let's get down to business. as you have been hearing, here in the uk emergency measures are in place with the army ready to help ease your supply problems after a fourth day of long queues and pump closures. doctors and home care staff have called for essential workers to be given priority for fuel until petrol stations are back on track. in europe, politicians say the uk is finally feeling the economic impact of brexit, and its supply chain is broken. the uk government argues the lack of lorry drivers is due to closures during the pandemic. bodies in the uk have been calling for action for month saying the government has been far too late in its response. the secretary general of the international chamber of the commerce uk joins international chamber of the commerce ukjoins me now. good morning to you. what is your take on why we are where we are? it take on why we are where we are? , are? it is universal frustration - are? it is universal frustration from i are? it is universal- frustration from industry, i had a long conversation with our network last night, and the problem has been coming along time, governments know about the problem for a long time, there has been an a lack of action, preparation and planning, so you are where you are. , , ., , ., are. every focus on the petrol shortage _ are. every focus on the petrol shortage for _ are. every focus on the petrol shortage for now, _ are. every focus on the petrol shortage for now, but - are. every focus on the petrol shortage for now, but there l are. every focus on the petrol| shortage for now, but there is not a shortage, that is the irony in all of this, in terms of what is in the refineries, but the fact that we cannot get a ticket petrol stations currently, what impact will this have?— currently, what impact will this have? this is not a fuel crisis this _ this have? this is not a fuel crisis this is _ this have? this is not a fuel crisis this is a _ this have? this is not a fuel crisis this is a driver - this have? this is not a fuel crisis this is a driver crisis. | crisis this is a driver crisis. it's important to understand that trucks, lorries are the backbone of the economy, that's what helps us move goods from .1 2.2, they what helps us move goods from .12.2, they are a key enabler to trade, so without fuel, there is no trade, trucks, move there is no trade, trucks, move the ports, can i get across borders so that will have an enormous impact on the economy overall, it acts as a drag on economic recovery coming on the back of covid. the timing for all of this could not be worse, there are enough problems out there are enough problems out there without adding more, so what i think industry would like to see is action fast, in the short term and longer term in terms of investment in infrastructure and the network, particularly facilities for drivers which are really poor and if we are trying to attract more people into the industry, including women, there is a good opportunity to recruit more women into the sector, and we must add facilities to the network. ~ ., , ., ., ~' we must add facilities to the network. ~ ., , ., ., ~ ., network. when i was looking at the comparison _ network. when i was looking at the comparison of _ network. when i was looking at the comparison of what - network. when i was looking at the comparison of what is - the comparison of what is available in the uk to drivers on the road compared to in france and germany, i know where i would like to be. the uk has lagged _ where i would like to be. tue: uk has lagged behind where i would like to be. tte: uk has lagged behind europe for a long time, but if you go to france you don't have to drive far down the motorway to see the quality of rest spaces, toilets, showers, food, it's all readily available at regular intervals, that is not the case in the uk at all and particularly not the case when you get off the motorway or onto the a roads. facilities are very poor and that needs addressing quickly. that will require government intervention and investment.— and investment. chris, thank ou for and investment. chris, thank you foryour— and investment. chris, thank you for your time, _ and investment. chris, thank you for your time, i - and investment. chris, thank you for your time, i wish - and investment. chris, thank you for your time, i wish we | you for your time, i wish we had more time to discuss this but we have to move on because there are other issues with regards to energy, the price of oil surging regards to energy, the price of oilsurging again regards to energy, the price of oil surging again today, we will get to that in just a moment but i bet you are not surprised to hear that auto trader has reported a surge in enquiries for electric vehicles in the uk in the last few days amid the current petrol crisis. also with the projection oil prices globally are headed higher this year, the greener option is that much more attractive. the car giant ford has announced an investment of more than $11 billion, building to new factories in the us, there were manufacture electric vehicles which will be used across the fleet. the investment the company is making will create 11,000 new jobs. forward's plans represent a major part of its transition to the mass production of electric vehicles. 0ne to the mass production of electric vehicles. one of the planned new factories outside memphis will produce the electric version of its f series of pickup truck. the f 150 has been the biggest selling autoimmune us, so the success of the electric version which will hit the road next year could be key to forward's future. forward also plans to make batteries at the tennessee factory, and the whole of the new kentucky plant will be given over to battery production. forward says its own $7 billion of investment is the biggest it's ever made in american manufacturing, and its korean partner, sk innovations is investing the other $4 billion. forward predicts that by 2030 between 40 and 50% of its global vehicle output will be electric. interesting. where is the price of oil headed at the moment? higherand higher, and if you follow the investment firm goldman and sachs, it is projecting a ten dollar increase to $90 by the end of this year. today in asian trade, brent climbed by just shy of a percent to $80 per barrel, it has not been there since october of 2018. the concern is that this will fuel inflation which is also headed upwards in many key economies around the world. let's talk this through with the chief chief investment officer. i'm sure you have been listening to the conversation so far. 0bviously listening to the conversation so far. obviously in the uk, we are seeing prices go up at the pump but this is a global issue? . , pump but this is a global issue? ., _ . .,, , ., issue? the idiosyncrasies of what has — issue? the idiosyncrasies of what has happened, - issue? the idiosyncrasies of what has happened, in - issue? the idiosyncrasies of| what has happened, in terms issue? the idiosyncrasies of - what has happened, in terms of the global picture, really in a nutshell, what is happening is there is much more demand and consumption of oil than we had expected there would be, and the supply simply has not kept up. that demand is largely driven by the fact that simultaneously all over the world, almost like a computer, we have restarted, and that has resulted in enormous demand for goods, especially of all kinds, from everything from shoes, computers, clothes and what have you, all of that requires a lot of electricity, particularly in china, and that is what is causing the rise in the price of oil.— is what is causing the rise in the price of oil. you say that we weren't _ the price of oil. you say that we weren't expecting - the price of oil. you say that we weren't expecting this, l the price of oil. you say that l we weren't expecting this, but actually, most people were arguing if you look at economists and central bankers, at the beginning of this year, the second half of this year, we would see a surge in demand, that would be a post— pandemic boom as it were, and the thing we did not predict was the impact the supply chain glass would have on getting things, and prices going up but in terms of 0pec and others, should they not have foreseen this? t5 should they not have foreseen this? , ., , should they not have foreseen this? , . , , . should they not have foreseen this? , . , _ ., this? is really difficult to foresee _ this? is really difficult to foresee exactly - this? is really difficult to foresee exactly what - this? is really difficult to foresee exactly what a i this? is really difficult to - foresee exactly what a surge in demand that looks like. we all thought there would have been an increase, but where we were in the first half of the year, which is still mired in coronavirus related disruption, and what to do really, and we all knew that the second option would be better, assuming all goes well and vaccination progresses, but clearly we had not expected us to be back at 100 million barrels a day of consumption which is where we are now, which was the pre— pandemic level. are now, which was the pre- pandemic level.— pandemic level. sorry to interruot _ pandemic level. sorry to interrupt but _ pandemic level. sorry to interrupt but really - pandemic level. sorry to i interrupt but really quickly, pandemic level. sorry to - interrupt but really quickly, i wanted to say what this means for going forward,. tt’s wanted to say what this means for going forward, ._ for going forward,. it's an inut for going forward,. it's an input into _ for going forward,. it's an input into the _ for going forward,. it's an input into the rising - for going forward,. it's an l input into the rising prices, energy costs everywhere and this really does potentially have a stronger impact on the rising prices towards the end of this year and next year. thank you so much, have a good day. let's stay on the subject because there have been unannounced power cards and electricity shortages at factories in china. this is the experience of residents across the north—east of china, and the north—east of china, and the government has already warned that skyrocketing coal prices could hit anything from fertilisers to food supplies, and as we were saying there, the sudden surge in demand around the world for many many goods supplied by china has hit that country hard. we are keeping a close eye on this for us what is going on?— keeping a close eye on this for us what is going on? because of these warnings _ us what is going on? because of these warnings from _ us what is going on? because of these warnings from the - us what is going on? because of| these warnings from the chinese government we have seen a number of different big investment banks actually lowering their growth forecast, the likes of goldman sachs, japan, as well as morgan and investment banks within china. the reason for this is because we have seen a multitude of factors, really a perfect storm. china has been very keen to curb its emissions, and has basically in the last couple of weeks said it will be tough on regions they don't meet this. this plus the rising cost of coal plus the shortages due to the tensions that australia has been having with one of the place that advisors call from, australia, there has coupled together to create a problematic situation for both people as well as businesses, so for example, as you mentioned, we are likely to see a huge impact on factories and manufacturing, about 44% of that sector is likely to be impacted, and the other place we are seeing this impact business as most when it comes to shipping, one of china's most busy port in the north of china. it doesn't even have the power to move to allow cranes to move cargo onto boats, so huge impact on the impact on families as well, unable to heat their homes of the impact has been widespread, and we will have to watch in the coming days to see if it improves. coming days to see if it improves-— coming days to see if it improves. coming days to see if it imroves. ., ~ , . improves. thank you very much, let's bring _ improves. thank you very much, let's bring you — improves. thank you very much, let's bring you some _ improves. thank you very much, let's bring you some other - let's bring you some other business stories. the bank of england governor says interest rates could rise as early as this year. the central bank was making rate could be used to tame inflation, even before the bond buying programme expires he. he said that in a speech on monday, warning that moving too soon to disrupt the uk's still nascent economic recovery. after backlash from parents, plans to allow children under the age of 13 to experience instagram have been paused, following leaked internal research which showed the app was toxic for the teen girls. instagram requires users to be at least 13 before they can create an account, and many children under the age and use the platform anyway.— children under the age and use the platform anyway. more than 1 billion people _ the platform anyway. more than 1 billion people around - the platform anyway. more than 1 billion people around the - 1 billion people around the world are now using tiktok every month, the social video platform owned by the chinese tech firm added more than 300 million active users sincejuly 2020. it's continue to grow in the us despite attempts by the previous administration to have it banned. you are with bbc news, still to come, licensed to thrill, at last, the latest bond movie is released on the silver screen, bond movie is released on the silverscreen, but bond movie is released on the silver screen, but will it be enough to save cinema chains heard by the pandemic? now, let's bring _ heard by the pandemic? now, let's bring you _ heard by the pandemic? now, let's bring you other— heard by the pandemic? now, let's bring you other news - let's bring you other news happening in the uk, so if i just turned to the bbc news website, of course there is so much detail on the situation with regards to the petrol crisis but also if we can bring up crisis but also if we can bring up what is on the news app at the moment, we have also got the moment, we have also got the labour party conference which is under way of course, and there is so much news generated from that, in the big story yesterday was the shadow economy minister and her plans for a green future for the uk, if you were to vote labour, but here you can see keir starmer facing a row with the left over the minimum wage increase, more details on the website and that labour party conference continues down in brighton throughout the day and our political editor is covering that extensively.- political editor is covering that extensively. you are with bbc news, — that extensively. you are with bbc news, the _ that extensively. you are with bbc news, the top _ that extensively. you are with bbc news, the top stories. i that extensively. you are with | bbc news, the top stories. the american singer r kelly is found guilty of sex trafficking, racketeering and sexually abusing women and children. the us urges north korea to return to talks after pyongyang launches another missile test. after the taliban's swift takeover of afghanistan, international organisations like the world bank and international monetary fund all suspended funding for projects in the country. that is big problem for afghanistan because more than half of its economic growth depends on foreign aid. we have the chief executive of the islamic bank of afghanistan, and he told my colleague what is happening across the whole banking sector in the country.— in the country. there is a huge withdrawal— in the country. there is a huge withdrawal happening - in the country. there is a huge withdrawal happening at i in the country. there is a huge withdrawal happening at the i withdrawal happening at the moment is the whole banking sector is basically, all the time, being observed, and only withdrawals i happening, most of the bank is not functioning and they are not providing food services. ~ . , services. what is the most ura ent services. what is the most urgent priority _ services. what is the most urgent priority now - services. what is the most urgent priority now for i services. what is the most urgent priority now for the j urgent priority now for the banking sector for the people of afghanistan? priority now? t of afghanistan? priority now? i think the key priorities for the central bank and for the government is to basically make sure they initiate with the us authorities and that countries because the economy is largely dependent, more than 75% dependent, more than 75% dependent on the aid coming from different countries. in order to run, at least for the short—term, need to basically negotiate with these people to get these as soon as possible. who else is the taliban talking to, from your understanding, in terms of trying to get overseas financing? if they are not successful in getting western countries to give them the funds that are currently frozen?— funds that are currently frozen? ~ ., ., ., frozen? we are looking to china and russia _ frozen? we are looking to china and russia and _ frozen? we are looking to china and russia and some _ frozen? we are looking to china and russia and some other- and russia and some other countries as well. so we are not sure how long these negotiations have been, how these negotiations are going on that it seems that sooner or later they will be successful in the negotiation with these countries. in the negotiation with these countries-— countries. there is more on that interview _ countries. there is more on that interview on _ countries. there is more on that interview on our i countries. there is more on i that interview on our website. many countries have grappled to power supply due to overloaded grid systems. this is why the focus is shifting to alternative power solutions such as solar. we visited the green solar injohannesburg to find out how they are training tomorrow's solar entrepreneurs. hello, iam hello, i am excited to do this course because if i can do this solar course i can help everyone who don't know how to work with solar. hi. everyone who don't know how to work with solar.— work with solar. hi, i am excited _ work with solar. hi, i am excited to _ work with solar. hi, i am excited to bring - work with solar. hi, i am excited to bring solar- work with solar. hi, i am excited to bring solar to | work with solar. hi, i am i excited to bring solar to the rest — excited to bring solar to the rest of _ excited to bring solar to the rest of the world because of this— rest of the world because of this wiii— rest of the world because of this will help me with job opportunities and help me grow my own — opportunities and help me grow my own career. opportunities and help me grow my own career-— my own career. hello, i am at marlin and — my own career. hello, i am at marlin and i — my own career. hello, i am at marlin and i work— my own career. hello, i am at marlin and i work in _ my own career. hello, i am at marlin and i work in the i marlin and i work in the corporate _ marlin and i work in the corporate sector- marlin and i work in the corporate sector and i marlin and i work in thei corporate sector and i'm marlin and i work in the i corporate sector and i'm into their— corporate sector and i'm into their renewable _ corporate sector and i'm into their renewable sector. i corporate sector and i'm intoi their renewable sector. there is a great _ their renewable sector. there is a great need _ their renewable sector. there is a great need for— their renewable sector. there is a great need for alternative energy — is a great need for alternative ener: . �* .., is a great need for alternative ener: . ~ energy. on african continent there is a shortage - energy. on african continent there is a shortage of - energy. on african continentl there is a shortage of energy. it is not getting better. filling further down into south africa the market is unique in that with unreliable grid supply there is a unique driver to make sure —— solar and backup systems relevant. i think we are probably one of the few— i think we are probably one of the few that are a proper practical component as well. there — practical component as well. there are _ practical component as well. there are a lot of academies ontine — there are a lot of academies online as _ there are a lot of academies online as well these days but we concentrate on training and we concentrate on training and we feel— we concentrate on training and we feel like that is important to do— we feel like that is important to do a — we feel like that is important to do a practical component. solar— to do a practical component. solar power is important because it _ solar power is important because it kind - solar power is important because it kind of- solar power is important i because it kind of provided a new— because it kind of provided a new niche _ because it kind of provided a new niche that _ because it kind of provided a new niche that is _ because it kind of provided a new niche that is now- because it kind of provided a i new niche that is now everyone is finding — new niche that is now everyone is finding opportunity, - new niche that is now everyone is finding opportunity, as - new niche that is now everyone is finding opportunity, as an i is finding opportunity, as an installer, _ is finding opportunity, as an installer, wholesaler, - is finding opportunity, as an installer, wholesaler, as. is finding opportunity, as an installer, wholesaler, as a l installer, wholesaler, as a designer. _ installer, wholesaler, as a designer. as _ installer, wholesaler, as a designer. as a _ installer, wholesaler, as a i designer, as a salesperson, so it kind — designer, as a salesperson, so it kind of— designer, as a salesperson, so it kind of opened _ designer, as a salesperson, so it kind of opened up _ designer, as a salesperson, so it kind of opened up the - designer, as a salesperson, so it kind of opened up the spacel it kind of opened up the space for pebble _ it kind of opened up the space for pebble to _ it kind of opened up the space for people to either _ it kind of opened up the space for people to either create i for people to either create their— for people to either create their own _ for people to either create their ownjob_ for people to either create | their own job opportunities for people to either create i their own job opportunities for people — their own job opportunities for people to _ their own job opportunities for people to create _ their own job opportunities for people to create job _ people to create job opportunities - people to create job opportunities for. people to create job i opportunities for others. people to create job opportunities for others. solar ower, opportunities for others. solar power. africa. _ opportunities for others. solar power, africa, it _ opportunities for others. solar power, africa, it is _ opportunities for others. solar power, africa, it is a - power, africa, it is a no—brainer, isn't it? now, the long wait is finally over. james bond gets is overdue world premiere in london tonight before general release on friday. no time to die, the 25th outing 4007 and the last four daniel craig, of course, in key role. it was originally supposed to arrive on our screens in cinemas of april 2020. the initial postponement had a domino effect as other studios pulled their big titles from the release calendar and left cinemas with no lucrative blockbusters to pin their hopes on. now after numerous lockdowns and cinemas closed will it shake up the box office takings for cinemas? let's discuss this with chief executive of uk cinema association. good morning to you stop i have to say i am really excited. i love my bond films so i can't wait to see it but with —— willi willi do the trick and draw the crowds which cinema so desperately needs? i think a bond film is big in any year. ifall sat at think a bond film is big in any year. i fall sat at number two and three in the all—time uk box office so i think they were great expectations that this will be another trigger to get people back into cinemas, may be particularly infrequent cinema—goers or older audiences who haven't yet seen something advertised in cinemas that will get them back post lockdown. also as well as think the fact it is daniel craig's last outing. that in itself will draw people more, don't you think? ., draw people more, don't you think? . ., draw people more, don't you think? . . , ., ,, think? yeah, and perhaps ironically. _ think? yeah, and perhaps ironically, it _ think? yeah, and perhaps ironically, it has - think? yeah, and perhaps l ironically, it has heightened the sense of giving —— anticipation. people who represent cinemas of all shapes and sizes have given a very positive response in terms of pre— bookings by customers but also a great deal of anticipation and excitement around the film. in anticipation and excitement around the film.— anticipation and excitement around the film. in terms of other movies, _ around the film. in terms of other movies, we _ around the film. in terms of other movies, we say i around the film. in terms of other movies, we say that l other movies, we say that cinema has a hard time. undoubtedly that is absolutely the case. but they have been movie launches like, for example, the recent marvel film which has been a huge success, hasn't it? . which has been a huge success, hasn't it? , ., which has been a huge success, hasn't it?— hasn't it? yes, what we have seen since — hasn't it? yes, what we have seen since cinemas - hasn't it? yes, what we have| seen since cinemas reopened across the uk is a gradual definite recovery of the sector. shane she, that was a film which drew audiences of a level we would have seen pre— pandemic and i think, you know, we are currently looking at returning to those kinds of levels of success which were record—breaking over 2022 and 2023. in record-breaking over 2022 and 2023. ., record-breaking over 2022 and 2023. . ._ ., record-breaking over 2022 and 2023. . ., 2023. in what way have you chan . ed 2023. in what way have you changed the _ 2023. in what way have you changed the cinema - 2023. in what way have you i changed the cinema experience? because we still have to socially distance, we still have to be aware of how close we are to other people and hygiene et cetera. so, across most of the uk, social distancing is no longer required although some cinemas still offer it, either across the whole site or in certain screenings for customers who are more cautious. of course, you know, one of the lessons learned from the pandemic is the need for both cinemas and individual customers to take greater care and greater consciousness of what is going on around them. the consciousness of what is going on around them.— on around them. the message from customers _ on around them. the message from customers coming i on around them. the message from customers coming back l on around them. the message | from customers coming back is yes, social distancing may have been removed but that doesn't mean that other people are less cautious now and we need to return to some sense of normality without forgetting the environment which which —— in which we are working. band in which we are working. and what shape _ in which we are working. and what shape our _ in which we are working. and what shape our cinemas in financially?— financially? there is no denying _ financially? there is no denying that _ financially? there is no denying that covid i financially? there is no denying that covid was | financially? there is no. denying that covid was a massive hit to the sector, as so many others. we estimate across the 18 months now that covid has been with us that the sector as a whole was lost something like £2 billion. there is a great deal of optimism and confidence in the sector as it returns and indeed we have seen a number of cinemas open that would tilt during the pandemic closedown. there is no denying the impact to the sector but there is a great deal of confidence that the recovery is under way and will continue over the coming weeks and months. bud will continue over the coming weeks and months.— will continue over the coming weeks and months. and for those independent _ weeks and months. and for those independent cinemas, _ weeks and months. and for those independent cinemas, those i weeks and months. and for those independent cinemas, those that| independent cinemas, those that were many of us love those that are very important to a community, that often show the movies that aren't mainstream, has there been much financial support for those ones? government both in england but across the whole of the uk designated targeted funding particularly to smaller venues which were hugely grateful and those venues are probably the ones that struggled most under social distancing because they tend to be smaller venues, mall auditoriums, closerto tend to be smaller venues, mall auditoriums, closer to seats, et cetera. but certainly things like the furlough scheme which is coming to an end this month but has been a godsend to cinemas large and small and the financial support is such that we actually suspect they will be a vanishingly small number of cinemas that do not reopen post pandemic and they will be far outweighed by the number of new cinemas that have been reopened over the coming weeks. let's hope the on film gives cinemas a boost as well. thank you for being on the programme, phil clapp, the —— let's have a look at markets. as you can see, a mixed day. have a look at this. brent crude, we were talking about it earlier, a barrel above $80, almost a percent above where we were this time yesterday and as i already mentioned, goldman sachsis already mentioned, goldman sachs is predicting that this could go up to $90 a barrel by the end of this year. what will that mean for energy prices? forfilling up your that mean for energy prices? for filling up your vehicles? let's look at the next screen quickly because we will see how the us went. today is tuesday was up you are up—to—date. i will see you soon. hello, there. for most of this september, temperatures have been a lot warmer than you might normally expect to see. temperatures over the weekend, for example, reached 23 degrees and north scotland's kinloss. but a cold front has since moved through and that's really dumped the temperatures. in kinloss, the same spot, down to 13 degrees for a high on monday. and there were plenty of showers following our cold front through. that was one of those shower clouds working across the skies of aberporth. there is the cold front, there are the shower clouds but lurking to our west, this is what is coming next and this is a developing low, developing fronts that are going to spread more persistent rain in. however, over the next few hours, it is showers that are in the forecast so if you are heading outside, wales, parts of south—west england, along with northern ireland and west scotland, that is where you are most likely to see showers over the next few hours. across many central and eastern areas, a lot of dry weather with clear spells. so not a bad start to the day. mostly bright and dry but across wales, western areas of england, quickly that area of cloud, that i showed you, that is this rain that's going to be moving its way in, pushing eastwards and northwards through the day. the rain does eventually reach southern and eastern scotland. north—west scotland and northern ireland, thopugh brighter. again, of sunshine and showers here. and of the day's top temperatures between around about 14 and 17 degrees. fairly gusty winds. once that weather system clears out of the way, as we get into wednesday, what follows is a ridge of high pressure. now the weather for many of us will be dry with increasing amounts of sunshine. however, you are going to see showers feeding in across these north—western areas so west scotland, to the north of northern ireland, northern parts of wales and into north—west england, through areas like merseyside, cheshire, greater manchester and the west midlands. you may see showers even into the afternoon. temperatures about 13—16 degrees. wednesday promises to be one of the cooler days of the week but a fair amount of sunshine. there won't be too much of that sunshine on offer on thursday though because we have got an active at weather system set to come in, bringing some heavy outbreaks of rain and strengthening winds as well towards the north—west as we go on through the day. might even see some gales developing in places. temperatures about 14 to maybe a 17 in the south—west of england and we have got more of this very unsettled weather for friday. general outbreak, still quite windy. something of an improvement over the weekend, we are back to a mixture of sunshine and showers. good morning. welcome to breakfast with sally nugent and dan walker. 0ur headlines today... a 36 year old man is charged with the murder of sabina nessa — the teacherfound dead in london more than a week ago. the army is put on standby to help ease fuel supply problems, as forecourts run dry because of panic buying. we are all wondering how long it can go on for but we are in a pretty bad mess. bus companies are

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