now than there were before the pandemic began. that is what my staff have been working on in downing street, mr speaker, and i'm proud of that. some mps are accusing borisjohnson of misleading parliament over lockdown parties in downing st. the leader of the scottish conservatives is saying the number of letters needed to trigger a leadership vote is getting near. 5a letters are needed to trigger a leadership vote. over the next hour we'll look at how borisjohnson got here, his brushes with controversy and his future as prime minister. another really important story from downing street today, england will relax covid restrictions from next week. mandatory facemasks and covid passports or both to be dropped. boris johnson's future hangs in the balance over lockdown parties held in downing street. after days of public anger over lockdown parties here in downing street, the pressure is building, not least when former brexit secretary, a conservative mp, said this. like many on these benches i spent weeks and months defending the prime minister against often angry constituents. i reminded them of his success in delivering brexit and the vaccines and many other things. but i expect my leaders to shoulder the responsibility for the actions they take. yesterday he did the opposite of that. so, i remind him of a quotation, altogether too familiar to him, of leo amery to neville chamberlain. "you have sat there too long, for all the good you have done. in the name of god, go." cheering. david davis, who you just heard there, is a former cabinet minister and a prominient brexiteer. he has worked alongside boris johnson in delivering that here in the uk. here's how the prime minister responded. ithank my... shouting. i thank... order! prime minister. i must say to the right honourable mentleman, i don't know what he's talking about. but i can tell him, i don't know what quotation he is alluding to. but what i can tell him is that... and i think i've told this house repeatedly and throughout this pandemic, i take full responsibility for everything done in this government and throughout the pandemic. we have seen attitudes towards boris johnson harden to some degree after comments he made yesterday. he said that he wasn't told that a drinks party, held in the number 10 garden during england's first lockdown, would break covid rules. plenty of heated exchanges with leader of the opposition keir starmer about that. first he said there were no parties. then the video landed, blowing that defence out of the water. next he said he was sicker than furious when he found out about the parties, until it turns out that he himself was at the downing street garden party. then last week he said he didn't realise he was at a party. and, surprise surprise, no one believed him. so this week he's got a new defence. "nobody warned me that it was against the rules." that's it. and nobody told him. since the prime minister wrote the rules, why on earth does he think this new defence is going to work for him? thank you, mr speaker. well, he talks about the rules, and let me repeat what i said to the honourable lady across the aisle earlier on. of course, mr speaker, we must wait for the outcome of the enquiry. but i will review what i have said. our political correspondent is with me in downing street. where have we gone too on the maths? figs me in downing street. where have we gone too on the maths?— me in downing street. where have we gone too on the maths? as ever these letters are something _ gone too on the maths? as ever these letters are something that _ gone too on the maths? as ever these letters are something that is - gone too on the maths? as ever these letters are something that is a - gone too on the maths? as ever these letters are something that is a bit - letters are something that is a bit shrouded in secrecy. we will never know until we know whether the threshold of 5a letters of no confidence in the prime minister has been reached. we do know a number of mps have said on record, publicly, that they have submitted a letter of no confidence. christian wakeford, the mp who defected from the conservative to labour today was one of those who had submitted a letter of those who had submitted a letter of no confidence. his letter will no longer count because he is no longer a conservative mp. we have been told around ten mps elected in 2019 have submitted letters of no confidence will stop in terms of the mass, we can predict that more than a dozen have submitted a letter of no confidence in the prime minister but there may be more we don't know about and there may be more who have written them are not submitted them yet. written them are not submitted them et. .,, ., ., written them are not submitted them et. ., ., , , yet. those who have sent in letters and are willing _ yet. those who have sent in letters and are willing to _ yet. those who have sent in letters and are willing to tell _ yet. those who have sent in letters and are willing to tell us _ yet. those who have sent in letters and are willing to tell us they - yet. those who have sent in letters and are willing to tell us they have | and are willing to tell us they have done so, why would they not do what the prime minister suggests and wait for the sue gray report, why are theyjumping the gun? fix, for the sue gray report, why are theyjumping the gun? pa. 11th for the sue gray report, why are theyjumping the gun?— for the sue gray report, why are theyjumping the gun? they “umping the gun? a lot of mps feel theyjumping the gun? a lot of mps feel there is — theyjumping the gun? a lot of mps feel there is not _ theyjumping the gun? a lot of mps feel there is not much _ theyjumping the gun? a lot of mps feel there is not much more - theyjumping the gun? a lot of mps feel there is not much more the - theyjumping the gun? a lot of mps| feel there is not much more the sue gray report can reveal that is not already in the public domain. there are some who i have spoken today, conservative mps, who want to follow due process and have all the facts on the table about what the events were, what the purpose was, who was in attendance, before they make up their mind. but it's safe to say there are a number of conservative mps not particularly happy about the current situation, very much not happy about how the prime minister has handled the whole situation, who are waiting until that sue gray report comes out before they decide what action to take.— what action to take. thinking back a few ears what action to take. thinking back a few years to — what action to take. thinking back a few years to when _ what action to take. thinking back a few years to when theresa - what action to take. thinking back a few years to when theresa may - what action to take. thinking back a few years to when theresa may wasi few years to when theresa may was prime minister trying to get a brexit deal through parliament and we used to look at the conservative party in blocks of mps who might go one way or the other on that issue. can we talk about those blocks existing now with regards to boris johnson? ~ . �* , that's going on in the conservative party at the moment, there is no one faction, there is no hard brexiteer or remain a group in the way there was before. there are lots of different factions that are upset for different reasons. we have groups of brexiteer mps are unhappy about the way borisjohnson has handled it. mp david davis spoke about a gap —— spoke out against the prime minister today. we have a group of mps elected in 2019 also unhappy about this. particular last night, some pretty hostile briefings against them from senior conservatives, called the them idiots and nobodies. that only fuelled the flame for some of those mps. and one nation tories who are not particularly aligned with boris johnson and his beliefs. there are multiple factions. one thing that has united these factions today is this defection by mp christian wakeford. surprisingly, ithink, having had this very hostile environment last night when the pm was looking very vulnerable indeed, i think today both some of these critical voices but also some boris johnson loyalists seem to have united behind the fact that this move by christian wakeford to defect to the labour party is sort of 1—step of disloyalty to far and interestingly feel pretty burned by the fact he has decided to make that move. ., , ._ , the fact he has decided to make that move. ., , , ., move. you will stay with us for outside source _ move. you will stay with us for outside source throughout - move. you will stay with us for outside source throughout the | move. you will stay with us for - outside source throughout the hour in downing street. in a dramatic moment, one conservative mp defected — just minutes before prime minister's questions kicked off. cheering. you can see christian wakeford — mp for bury south — crossing the floor and joining his new colleagues in the labour party. he was welcomed by the party's leader, keir starmer. mr speaker, like so many people up and down the country, he has concluded that the prime minister and the conservative party have shown themselves incapable of offering the leadership and government this country deserves, whereas the labour party stands ready to provide an alternative government that the country can be proud of. here's christian wakeford himself talking about that decision. far too many issues where i felt we were on the wrong side. compromise is not a dirty word but it is possible to compromise too far and when it's getting to the point where it's difficult to explain some of these issues then you know it's wrong. at the moment we have a party trying to defend the indefensible, and they are doing so badly. —— and they are doing so gladly. that's not right, it's not fair, and it doesn't respect the country or the office. we can speak to the last conservative mp for bury south who left in 1997 when the seat went to labour. what's your reaction to what happened earlier? to labour. what's your reaction to what happened earlier?— happened earlier? to be honest i find it difficult — happened earlier? to be honest i find it difficult to _ happened earlier? to be honest i find it difficult to take _ happened earlier? to be honest i find it difficult to take christian . find it difficult to take christian wakeford seriously. only a couple of days ago he was, as a conservative mp, putting in a letter to sir graham brady asking for a vote of no confidence in the prime ministerfor stop a few months ago i saw on bbc today he was speaking in the house saying the labour party could not possibly represent working people and they were not capable of doing it. so if he has had a conversion to socialism then it has been a very short route. i think he has made a wrong decision. i think he will regret it because he can have his day in the sun today, he will be leading the news broadcasts, he will be a very popular guy, but in two or three months�* time, christian who i think people will say. we three months' time, christian who i think people will say.— think people will say. we will see where he ends _ think people will say. we will see where he ends up _ think people will say. we will see where he ends up in _ think people will say. we will see where he ends up in a _ think people will say. we will see where he ends up in a few- think people will say. we will see l where he ends up in a few months' where he ends up in a few months�* time, but what about the situation right now? he has clearly concluded that a party that tolerates boris johnson as leader is not one he wants to be in. can you understand why he has doubts about that leadership given everything that happened in number ten during the pandemic? happened in number ten during the andemic? , , ., pandemic? yes, i can understand him havin: his pandemic? yes, i can understand him having his doubts. _ pandemic? yes, i can understand him having his doubts. he _ pandemic? yes, i can understand him having his doubts. he took— pandemic? yes, i can understand him having his doubts. he took a - pandemic? yes, i can understand him having his doubts. he took a course i having his doubts. he took a course of action as a conservative mp to change the leadership of the conservative party. but i cannot understand him suddenly having a conversion to the labour party, that they are solutions to the problems of borisjohnson. it doesn�*t make sense. it seems to me that he is all over the shop. he is only two years in the house of commons, when mehdi dedicated people in bury south went out and voted for him and worked damn hard to get him elected and they will find his decision quite extraordinary. —— when many dedicated people. extraordinary. -- when many dedicated people.— extraordinary. -- when many dedicated people. let's talk about bury south- _ dedicated people. let's talk about bury south. the _ dedicated people. let's talk about bury south. the conservative - dedicated people. let's talk about i bury south. the conservative prime minister made much about the party winning it in 2019. tell us about the constituency and the party�*s relationship with constituents because it�*s not a place where historically the party has done well. it historically the party has done well. , . . . historically the party has done well. , . ., ., , ., historically the party has done well. ., ., , ., ., well. it is a marginal seat, a bellwether _ well. it is a marginal seat, a bellwether seat. _ well. it is a marginal seat, a bellwether seat. it - well. it is a marginal seat, a bellwether seat. it was - well. it is a marginal seat, a i bellwether seat. it was created well. it is a marginal seat, a - bellwether seat. it was created in 1983 when i was elected and ever since then it has been the sort of seat which determines who rules britain. there are many of those seats in the north west of england and bury south is one of them. if we win bury south next time, and i very much hope we do, then i think you will have another conservative government and similarly so far as the labour party is concerned. it is a bellwether seat and it will be a tight run race whenever that comes. but the election is two years away and who knows what the issues will be then. but it will be a hard fight and i think christian wakeford will have a difficultjob actually convincing hardline labour activists convincing ha rdline labour activists see convincing hardline labour activists see is their man. after all, they have been campaigning against him for the last two years, actively so, and suddenly they find he is their new best friend. i think they will find that difficult to take.- find that difficult to take. david sumber: , find that difficult to take. david sumberg, thank _ find that difficult to take. david sumberg, thank you _ find that difficult to take. david sumberg, thank you for - find that difficult to take. david sumberg, thank you for speaking to us. we appreciate it. that advice, not to try to predict two years in advanceis not to try to predict two years in advance is probably good advice because at the moment things are so few broil in westminster it is difficult to predict where we will be in the next day, let alone in a couple of years. one particular group of mps is getting some attention, largely the tory mps elected in 2019. they seem to be participating in some kind of mutiny. it�*s been dubbed "the pork pie plot". many come from traditional labour heartlands, known as red wall seats. more than 20 of them have reportedly met to discuss ousting the prime minister. one mp told newsnight�*s nicholas watt, "they are so angry. they invested so much faith in borisjohnson. they are like a jilted lover." but one mp from the 2019 intake, joy morrissey, says she continues to back the prime minister. many of them across the country would not have been elected without borisjohnson and i think we�*ve all sort of come to that realisation. even today it was really an eye—opener across the house where we collectively thought, oh my gosh, this is the person that we want to have lead us through the pandemic, help with the economic recovery, and ijust wanted to come out here and publicly say that. a quick reminder of what a vote of no confidence actually entails. 15% of the party�*s mps would need to submit a letter of no confidence to sir graham brady. he�*s the head of the 1922 committee. that represents tory mps. we�*ve got 360 tory mps. so 5a letters would be needed to trigger a vote. remember though, the process is confidential, so only this man, sir graham brady, knows how many letters are in. the leader of the scottish conservatives, douglas ross, has said today he thinks that crucial number of 5a is within sight. i number of 54 is within sight. i think it is a near, all members can submit letters and can also withdraw them. there is a sniffing operation going on by wits at the moment encouraging colleagues who may have submitted a letter to withdraw it again so i think we are on a bit of again so i think we are on a bit of a roller—coaster ride, going up and down, but i think most people believe we are getting close to the 54 number than further away. let�*s hearfrom andrew bridgen — one of the conservative mps who says he has submitted a letter. well, i think that sue gray�*s report has been much touted but delayed. quite honestly, the workload she�*s got now is almost more than when she started because of the constant drip out of more allegations and alleged evidences. so when is this report actually going to come out? in the meantime, the prime minister and the government are effectively paralysed with every arm of government, lever of government, being used to defend the prime minister. that�*s not the job of the government. we are here to serve the people. there is no public evidence that graham brady has anywhere near 54 letters at the moment and even if he did, a vote of no confidence wouldn�*t necessarily mean the end of the prime minister. that is not what it does. more than 50% of tory mps would need to vote against the prime minister to actually oust him. if mps vote in support, he can stay as party leader and prime minister. and no new vote can be triggered for 12 months. that�*s the process we are looking at. conservative mp mark prichard said he is not worried about boris johnson�*s future. there is danger every week in political life, but i think the prime minister�*s performance today was robust, strong, and many colleagues that i�*ve spoken to since have said, look, perhaps we just need to give sue gray�*s enquiry time to report. i think that�*s only fair. the british people are fair—minded, they are a just people, and they would probably say, why are some people trying to encourage other mps trying to put their letters in before an enquiry is actually reported? this seems to be a crucial point we should emphasise. when these mps who would like borisjohnson gone consider their moves that they know they only have one go out this. exactly right. as we have discussed this evening, the way the process of voting in no confidence in a prime minister works is the first step, that 15% of conservative mps needing to submit a letter of no confidence in the prime minister. then the leader of the 1922 committee, sir graham brady, would need to call a vote of no confidence in the prime minister. of course there is no guarantee he would necessarily lose the vote. theresa may had a vote of no confidence called on her, and she ended up securing her place as prime minister. if that vote of no confidence is called then another one cannot be called for a further 12 months. if however the prime minister did lose a vote of no confidence, then there is still quite a lengthy process to go through. he would have a leadership contest that would be called, he would remain prime minister until a successor takes over and that�*s because as it stands in the constitution we cannot have any point in time where we don�*t have a prime minister at all. this is kind of a one—shot opportunity for tory mps who are not happy at the moment, which is why in particular some mps are considering the timing. privately talking to some mps who are not particularly happy with boris johnson�*s are not particularly happy with borisjohnson�*s performance of are not particularly happy with boris johnson�*s performance of the last couple of weeks in particular, some are very wary of the fact there are more trouble is coming down the line for him as well. as well as the recent scandals over downing street parties we know in april we are expecting tax rises, a rise in national insurance contributions, we expect energy bills to go up, we have seen inflation go up today and the cost of living issue is increasingly on the mind of the public and voters. among his harshest critics there is also a concern of if they were to replace him, would they want any successor to have to deal with those issues beforehand. to have to deal with those issues beforehand-— to have to deal with those issues beforehand. ., , ., ., , ., ~ beforehand. lots of factors, thank ou. beforehand. lots of factors, thank you. remember— beforehand. lots of factors, thank you. remember there _ beforehand. lots of factors, thank you. remember there is - beforehand. lots of factors, thank| you. remember there is extensive coverage of this political crisis in westminster on the bbc website as well. borisjohnson has built his career on being a more colourful character than most politicians — with ups and downs along the way. he became prime minister in 2019 after theresa may�*s downfall and went into a general election five months later with a promise to get brexit done. this is one way he spread the message — using a digger to smash through a wall. borisjohnson was returned to power with the biggest conservative majority since 1987. some historic labour seats even turned blue. and this was election night. your hand may have quivered over the ballot paper, before you put your cross in the conservative box. and you may intend to return to labour next time round. and if that is the case, i�*m humbled that you have put your trust in me and that you have put your trust in us. that was a couple of years ago. borisjohnson has now been prime minister for two and a half years. he�*s had a few brushes with controversy. there were questions over who paid for a holiday he took in 2019 to the carribean island mustique. an investigation last year cleared him of breaching ministerial rules, however it criticised him forfailing to promptly explain how it was funded. then there�*s his flat refurbishment and ongoing questions about who paid for the renovation. last month, the conservative party was fined £17,800 over the issue. borisjohnson insists he didn�*t break the rules. reporter: are you worried about| the investigation, prime minister? who coughed up for the flat, sir? i followed the ministerial guidance at all times. then there was the owen paterson lobbying row — he was the tory mp who resigned in november. he broke lobbying rules and was facing suspension, until the conservatives blocked it. the government was forced to reverse its decision after a furious backlash. you�*ll know about the drinks party — and other alleged parties — at downing street when england was under strict coronavirus restrictions, which led to this apology in parliament last week. i went into that garden just after 6:00pm on the 20th of may 2020 to thank groups of staff before going back into my office 25 minutes later to continue working. i believed implicitly that this was a work event. rob watson is live with us from oxford. what are your calculations when you look ahead to the next few days for the prime minister? i was in westminster _ days for the prime minister? i was in westminster but _ days for the prime minister? i was in westminster but i _ days for the prime minister? i was in westminster but i wish - days for the prime minister? i was in westminster but i wish i - days for the prime minister? i was in westminster but i wish i was . in westminster but i wish i was still with you. there are two really obvious things to look out for, will the total of 54 letters be reached sometime between now, and the next thing i look out for is when the report comes out by the senior government official about lockdown violations. the prime minister said that would be out next week. what do we get to first, the 54 letters or the report?— we get to first, the 54 letters or the re ort? , ., , the report? given how febrile the re-uortin the report? given how febrile the reporting of _ the report? given how febrile the reporting of this _ the report? given how febrile the reporting of this was _ the report? given how febrile the reporting of this was last - the report? given how febrile the reporting of this was last night, l reporting of this was last night, you would think the prime minister and his allies are relatively happy with the point they have reached this evening. with the point they have reached this evening-— with the point they have reached this evenina. ~ , , . . ,, this evening. absolutely. what you hear from conservative _ this evening. absolutely. what you hear from conservative mps, - this evening. absolutely. what you i hear from conservative mps, although hearfrom conservative mps, although again it�*s incredibly hard to say, is that the momentum has moved slightly more back towards the prime minister surviving. slightly more back towards the prime ministersurviving. but slightly more back towards the prime minister surviving. but i go back to my standard position, which is that evenif my standard position, which is that even if borisjohnson was talking to you now, or a senior conservative mp, i think they would find it very difficult to say exactly what his political future would be. difficult to say exactly what his politicalfuture would be. clearly it is on a knife edge. that�*s because politicians are not robots, they are real people. you can talk to a conservative mp one day and they will say, goodness, he�*s finished, but the next day you would hear something different. irate finished, but the next day you would hear something different.— hear something different. we will leave it here _ hear something different. we will leave it here for— hear something different. we will leave it here for this _ hear something different. we will leave it here for this half - hear something different. we will leave it here for this half of - hear something different. we will leave it here for this half of the l leave it here for this half of the programme. thank you for the moment. a reminder, as i mentioned earlier, if you want ongoing coverage of this, you can also get it through the live page on the bbc news website which has been running through the day. the headline, where we are at the moment, for a no—confidence vote with tory mps to happen, 54 letters have to be sent and at the moment the bbc understands just and at the moment the bbc understandsjust over and at the moment the bbc understands just over ten have and at the moment the bbc understandsjust over ten have been sent and we can�*t say beyond that. we will keep looking at the issues in the next half an hour. hello. no frost this morning, but it�*s going to be a different story tomorrow morning. we�*ve had an area of rain moving southwards across the uk today, even the chance for photographing some rainbows. it�*s a brief interruption to the quiet weather we�*ve been having because high pressure is about to move back in. but behind this weather front that brought the rain we have brought down across the uk colder air once again. feeling colder still in what�*s a very brisk north northwesterly wind, especially across northern scotland and down the north sea coast of england. and that will bring some further showers which are going to be wintry in nature, particularly on hills, but maybe a little bit of snow to lower levels in places, particularly in the northern isles. the odd shower for northern ireland, west of wales, far south west of england overnight, but most places are going to have clear skies, allowing temperatures to drop to or below freezing for the return of the frost in the morning. so it�*ll be a cold start in the morning. there�*ll be plenty of sunshine around, still a few showers towards the northeast of scotland, wintry in nature, some sleet and hail, the showers running down north sea coastal parts of england, particularly towards lincolnshire and norfolk. still a wind chill here as well. with this brisk breeze, it�*ll feel coldest here. the chance of a shower in northern ireland, the far west of wales, far south west of england. probably these clearing away, many places having some sunshine. now overnight and into friday, where skies stay clear, the frost will be even harder, but you�*ll notice the cloud increasing. northern ireland, western parts of scotland in particular, will keep temperatures a few degrees above freezing — two degrees in glasgow, belfast at five degrees. but through many rural parts of wales and england will be several degrees below freezing. the chance of a few mist and fog patches on friday. it does look as if eastern areas will see most of the sunshine on friday. the wind isn�*t as strong. it�*ll feel a bit warmer. some cloud pushing into the west may bring a little drizzle towards northwest scotland, and temperatures are edging up a little bit, particularly where we�*ve had a couple of chilly days in the east. into the weekend. high pressure very much in control. the weather fronts bringing some rain at times and breeze towards northern scotland. most places are going to be dry and actually around the area of high pressure, some milder air pushing in. so we�*ve lost the darker blues showing up. it�*s not going to be warm, but temperatures will be close to average for the time of year. a lot of cloud around, some sunny spells, especially in the east, and there could be some fog slow to clear in places. hello, i�*m ros atkins, this is outside source. working back to downing street, we are broadcasting here today as pressure continues to pile on boris johnson to clit. you pressure continues to pile on boris johnson to clit.— johnson to clit. you have sat there for too long _ johnson to clit. you have sat there for too long for _ johnson to clit. you have sat there for too long for all _ johnson to clit. you have sat there for too long for all the _ johnson to clit. you have sat there for too long for all the good - johnson to clit. you have sat there for too long for all the good you i for too long for all the good you have done. in the name of god, go. doesn�*t the country deserved so much doesn't the country deserved so much better— doesn't the country deserved so much better than_ doesn't the country deserved so much better than this out of control, out of ideas _ better than this out of control, out of ideas and soon to be out of office — of ideas and soon to be out of office prime minister? no shortage office prime minister? no shortage of dramatic moments _ office prime minister? no shortage of dramatic moments and - office prime minister? no shortage of dramatic moments and prime i of dramatic moments and prime minister�*s questions, not least when one conservative and p defected to the opposition. it borisjohnson continue to defend his record. irate continue to defend his record. we have continue to defend his record. - have more people in employment, more employees on the payroll done before the pandemic. that is what my staff have been working on in downing street. ~ , ., .. , have been working on in downing street. ~ , , , street. some mps accused boris johnson of _ street. some mps accused boris johnson of misleading _ street. some mps accused borisl johnson of misleading parliament street. some mps accused boris i johnson of misleading parliament to the lockdown parties here in downing street. the leader of the scottish conservatives says the number of letters needed to trigger a vote of no—confidence in the prime minister is near. the figure we are focused on its 54. —— is 54. here in downing street the prime minister is fighting for his political life in the face of intensifying pressure over parties held in the building behind me during lockdown. for the second week in a row, boris johnson faced calls for his resignation at prime minister�*s questions — among them from a former conservative cabinet member, david davis. he is the former brexit secretary. the prime minister also saw one of his own mps defect to labour. it�*s been a dramatic day. here�*s our political editor, laura kuenssberg. the atmosphere in the prime minister�*s neighbourhood is full of risk. danger dangles all around for borisjohnson, uncertainty hanging in the air. downing street confronting the truth that some of his own mps want him gone. as ministers gathered to agree to ditch some covid rules this morning, some of his own side waiting and watching, thinking about ditching him. is it under control, chief whip? yeah. all is calm. all is calm ? do you think you might be in denial about that if you think this is calm? i think we need to focus on propping up the country and dealing with covid and making sure we�*ve got that right. but can it really go on like this? some of your mps are putting letters in. is it all over for the prime minister, do you think? don't be ridiculous. it is not, perhaps, ridiculous, despite his allies�* claim to suggest their boss could be gone before too long. is it time to resign?! it was no ordinary wednesday. pressure on borisjohnson after weeks of claims about what went on in number ten during lockdown. 20 mps who discussed sending letters of no confidence in their leader, then a shock. political chat interrupted. hearing christian wakeford, the bury mp, is defecting to the labour party. a huge surprise for his colleagues, and the rest. that is quite incredible. the first tory mp since 2007, christian wakeford, cheered to the rafters in the commons as he defected and took a seat for labour instead. can i start by warmly welcoming the honourable member for bury south to his new place? cheering. and to the parliamentary labour party. mr speaker, like so many people up and down the country, he has concluded that the prime minister, the conservative party have shown themselves incapable of offering the leadership and government this country deserves. a sting from keir starmer at a vulnerable moment for borisjohnson. and as for bury south, mr speaker, as far as for bury south, let me say it... in a unionjack mask, the new labour mp opposite, not behind, the prime minister this time. we will win again in bury south at the next election. there was more energy from the prime minister today in a chaotic prime minister�*s questions as he sought to stand and fight, mocked by the labour leader. doesn't the country deserve so much better than this out of touch, out of control, out of ideas and soon to be out of office prime minister? mr speaker, when the history of this pandemic comes to be written and the history of the labour party comes to be written — and, believe me, they are history and will remain history, mr speaker — it will show... it will show... it will show that we delivered while they dithered and we we vaccinated while they vacillated, mr speaker. then, just when he thought he might have got through without a new wound, a brutal blast from his own side. a prominent tory quoting cromwell to try to oust the leader of the tories�* 21st century revolution. i expect my leaders to shoulder the responsibility for the actions they take. yesterday, he did the opposite of that, so i'll remind him of a quotation. "you have sat there too long for all the good you have done. "in the name of god, go." cheering david davis and borisjohnson used to be allies of a sort. "what a day," you hear the speaker, aghast. what a day. what else to say? hi. it's good to see you again. so a senior tory, the latest to call for the prime minister�*s exit, the smiling labour leader welcoming a conservative to his fold. yet there have been more public efforts from conservatives to get out and defend. well, he is the bounce back king. i�*ve always supported boris and i wouldn�*t be an mp here if it wasn�*t for him. mps and ministers who want borisjohnson to stay have been falling over themselves to call for cool heads all round. one loyal cabinet minister even claimed the threat to borisjohnson wasn�*t real. it is true to say no one can be sure in a secret process how many conservative mps are really willing to try to oust him. yet today�*s chaos demonstrates clearly there are members of different tory tribes who want to see him gone. mr cummings, are you going to provide sue gray with evidence that boris johnson lied? the prime minister has always had political detractors and has gathered enemies along the way. he may not want to rest until this is over. and tory tradition shows when the party concludes the leader is out of line, they are removed. but only two years after a huge election victory, borisjohnson will resist attempts for a changing of the guard. as we saw in laura�*s report, many moments of drama to consider in prime minister�*s questions, not least that conservative np crossing to the opposition labour party. let�*s hear from to the opposition labour party. let�*s hearfrom his to the opposition labour party. let�*s hear from his constituents to the opposition labour party. let�*s hearfrom his constituents in bury south. it let's hear from his constituents in bury south-— let's hear from his constituents in bury south. it shows you the state ofthe bury south. it shows you the state of the conservative _ bury south. it shows you the state of the conservative party, - bury south. it shows you the state of the conservative party, they i bury south. it shows you the state j of the conservative party, they are not credible any more and even the party think that. not credible any more and even the party think that-— party think that. they will not be caettin party think that. they will not be getting my _ party think that. they will not be getting my vote. _ party think that. they will not be getting my vote, which - party think that. they will not be getting my vote, which is - party think that. they will not be getting my vote, which is a i party think that. they will not be i getting my vote, which is a shame, he is _ getting my vote, which is a shame, he is great, — getting my vote, which is a shame, he is great, he really puts himself out of— he is great, he really puts himself out of that— he is great, he really puts himself out of that with everything but it is really — out of that with everything but it is really not good. i out of that with everything but it is really not good.— is really not good. i will vote for whichever— is really not good. i will vote for whichever party _ is really not good. i will vote for whichever party i _ is really not good. i will vote for whichever party i think - is really not good. i will vote for whichever party i think it's i is really not good. i will vote for| whichever party i think it's better this area — whichever party i think it's better this area he _ whichever party i think it's better this area. ., ., this area. he did not get voted out labour because _ this area. he did not get voted out labour because bury _ this area. he did not get voted out labour because bury south - this area. he did not get voted out labour because bury south were i this area. he did not get voted out labour because bury south were a| labour because bury south were a bit concerned about the labour party at the moment, because they were anti—semitic. is it too soon to go back to labour? it is a bit strange, ifind it strange he has done back to labour? it is a bit strange, i find it strange he has done that. let�*s learn more about the point that last gentleman was making, luxmy gopal, my colleague, is live with us from prestwich in the bury south constituency. why is there the ongoing concern about the labour party among some constituents lie? just to give you a bit of context around the demographics of this area here, prestwich forms part of what is the largestjewish community in the uk outside of london and so some of the people i spoke to today make the point that in their view, in 2019 when we saw this seat, like many others in the so—called red wall, turn from traditionally labour to conservative, some people told me today that that was not so much in this borough, this constituency of bury south a case of turning towards the conservatives as a result of brexit but rather turning away from labour as a result of the row over anti—semitism, so that is why some people express concern today, was this a wise move from christian wakeford to move from conservative to labour when there was the element of concern among some voters here, when you think about it particularly given prestwich, around a fifth of the voters here are thejewish community? the voters here are the jewish community?— community? tell me about conversations _ community? tell me about conversations you - community? tell me about conversations you have i community? tell me about| conversations you have had community? tell me about i conversations you have had with people who voted conservative in 2019, how do they feel that they voted for a man who was representing the conservatives that now does not? lots of the people i spoke to who told me they were lifelong conservative voters actually expressed disappointment at the fact that he has crossed the line and moved over to the labour party, for example one or two of the women i spoke to said they had always vaulted conservative and despite liking him as an mp and saying in theirview he is liking him as an mp and saying in their view he is a good mp from a local perspective and very engaged in the local community, they said despite that they could not stomach voting for a labour candidate, a labour mp, given they have been lifelong tory voters. there was a little bit of concern that despite all the things we have heard about some tory voters perhaps turning away from the party all feeling a bit of disappointment in how the prime minister has handled all the downing street parties and allegations, some of the voters i spoke to said that regardless of that, they would not be swayed and despite voting for christian wakeford in the 2019 election they would not be voting for him in any future ones. would not be voting for him in any future ones-— would not be voting for him in any future ones. , , , future ones. very interesting. luxmy go al, future ones. very interesting. luxmy gopal, thank— future ones. very interesting. luxmy gopal, thank you- — future ones. very interesting. luxmy gopal, thank you. those _ future ones. very interesting. luxmy gopal, thank you. those of _ future ones. very interesting. luxmy gopal, thank you. those of you i gopal, thank you. those of you watching in the uk will know everybody votes for an mp who represents a party, an mp can switch from one party to another. those watching outside of the uk on bbc world news might be thinking how on earth can this happen, but an mp is within rights to switch parties, having been elected to represent one and then switch to another. luxmy gopal talked about how bury south is a red wall seat. let�*s unpack that a bit more. a poll has looked at voting intentions in these so—called red wall seats currently held by the conservatives but which have historically been labour. found labour now lead in those seats by an average 11 points. if repeated at an election, that would see the tories lose all but three of those 45 red wall seats — a scenario it describes as a �*wipe out�*. these are just some of the scenes we had seen since the lockdown parties have dented the conservatives�* support. i�*m joined now by the head of political polling at opinium, chris curtis, who can explain this all for us. that is a separate polling company. what is your opinion on what is happening in the red wall seats because of the pressures piling on the prime minister?— the prime minister? thank you for havin: the prime minister? thank you for having me- _ the prime minister? thank you for having me. what _ the prime minister? thank you for having me. what we _ the prime minister? thank you for having me. what we are _ the prime minister? thank you for having me. what we are noticing i the prime minister? thank you for- having me. what we are noticing from the red wall poll specifically that you just mentioned but from pretty much all of the polling over the past few weeks is a pretty dire situation for the prime minister and the conservatives. just two years ago they won a landslide election victory, now pretty much all the opinion polls show that if i were to be an election, most of the red wall seats gained by the conservatives in the last election would be gained back by the labour party and labour would probably win other seats across the south of england, potentially across wales, which would mean that if there were an election tomorrow keir starmer would almost certainly get a majority. there are two other key stats in the polling that are important to note. firstly, borisjohnson�*s approval rating, he is always down as one of the reasons the conservatives had such a strong victory at the last election but his approval ratings are now worse than ever, even worse than theresa may�*s when she was booted out of downing street in 2019, and more specifically when we asked people whether they think the prime minister is telling the truth about these party allegations that started the most recent scandals, almost nobody thinks he is, fewer people think he is telling the truth about what happened than think the moon landings were faked, i think that shows the low level of trust currently for the prime minister. that is quite a statistic. let me ask you something, is this about borisjohnson or the conservatives? some tory mps are considering sending that letter to graham brady and babel be trying to work out that calculation. it is and babel be trying to work out that calculation. , ., ., ,., and babel be trying to work out that calculation. , ., ., 1, , calculation. it is more about boris johnson than _ calculation. it is more about boris johnson than the _ calculation. it is more about boris johnson than the conservatives. l calculation. it is more about boris l johnson than the conservatives. for much of his premiership boris johnson has tended to poll slightly better than the conservative party but most recent polls show that borisjohnson is underperforming the conservative party, more people would say they like the conservative party band borisjohnson. but the longer a party has an unpopular leader, the more that unpopular leader, the more that unpopular leader and infecting the party branch, so we have started to see people saying a lot more negative things about the conservative party because they do not like boris johnson�*s leadership. {line because they do not like boris johnson's leadership. one last thin , johnson's leadership. one last thing. we _ johnson's leadership. one last thing. we are _ johnson's leadership. one last thing, we are right _ johnson's leadership. one last thing, we are right in - johnson's leadership. one last thing, we are right in the i johnson's leadership. one last l thing, we are right in the middle johnson's leadership. one last i thing, we are right in the middle of the electoral cycle so even though these polls say this it does not necessarily mean this doom and gloom would translate into an election results for the conservatives in two or three years?— results for the conservatives in two or three years? 100% true, we had to remember that _ or three years? 10096 true, we had to remember that politics _ or three years? 10096 true, we had to remember that politics at _ or three years? 10096 true, we had to remember that politics at the - or three years? 10096 true, we had to | remember that politics at the moment is incredibly volatile, you have lots more promiscuous voters who jump lots more promiscuous voters who jump between political parties, they may say they like you one day but do not like you the other, there are many more of those voters than they used to be, meaning we are seeing many more extreme voting trends. while things are looking pretty bad for the conservative party at the moment, things are not looking that great for the labour party either, lots of the voters going off the conservatives now say they are undecided about how they will vote, rather than straight to the labour party, many say they are not sure keir starmer is strong enough for the topjob, labour still keir starmer is strong enough for the top job, labour still has a lot of work to do if they want to be confident about winning the next election. he confident about winning the next election. , . , ., election. he very much, chris. that is a phrase — election. he very much, chris. that is a phrase for _ election. he very much, chris. that is a phrase for us _ election. he very much, chris. that is a phrase for us to _ election. he very much, chris. that is a phrase for us to remember, i is a phrase for us to remember, extreme voting trends. —— thank you very much, chris. i rememberwhen the conservative party did terribly in the european elections, then 18 months later we had a completely different conservative leader, boris johnson, and a completely different situation. in 18 minutes we will turn to tensions on the border between ukraine and russia. us secretary of state is warning moscow could attack at very short notice —— in a few minutes we will turn to. another important political development in downing street today, the government has announced that england�*s plan b covid measures are being dropped. here is our health correspondence hugh pym. the government has said masks will no longer be compulsory in shops and public transport. the prime minister said masks would still be advisable in some settings but it was now down to personal choice. we in some settings but it was now down to personal choice.— to personal choice. we will trust thejudgment — to personal choice. we will trust the judgment of _ to personal choice. we will trust the judgment of the _ to personal choice. we will trust the judgment of the british i to personal choice. we will trust i the judgment of the british people and no longer criminalise anybody who chooses not to buy one. labour said they supported _ who chooses not to buy one. labour said they supported the _ who chooses not to buy one. labour said they supported the easing i who chooses not to buy one. labour said they supported the easing of i said they supported the easing of plan b as long as it was backed up ljy plan b as long as it was backed up by the science. in bristol, people gave their reaction. i by the science. in bristol, people gave their reaction.— gave their reaction. i reckon it is aood that gave their reaction. i reckon it is good that we — gave their reaction. i reckon it is good that we are _ gave their reaction. i reckon it is good that we are learning i gave their reaction. i reckon it is good that we are learning to i gave their reaction. i reckon it is good that we are learning to live with the omicron variant and we have to have the restrictions removed, little by little. for to have the restrictions removed, little by little.— little by little. for me and my famil , i little by little. for me and my family, i have _ little by little. for me and my family, i have elderly - little by little. for me and my| family, i have elderly parents, little by little. for me and my i family, i have elderly parents, i would _ family, i have elderly parents, i would rather we could keep the mass squaring _ would rather we could keep the mass squaring ht— would rather we could keep the mass sruuarin. �* , , ., ., , squaring. at this restaurant they welcomed the _ squaring. at this restaurant they welcomed the scrapping - squaring. at this restaurant they welcomed the scrapping of- squaring. at this restaurant they welcomed the scrapping of work| squaring. at this restaurant they i welcomed the scrapping of work from home guidance. this welcomed the scrapping of work from home guidance-— home guidance. this has been great, officers being — home guidance. this has been great, officers being back _ home guidance. this has been great, officers being back is _ home guidance. this has been great, officers being back is amazing, i officers being back is amazing, hopefully we will be back trading on a weekly basis, it has been very quiet for us. we a weekly basis, it has been very quiet for us— a weekly basis, it has been very auiet for us. ~ , ., ., quiet for us. we believe overall we will continue _ quiet for us. we believe overall we will continue to _ quiet for us. we believe overall we will continue to see _ quiet for us. we believe overall we will continue to see declines i quiet for us. we believe overall we will continue to see declines in i will continue to see declines in cases, _ will continue to see declines in cases, that may plateau as the infection— cases, that may plateau as the infection is in various different populations. it is very hard to see beyond _ populations. it is very hard to see beyond two — populations. it is very hard to see beyond two to three weeks and clearly — beyond two to three weeks and clearly the biggest change will be people's— clearly the biggest change will be people's behaviour. at clearly the biggest change will be people's behaviour.— clearly the biggest change will be people's behaviour. at this walsall hos - ital, people's behaviour. at this walsall hospital. the _ people's behaviour. at this walsall hospital, the number _ people's behaviour. at this walsall hospital, the number of _ people's behaviour. at this walsall hospital, the number of patients i people's behaviour. at this walsall| hospital, the number of patients in intensive care has reduced a bit since last week but doctors urge the public to remain cautious as restrictions are used. we public to remain cautious as restrictions are used. we are not currently any _ restrictions are used. we are not currently any bad _ restrictions are used. we are not currently any bad place, - restrictions are used. we are not currently any bad place, but i currently any bad place, but dropping our part at this point is probably not the right choice or right answer —— dropping our guards. we need to be vigilant and make sure we follow the precautions put in place. i�*m ros atkins without site, live from downing street in westminster. as you would imagine our lead story contains uk politics, pressure is piling on borisjohnson to quit. veteran tory mp and former brexit secretary david davis is the latest to call for a resignation. the us secretary of state antony blinken — who�*s on a visit to ukraine — has warned that russia could launch an attack on ukraine at very short notice. russia has around a 100,000 troops massed on its borders. moscow has denied it�*s planning a military invastion. the us secretary of state has urged president putin to choose a peaceful path. our diplomatic correspondent paul adams has more. british military equipment arriving in ukraine. short—range anti—tank missiles, with a small team of trainers to follow. the latest western gesture of support to a country facing a mounting threat from russia. diplomatic support, too, with us secretary of state antony blinken flying to kyiv this morning promising relentless american efforts to prevent russia from invading. washington�*s message to ukraine�*s president volodymyr zelensky, there will be no talks about you without your involvement. the united states wants you to know this. as you stand up to efforts to divide, to intimidate, to threaten, the united states stands with you resolutely, in your right to make decisions for your own future, to shape that future as ukrainians, for ukraine. and all the while, russian troops maintain their menacing presence on ukraine�*s northern and eastern borders. now, in neighbouring belarus, too, preparing for what are called joint military drills. american officials say these could be used as a cover for an invasion of ukraine. kyiv says it has what it takes to withstand an attack. we have 261,000 in our ukrainian army. we have options to have the territorial defending forces, 130,000, we have 400,000 veterans of the ukrainian—russian war. so i�*m sure that we have the capacity to deter this activity from moscow. last week we saw a diplomatic trail that crisscrossed europe from geneva to brussels and vienna. at the end of it, the russian foreign minister sergei lavrov appeared to throw in the towel. our patience, he said, is at an end. and four days on, the process is actually shifting up a gear. mr lavrov and antony blinken are due to meet on friday, once again in geneva. the talking, it seems, is not quite over. but the tremors of this crisis are being felt right across europe. on the baltic island of gotland, sweden is beefing up its presence, concerned about nearby russian activity and what it calls russia�*s direct threat to europe�*s security. paul adams, bbc news. we are live in downing street, we are here because of the pressure on prime minister borisjohnson. a few of his conservative mps are calling for him to resign, nowhere near enough so far to trigger a vote of no—confidence. 54 had to send a letter to sir graham brady for that to happen, but this is not shifting and you imagine it will not until the report from sue gray. let your porch what is happening with alva rea from the new statesman, thank you for your time. it was getting reasonably feel proud last night, speculation we might reach 54 letters. —— it was getting reasonably last night. we letters. -- it was getting reasonably last night. we all started the _ reasonably last night. we all started the day _ reasonably last night. we all started the day in _ reasonably last night. we all i started the day in westminster thinking that we could reach the 54 letter threshold and then by lunchtime that basically died a death, at least for now. i think conservative mps are still pretty angry but actually that defection by christian wakeford, the mp for bury south right before prime minister�*s questions, did something to a lot of conservative mps. you could see the merge switch, they did not appreciate keir starmer being handed that gift right before pmqs —— you could see the mood switch. they were a bit more vocal in their support of borisjohnson, just because they did not like seeing labour have an easy time of it, so having begun this day full of excitement, everyone is now saying that borisjohnson has been given the gift of a little bit more time. b. given the gift of a little bit more time. �* , ., , given the gift of a little bit more time. ., , , time. a bit more time, perhaps, but the core problem _ time. a bit more time, perhaps, but the core problem does _ time. a bit more time, perhaps, but the core problem does not - time. a bit more time, perhaps, but the core problem does not go i time. a bit more time, perhaps, but the core problem does not go away, j the core problem does not go away, the core problem does not go away, the neighbour 20th gathering in the garden behind me which the prime minister says he was not warned about and several colleagues say he was —— the gathering in the garden behind me on may the 20th. the fundamentals _ behind me on may the 20th. iie: fundamentals have not behind me on may the 20th. "iie: fundamentals have not changed behind me on may the 20th. i“ie: fundamentals have not changed and dna few weeks may be conservative mps will think, did we bottle it, was it wise to prolong this further? that basically now they are saying they are waiting for the sue gray report. lots of them have made up their minds as to how they will respond once they have the sue gray reports but i think of them are thinking that in theory there a process now that the senior civil servant is looking into beds, they may as well wait to see what she says and how damning it is before they say they are unhappy with boris johnson, particularly because in the background conservative mps of all strikes have slightly different opinions on this but they all care about getting the successor right and managing that smoothly, so from different perspectives, whether they want rishi sunak, liz truss, somebody different, i think they will the condition is different for those people, which is partly why they are holding fire.— those people, which is partly why they are holding fire. thank you for “oininr us, they are holding fire. thank you for joining us. we _ they are holding fire. thank you for joining us, we are _ they are holding fire. thank you for joining us, we are right— they are holding fire. thank you for joining us, we are right up- they are holding fire. thank you for joining us, we are right up againstl joining us, we are right up against the edge of the addition, please come back very soon. this is the end of this hour of outside source, live from downing street. we have to keep focused on the numbers. 34 letters from tory mps calling for a no—confidence vote necessary for it to happen. at the moment we know at least ten have written those letters, that say few moulded nowhere near confirmation of anywhere near 54. so for the minutes, the prime minister very much continues. thanks for watching. no frost this morning, but it�*s going to be a different story tomorrow morning. we�*ve had an area of rain moving southwards across the uk today, even the chance for photographing some rainbows. it�*s a brief interruption to the quiet weather we�*ve been having because high pressure is about to move back in. but behind this weather front that brought the rain we have brought down across the uk colder air once again. feeling colder still in what�*s a very brisk north northwesterly wind, especially across northern scotland and down the north sea coast of england. and that will bring some further showers which are going to be wintry in nature, particularly on hills, but maybe a little bit of snow to lower levels in places, particularly in the northern isles. the odd shower for northern ireland, west of wales, far south west of england overnight, but most places are going to have clear skies, allowing temperatures to drop to or below freezing for the return of the frost in the morning. so it�*ll be a cold start in the morning. there�*ll be plenty of sunshine around, still a few showers towards the northeast of scotland, wintry in nature, some sleet and hail, the showers running down north sea coastal parts of england, particularly towards lincolnshire and norfolk. still a wind chill here as well. with this brisk breeze, it�*ll feel coldest here. the chance of a shower in northern ireland, the far west of wales, far south west of england. probably these clearing away, many places having some sunshine. now overnight and into friday, where skies stay clear, the frost will be even harder, but you�*ll notice the cloud increasing. northern ireland, western parts of scotland in particular, will keep temperatures a few degrees above freezing — two degrees in glasgow, belfast at five degrees. but through many rural parts of wales and england will be several degrees below freezing. the chance of a few mist and fog patches on friday. it does look as if eastern areas will see most of the sunshine on friday. the wind isn�*t as strong. it�*ll feel a bit warmer. some cloud pushing into the west may bring a little drizzle towards northwest scotland, and temperatures are edging up a little bit, particularly where we�*ve had a couple of chilly days in the east. into the weekend. high pressure very much in control. the weather fronts bringing some rain at times and breeze towards northern scotland. most places are going to be dry and actually around the area of high pressure, some milder air pushing in. so we�*ve lost the darker blues showing up. it�*s not going to be warm, but temperatures will be close to average for the time of year. a lot of cloud around, some sunny spells, especially in the east, and there could be some fog slow to clear in places. hello, i�*m ros atkins. this is outside source coming to you live from downing street, where the pressure is piling on borisjohnson to quit. we�*ll be here for the whole addition. "you have sat there too long for all the good you have done. in the name of god, go." doesn't the country deserve so much better than this out of touch, out of control, out of ideas and soon to be out of office prime minister? in a dramatic prime minister�*s questions, cheers and boos as a conservative mp defects to the opposition. borisjohnson though has continued to defend his record one conservative defected to the opposition. we have more people in employment land more employees on the payrolll

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