year—old heir to a banana production company becomes the youngest ecuadorean president. mr noboa took about 52% of votes. his rival in the run—off election, a left wing lawyer, luisa gonzalez, acknowledged defeat and congratulated mr noboa. ecuador has experienced an increase in gang violence in recent years and the presidential campaign was marred by the assassination in august of one candidate, fernando villavicencio. as a journalist, he had campaigned against corruption. violent crime has risen dramatically in recent years, with ecuador becoming a hub for drug gangs smuggling cocaine produced in colombia, peru and bolivia. let's bring you a little bit more on our top story now to remind you what has been happening. crowds of people have gathered at the border between egypt and the gaza strip after us media said it was about to reopen. the decision would allow desperately—needed aid into the territory, and some foreigners, including us citizens, to leave. but the rafah crossing remains closed. hamas and israel have denied reports that they've agreed a truce in southern gaza. the us secretary of state was in cairo on sunday to persuade egyptian officials to reopen the border point. he's now returned to israel, as it prepares a major ground operation in the gaza strip. over the weekend, he held talks in six arab states, wanting to alleviate gaza's humanitarian crisis and stop the war escalating. there's been no let—up in israel's bombardment of gaza. palestinian sources reported that israel's airforce struck 20 targets overnight, with the detonations among the heaviest seen in the last nine days. we can perhaps give you a live picture of what is happening in gaza now. we can bring you some new lines coming in to assume our correspondence on the ground in the area. our middle east correspondent injerusalem has said to us that on the egyptian side of the rafah crossing, there are apparently very long lines of lorries waiting to bring tonnes of aid into gaza. while on the gaza side, she says, there are crowds and crowds of palestinians with foreign passports hoping to leave. the only thing we have heard is that un officials are saying that this could end up becoming an unprecedented humanitarian catastrophe. they are worried about hospitals running out of fuel within the next 2a hours. we are also hearing from our international editor, he is across the gaza israel war, he has been saying that he has just visited a kibbutz which overlooks gaza where one of the big massacres took place one of the big massacres took place on october the 7th, he says the situation there is a lot, with a lot of soldiers coming to and fro. we have also had the over 2700 people in gaza have been killed by those strikes from israel. we also know now that there is no truce between hamas and israel. this was reported but it is been denied by prime minister benjamin netanyahu and hamas. we are also waiting to hear more from the secretary of state, antony blinken, latest return visit to israel after he visited a number of arab states to try and broker some sort of progress in terms of getting the humanitarian situation to improve. as always, we have a brilliant live page on the bbc website updated minute by minute by our correspondence. do go there if you are stepping away from the television. if you are not though, stay with us on bbc news. i am back in a few minutes. goodbye. hello. the new week starts in the way the weekend was, with temperatures below average for the time of year. quite a chilly start to the week. that's denoted by the blues on this chart. however, warmer than normal temperatures — these are the oranges and reds — push towards us this week, but they will come at a price. the pressure chart tells the tale. high pressure recedes, low pressure is going to take hold across much of western europe. it's going to bring outbreaks of rain, some of it should be relentless in eastern scotland later in the week, and some very strong winds, particularly around the north sea again, later in the week. as for the here and now, well, the winds are light for most. a bit of a breeze blowing through shetland. a few showers here. more of a breeze developing towards the south—west. in—between, most will be dry. a few showers in south—west scotland, eastern northern ireland, and one or two later on across parts of east anglia. but compared with the weekend, a lot more cloud around. and the sunshine that we do have, a bit on the hazy side. temperatures all fairly similar to what we saw yesterday, at around 11 to 1a degrees. now, into this evening and overnight, where the winds are lightest across parts of scotland, northern ireland, northern england, skies clearest. tomorrow, here, we see the coldest conditions into tomorrow morning. the greatest chance of frost for your tuesday—morning commute. head further south, temperatures nowhere near as low. we saw temperatures down to —1, this morning, 8 or 9 degrees for many. a bit more breeze, a bit more cloud, and that cloud towards cornwall, devon will bring outbreaks of rain through the day, eventually pushing in towards the far south—west of wales, pembrokeshire, also carmarthenshire. most of you, though, will be dry. sunshine again, fairly hazy. the bluest of the skies the further north you are. and temperatures for all just lifting by a degree or so compared to what we've seen the past few days. and that's because we start to drag in south—easterly winds as we go through into the middle part of the week, but these weather fronts push their way up northwards. with it, strengthening winds across the country for wednesday. outbreaks of rain initially across scotland ease for a time. elsewhere, some drier and brighter weather, but some of the more persistent rain will be there across parts of wales and the south—west later. for all, as i said, a windy day. temperatures will rise a bit but, of course, that will be tempered by the strength of the wind, especially across parts of scotland and north—east england. beyond that, winds could get even stronger still around north sea coasts. we'll all see rain at times for the end of the week and into the weekend. there will be some drier moments, and temperatures will temporarily rise, before dropping at the weekend. take care. today at 1:00pm, i'm live in southern israel where israel's military preparations gather pace. we're less than a mile from gaza, where a humanitarian crisis gets ever worse. the border between egypt and gaza remains closed, after more than a million people fled south from northern gaza. israel has carried out further air strikes against what it says are hamas targets ahead of an expected ground invasion of gaza. president biden has a warning for israel. hamas and the extreme elements of hamas don't represent all the palestinian people. it would be a mistake for israel to occupy gaza again. and the other main stories on the programme this lunchtime... a british man linked to the islamic state death squad known as the beatles pleads guilty to terrorism charges. from today, low income households in england, scotland and wales will get letters telling them about a £150 payment to help with their energy bills. 100 years after walt disney founded his world famous movie studio,