let's show you live pictures from gaza now. the israeli army has asked residents of several different areas across the gaza strip to leave their homes. move to the city centres or take refuge in shelters in preparation for launching attacks against hamas targets. witnesses told the bbc that dozens of families had started leaving their homes and were sheltering in un schools. this comes as israeli troops are still going house to house to clear communities after the saturday assault. we are hearing there is still fighting ongoing in southern israel at this hour. let's get some reaction now from washington. us secretary of state antony blinken spoke with several of his european counterparts. state department spokesperson matthew miller says they discussed and condemned the hamas attacks and underlined the us support for israel's right to defend itself. live now to elliot abrams, who served in the george w bush and trump administrations. welcome to you. thank you for joining us. the biden administration is calling for allies around the world to form allies around the world to form a coalition to respond to this. what are your expectations for this? i what are your expectations for this? ~' , this? i think there will be lots of support _ this? i think there will be lots of support for - this? i think there will be lots of support for israel| this? i think there will be i lots of support for israel for a few days, and this is what we saw in the 2006 lebanon war, then casualties appear on the other side, then casualties appear on the otherside, in then casualties appear on the other side, in this case, in gaza. then people tend to fade away and the initial support weakens or disappears. but in terms of the _ weakens or disappears. but in terms of the us _ weakens or disappears. but in terms of the us support, - weakens or disappears. but in terms of the us support, do l weakens or disappears. but in l terms of the us support, do you anticipate that being steadfast and what do you think, and to what lengths do you think, washington will go to in order to support its key ally, its longtime ally, israel? ithink president — longtime ally, israel? ithink president biden _ longtime ally, israel? ithink president biden was - longtime ally, israel? ithink president biden was quite i president biden was quite strong today in saying that the us would, and i think it means two things. it means diplomatic support for israel at the un if there are efforts by others in there are efforts by others in the security council, the general assembly, to condemn israel. and it may mean resupply if, in the course of the next week, say, israel runs short of any particular item. it would mean sending it to them as the us did in the 1973 war. 50 years ago almost exactly to the day.- exactly to the day. you mentioned _ exactly to the day. you mentioned there - exactly to the day. you mentioned there the i exactly to the day. you - mentioned there the united states —— united nations and we know the security council will meet tomorrow, sunday. do you think that anything can be achieved there?— think that anything can be achieved there? no. i don't think at this— achieved there? no. i don't think at this point - achieved there? no. i don't think at this point there - achieved there? no. i don'tj think at this point there will be a condemnation of us by name. there may be a condemnation of violence —— hamas. in the past has been difficult to get through condemnations of loss, that's what i look for. i think it will be a strong sign of support for israel. and a strong sign that countries such as china and russia really do disapprove of what hamas did but i'm doubtful it will happen and i think there'd probably be the kind of land resolution thatjust the kind of land resolution that just calls for, the kind of land resolution thatjust calls for, you know, an end to violence.— thatjust calls for, you know, an end to violence. and what about, then, _ an end to violence. and what about, then, the _ an end to violence. and what about, then, the netanyahul about, then, the netanyahu administration? if we look at the language used today by the prime minister, he has vowed to the destruction of hamas. how far do you think benjamin netanyahu will now be looking to go? netanyahu will now be looking to no? ., netanyahu will now be looking too? ., 4' ., netanyahu will now be looking to io? ., 4' ., netanyahu will now be looking too? ., ~ ., ., to go? you know, if you go back to go? you know, if you go back to the 2006 _ to go? you know, if you go back to the 2006 lebanon _ to go? you know, if you go back to the 2006 lebanon war, - to go? you know, if you go back to the 2006 lebanon war, the i to the 2006 lebanon war, the prime minister then sat on day one that he would destroy hezbollah. of course, that didn't happen. i think it will be very substantial israeli attacks on him us ———— hamas because they thought that hamas would never do anything, like this, and so able hit hard. and i think there will be a government of national immunity but after this is over, let's say a month from now, i think there will be a commission of national enquiry and i think the netanyahu's reputation as mr security is really damaged. i think he's got a lot to answerfor in this i think he's got a lot to answer for in this terrible intelligence failure.- intelligence failure. you mentioned _ intelligence failure. you mentioned 2006. - intelligence failure. you mentioned 2006. if- intelligence failure. you mentioned 2006. if we | intelligence failure. you i mentioned 2006. if we can intelligence failure. you mentioned 2006. if we can go back to that moment because back to that moment because back then the united states gave the un along with —— gave israel along wish to change was the ground so do you think that can happen again? in the ground so do you think that can happen again?— can happen again? in my case the war lasted _ can happen again? in my case the war lasted a _ can happen again? in my case the war lasted a month - can happen again? in my case the war lasted a month or - can happen again? in my case the war lasted a month or 34| the war lasted a month or 3a days exactly but after a couple of weeks the united states was beginning, at least the state department, beginning to push israel to stop it. i think that's likely to happen here. that is, i think the israelis have a few weeks. i doubt they have a few weeks. i doubt they have much more than about a month. ., ., ., i. month. how long to you potentially _ month. how long to you potentially foresee - month. how long to youj potentially foresee what month. how long to you - potentially foresee what we are seeing now going on for when we are witnessing what appears to be an unprecedented attack? well, i think the hamas attack will end soon because they will be pushed out and back to gaza and because they will, at some point, run out of rockets and missiles to keep shooting. the question for israel is whether they plan to do a bigger version of what they've done in the past, which is attacks. or do they plan to go in on the ground? everyone air attacks. do they plan to go in on the ground? everyone airattacks. i don't think there is any taste for a kind of don�*t think there is any taste for a kind of re— don't think there is any taste for a kind of re— conquering of gaza going back to pre—2005 when prime minister sharon took the idea out of gaza. —— took the idea out of gaza. —— took the idf. i may be wrong it seems they don't really want to run gaza. what they want to do is enormous damage to hamas. d0 is enormous damage to hamas. do ou is enormous damage to hamas. do you think there is any policy that the united states or, indeed, its international partners can pursue to de—escalate the situation? i don't, because i think the main support and encouragement for hamas is coming from iran. and it isn't going to stop. it's true that when they were very, very heavy sanctions on iran and they couldn't really sell much oil, they have less money and they have less money for hezbollah and less for hamas and others. but i don't think that unless you can get iran out of the business of supporting him us —— hamas and hasluck, the underlying situation is going to change. elliott abrams there joining us. thank you so much for your perfect gift tonight, really appreciate it. —— your perspective tonight. live now to laurin—whitney gottbrath, world editor at axios. good to see you, thank you for being with us and i want to begin on getting your thoughts to what we heard from elliot abrams. i to what we heard from elliot abrams. ~ ., to what we heard from elliot abrams. ~ . abrams. i think what he said, what a lot _ abrams. i think what he said, what a lot of _ abrams. i think what he said, what a lot of folks _ abrams. i think what he said, what a lot of folks who - abrams. i think what he said, what a lot of folks who have l what a lot of folks who have been covering this conflict for years would agree with that. i do think israel does not have much time in terms of attention by the west. at least at the level that will see in the next week or couple a few weeks ahead. i do think in terms of the us and what the us will do is obviously very complicated by our own domestic politics at the moment, especially in congress and whether or not biden can get congress to approve any sort of additional funding for israel and any sort of closed time frame. obviously, that very much depends on what happens in the house and i think it is another factor that is complicating or potentially could complicate sort of how the us also goes about this.— about this. that's a really interesting _ about this. that's a really interesting point - about this. that's a really interesting point and - about this. that's a really interesting point and on | about this. that's a really i interesting point and on that point i want to bring in elise labott, she is from politico and as you heard, this comes at and as you heard, this comes at a difficult time domestically for the united states right now. we have a paralysed congress, do you think that this will have a bearing on how the us is able to proceed in terms of its support here? i don't, i think that you saw kyle — don't, i think that you saw kyle earlier give the statements from other congressmen and i think on capitol— congressmen and i think on capitol hill, everyone tries to out israel_ capitol hill, everyone tries to out israel each other and more supportive than the next and especially on the republican side — especially on the republican side. you have a bit on the democratic side, the hardline progressives. starting to be a little — progressives. starting to be a little bit — progressives. starting to be a little bit more pro— palestinian, that's been a problem for the israelis, palestinian, that's been a problem forthe israelis, in fact— problem forthe israelis, in fact israeli officials have been _ fact israeli officials have been over here over the last year— been over here over the last year or— been over here over the last year or so_ been over here over the last year or so to try to woo progressives but on the republican side, everyone is pro- — republican side, everyone is pro— israeland ifanything is going — pro— israeland ifanything is going to _ pro— israeland ifanything is going to inspire them to get their— going to inspire them to get their act— going to inspire them to get their act together, i think it'll— their act together, i think it'll be _ their act together, i think it'll be we don't have a us commander in the region because of szeremeta tommy tuberville's hold on _ of szeremeta tommy tuberville's hold on military appointments. we may— hold on military appointments. we may see they go away pretty quick— we may see they go away pretty quick -- _ we may see they go away pretty quick —— senator. there will be an effort— quick —— senator. there will be an effort to _ quick —— senator. there will be an effort to show solidarity just — an effort to show solidarity just like _ an effort to show solidarity just like again we have been, the whole 9/11 comparison, just after _ the whole 9/11 comparison, just after 9/ii — the whole 9/11 comparison, just after 9/11 when everyone united. _ after 9/11 when everyone united, i think there's been —— ithink— united, i think there's been —— i think there will be a real show_ i think there will be a real show of— i think there will be a real show of support for israel right— show of support for israel right now and as elliott was saying _ right now and as elliott was saying about the us giving isreel— saying about the us giving israel a _ saying about the us giving israel a kind of long leash, it's true _ israel a kind of long leash, it's true i_ israel a kind of long leash, it's true. i think they will let them _ it's true. i think they will let them do what they need to do. let them do what they need to d0~ you — let them do what they need to do. you are going to hear calls for a _ do. you are going to hear calls for a ceasefire, let's wrap this— for a ceasefire, let's wrap this up. _ for a ceasefire, let's wrap this up, lipservice about civilians, you know, avoiding civilian— civilians, you know, avoiding civilian casualties which they mean. — civilian casualties which they mean. by— civilian casualties which they mean, by the way that they know israel_ mean, by the way that they know israel will— mean, by the way that they know israel will have to do what it needs— israel will have to do what it needs to _ israel will have to do what it needs to do. i think this will io needs to do. i think this will go on — needs to do. i think this will go on for— needs to do. i think this will go on for quite a while. inaudible behind the scenes the support could look like militarily, the replenishing of the iron dome, what sort of things could the us offer to bolster its already the idf is already well stocked but to bolster the defence? i think sophisticated _ bolster the defence? i think sophisticated weapons - bolster the defence? i think - sophisticated weapons systems and ammunition and it could be very— and ammunition and it could be very hard — and ammunition and it could be very hard on the intelligence time — very hard on the intelligence time frame, it was an intelligence value for the israelis but also, i have to say, — israelis but also, i have to say, for— israelis but also, i have to say, for the us because the relationship is very close but it will— relationship is very close but it will be _ relationship is very close but it will be a lot more co—ordination and intelligence and it's— co—ordination and intelligence and it's going to be the replenishing of the iron dome batteries because all of this incoming rockets will be very important. the us has a very robust — important. the us has a very robust military supply deal with— robust military supply deal with israel about giving its military— with israel about giving its military supplies and i think it may— military supplies and i think it may be sped up. but already a lot— it may be sped up. but already a lot of— it may be sped up. but already a lot of things in the pipeline so i — a lot of things in the pipeline so i think— a lot of things in the pipeline so i think it's probably speeding up and making sure that israel has everything it needs— that israel has everything it needs but then there is also going — needs but then there is also going to _ needs but then there is also going to be the question of their— going to be the question of their guard rails on some of these — their guard rails on some of these questions —— weapons, some — these questions —— weapons, some you've see them giving to the ukrainians that have been very— the ukrainians that have been very controversial like cluster munitions, things like that. they— munitions, things like that. they will— munitions, things like that. they will avoid anything that can really do damage to civilians. in can really do damage to civilians.— can really do damage to civilians. ., ., ., civilians. in anticipation of what benjamin _ civilians. in anticipation of what benjamin netanyahu civilians. in anticipation of- what benjamin netanyahu has failed will be a fierce response and i want to go to laurin—whitney, listening to that, the world editor at axiata. haps you could sketch out a bit of the situation in terms of the gaza strip and palestinians living there now been told to get out —— axios. of course, eating in and out is controlled, as we know, by israeli authorities so talk to us about the conditions in their and what they'll be facing. their and what they'll be facini. , , their and what they'll be facini. , ., , facing. absolutely. gaza itself is incredibly _ facing. absolutely. gaza itself is incredibly densely - is incredibly densely populated. as you said, it's very difficult for palestinians to get in or out via border crossings into israel, which we know will not obviously be possible in this situation or, indeed, into egypt. egypt controls the border crossing there. so, in terms of palestinian civilians, they've been through perhaps not at this level in some time, these bombardments, but they have been through this years and years and years and, you know, in terms of getting out, it's nearly impossible. thatjust nearly impossible. that just means nearly impossible. thatjust means getting out of potentially areas in which there may be, you know, a large number of hamas, either fighters or infrastructure or anything like that but that being said, because it is such a small area and did so densely populated, there is really nowhere for folks to go to get out and even if folks are taking shelter in un schools, history has taught us that a lot of times, even those places are not necessarily safer civilians either.- are not necessarily safer civilians either. we are sadly exnecting — civilians either. we are sadly expecting high _ civilians either. we are sadly expecting high casualty - civilians either. we are sadly - expecting high casualty numbers particularly in gaza.— particularly in gaza. we've already seen _ particularly in gaza. we've already seen that - particularly in gaza. we've already seen that on - particularly in gaza. we've already seen that on both | particularly in gaza. we've - already seen that on both sides in the last day.— in the last day. thank you for beini in the last day. thank you for being with — in the last day. thank you for being with us. _ in the last day. thank you for being with us. here - in the last day. thank you for being with us. here in - in the last day. thank you for being with us. here in the . being with us. here in the studio with me has been elise labott. thanks for your analysis, greatly appreciated our security correspondent frank gardner had this analysis on what some critics are calling an inteligence failure that should have prevented the palestinian attack. so, this map here gives you some idea of the extent of hamas's infiltration across the border from gaza into southern israel. these are 17 locations where we have verified the presence of palestinian militants in this attack. from up in space, this is what that area of southern israel looked like today. just look at all that smoke coming from burning buildings. if we zoom in you can see the heat spots that we've enhanced so you can see them. now, all these cross—border infiltrations by palestinian militants taken together with the thousands of rockets fired at israel represent a massive intelligence failure from israel. it should have seen this coming because they had regular military patrols going along that border. this is footage taken some years earlier. but they had cameras, sensors, informants inside the militant groups. and yet hamas was able to charge through that border, crossing it with things like this bulldozer, paragliders, by land, sea and air, and all the while, hamas has been sending more missiles into places like this, tel aviv, this office and residential block here, hitting buildings while the israeli air force hits gaza. however this ends, it will go down as one of the worst failures of israeli intelligence in 50 years. oui’ our security correspondence there, frank gardner. live now to barbara starr, a longtime pentagon correspondent who's now senior fellow at the usc annenberg center on communication leadership & policy. barbara, great to have you back with us. you are just listening to that report from our security correspondence. i want to get your thoughts on his reporting. well, i think that it is all beginning to lay out somewhat as you would expect. while the israeli government is clearly, because of the disaster and terrible things that happened today and the level of attack, having the rhetoric that it's making that all—out effort, this will be it for hamas. we will have to see how that really plays out. if you are going to go after hamas and put them out of business once and for all, that is going to be a lengthy proposition, that is going to be a long time, you'll need a lot of continuing support on the world stage and history recently tells us world stage has a short attention span on matters. we will have to see how much progress the israeli government can make as fast as possible in going after the hamas targets that they have. i think what will happen likely is there will be continuing concern about the rhine's involvement behind—the—scenes. will it get more involved? —— iran's and israel could a second front in the north along the 11 non— border with hezbollah, that will be a concern. there is a long way to go. to use the cliche, it is the beginning of the beginning. we will have to see how it all sorts out and we will need to be precise intelligent to go after hamas targets if they want to go after leadership. the big challenge is that human target. you have to know where it is worded as at the very moment your bottomlands, what building visited, is that person in, what remotely and, what car in the convoy by the end, you really have to have explicit intelligence to go after these targets and that is something the israelis today came up very short on having. figs the israelis today came up very short on having.— short on having. as you say, at a time of _ short on having. as you say, at a time of intelligence - a time of intelligence challenges. barbara starr, thank you so much for now. speaking from gaza city, the general secretary of the palestinian national initiative mustafa barghouti told the bbc that these attacks were a consequence of the israeli control of gaza. it's an unprecedented is really fairly official, israel's was taken by surprise and it's amazing how unprepared they were given it is the most monitored area in the world, probably. but the attacks from gaza came as a response to many things. first of all, we are under israeli military occupation for 56 years now and the world is doing nothing to and that occupation. that occupation has transformed into the worst system of apartheid ever, much worse but not prevailed in south africa. this has been the longest occupation and at the same time since during the last eight months we have been subjected as palestinians to attacks from israeli settlers terror which took the lives of 248 palestinians including 40 children. and more than that, netanyahu stood up at the united nations, raised a map of israel that included all of the west bank, all of the gaza strip, of course eastjerusalem as well as the heights and his government has been declaring that they have no intention whatsoever to talk to palestinians, to have peace with palestinians. live now to bbc state department correspondent barbara plett usher. great to see you. president biden has pledged unqualifying support. what does that mean and what does that look like? do we know at this stage? administration officials painted a picture for us about what mr barton and the team had been doing since they heard about the attack starting very early in the morning, american time, that there was an intensive engagement and that intensive engagement and that intensive engagement and that intensive engagement would continue on all levels. so that meant, as you've probably been hearing already, intelligence co—ordination, there is of course intelligence co—ordination all along they're going to be working together very closely in particular now. military to military co—ordination, the defence secretary has called his counterpart and basically talked about what sort of needs the israelis see coming, of course they already have very well supplied weapons from the americans over many years and also get a huge amount of military funding from the americans so it's a question of the systems they have and whether they need to be resupplied and that sort of thing that i think the administration will be very quick to respond to any sort of request that they have and intensity, basically administration officials from the state department to the national security council have been flooding the zone of making calls to every level basically to their counterparts in israel and also to the countries in the region with an eye on hoping to contain the conflict and that it won't spread into the rest of the middle east as a gate you've been hearing the concern that there might be a new front opened with hezbollah in lebanon and that sort of thing. but also what it means is the americans will give the israelis quite a big window to do what they want to do, that there are calls for a ceasefire or a straight will be held back and that they will give the israelis a free hand before they start making public and even private notices to radiant. i even private notices to radiant-— even private notices to radiant. i want to touch briefly on _ radiant. i want to touch briefly on the _ radiant. i want to touch briefly on the situation | radiant. i want to touch i briefly on the situation on radiant. i want to touch - briefly on the situation on the ground tonight, early morning there. you've reported extensively from the region and now we're seeing, as you retaliation from israel on gaza at densely packed areas. could you walk us through the conditions on the ground in the gaza strip at a time when people are being told to get out of it? i people are being told to get out of it?— out of it? i don't know what listed netanyahu _ out of it? i don't know what listed netanyahu meant - out of it? i don't know what listed netanyahu meant by| listed netanyahu meant by saying that gazans should leave and out of the way because that's the biggest problem, they are stuck there in a tiny area, territory ways. there is area, territory ways. there is a closure of gaza since 2007, i think it is, and by the egyptians, it should be said, they cannot leave into egypt either they don't have anywhere to go. it's very densely populated. you've seen pictures from gaza city, not all of kaiser is quite built—up but still even if you have this very intelligence about pinprick strikes on hamas leadership to carry those out with some sort of, without some sort of civilian casualties, and we've seen reports now that the netanyahu will be ordering and to electricity and supplies to gaza, so it will be a situation where people really have to survive, to hunker down, allowing each other and to try to get supplies to each other —— rely on each other. and really have to feel that they may not make it through this one because this has happened, there has been limited was between hamas and israel, about four of them i think in the past ten years, something like that, and there is the sort of pattern to them, to their attacks, the israelis from gaza and after a certain amount of time the international committee, especially the americans are stepping in and there is some sort of motorist river dee agreed. this one i think every body knows will be quite extended so they are basically hunkering down. i would say that, 0k, hunkering down. i would say that, ok, i'll leave it there. as always, we really appreciate your experience and analysis. thank you so very much for being with us. you're watching rolling coverage of unprecedented tax of attacks by hamas to gaza. join us at the top of the hour. bye for now. hello. rarely do we see a day of weather contrasts quite as stark as those we experienced during saturday. across many parts of scotland we had huge amounts of rain, flooding and disruption. we had this met office amber warning in force. this expiring through the first part of sunday morning but this new warning stretching from aberdeenshire up towards inverness, this warning is in force until 2pm on sunday with further flooding and disruption likely. this is the rain we had on saturday. it was relentless. well over 100 millimetres of rain in places and some spots in the north of scotland only got to 7—8 degrees. compare that with 25 in southeast england, those huge contrasts. that was the warmest october day we've seen in five years. into sunday, this frontal system still plaguing parts of scotland with some outbreaks of rain. the focus for the heaviest rain does shift a little further northwards and eastwards. still though some rain through the central belt, could cause further problems, southern scotland looking drier with a little bit of sunshine. patchy cloud and sunny spells for northern ireland. quite murky for some western coasts of england and wales and a bit more cloud for eastern coasts too, but we should, broadly speaking, see some spells of sunshine on what will be another very warm day for the time of year — 25, 26 degrees, not as cold across the north of scotland. heading through sunday night, we will still see some bits and pieces of rain across scotland, maybe fringing into northern ireland, but generally it will turn a bit drier, quite windy in the far north, very mild as we start monday morning with some areas of low cloud, mist and fog, particularly for western coasts and some of that could linger as we go through the day. scotland certainly drier than it has been, although this little line of rain could just plague the southwest of scotland from time to time. temperatures north to south — 13 in stornoway, still 24 in london. moving deeper into the week, we will see something of a change, that warmth is set to be swept away. a frontal system pushing its way south and east through the middle of the week, heavy rain with that, and behind it something cooler, something a bit more like we would expect at this time of year. so a mainly dry, warm start to the week but things will change from midweek onwards. live from washington, this is bbc news. the israeli army warns gaza residents to flee their homes as it prepares to step up strikes on hamas targets in retaliation for deadly militant rocket attacks on israel. dozens of israeli hostages have now reportedly been released hours after palestinian militants launched a surprise raid on israel but the deadly conflict continues to escalate. hello, i'm carl nasman. let's get straight to the breaking news out of israel, and it's been a day of dramatic and deadly developments. here's the latest. the israeli army has told residents of seven different areas across the gaza strip to take refuge in shelters as it prepares to launch new attacks on hamas targets. meanwhile, israeli hostages who were held in a southern town have reportedly been rescued — that's according to israel's public broadcaster. three israeli soldiers were moderately and lightly wounded. and on the diplomatic front, us secretary of state antony blinken has called for "calm and stability" in the west bank during a call with palestinian president mahmoud abbas. and israel's allies have shown their support through displays like this. here's berlin's brandenburg gate lit up in white and blue to show support for israel. let's show you live pictures from gaza now.

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