A Record Jump in inflation to 3. 2 the highest level in almost a decade as the price of Food And Transportation increases. Facebook is accused of keeping Secret Internal Research which shows that using instagram can damage the Mental Health of teenage girls. And to boldly go four Amateur Astronauts make history as the first all civilian crew to blast off into space. And coming up on the Bbc News Channel Manchester City begin their Champions League Campaign tonight. Will missing out in last seasons final act as motivation . Good Afternoon And Welcome to the Bbc News at one. The Prime Minister is reshuffling his cabinet this afternoon. Downing street says he wants a strong and united team to level up the whole country and build back after the pandemic. Theres been speculation about whether there could be changes at the top of government with questions in particular about the futures of the foreign secretary dominic raab, Home Secretary Priti Patel And Education secretary Gavin Williamson. Our chief political correspondent Adam Fleming joins me know this is a reshuffle thats long been talked about and predicted . That talked about and predicted . Is very true. It has be subject that is very true. It has been subject to speculation for weeks. Journalists and mps gossiping about what is going to happen or the government using it as a tool to maintain discipline around the Cabinet Table is big decisions are being made. The reshuffle is on. Confirmation from the government it will happen today and tomorrow. Different ranks of the cabinet and the lower orders happening on different days. We also suspect if it follows the pattern of previous reshuffles the findings will be done out of The Public Eye and the prime Ministers Office in the Palace Of Westminster so we will not see tearful former ministers working out of their meeting with the Prime Minister. But we probably will see joyful new ministers or newly appointed ministers going into Downing Street to take over their new portfolios. He had hinted at some of the speculation. Dominic rapped the foreign secretary came in for quite a lot of criticism for the governments handling of the evacuation from afghanistan and you talked about Priti Patel the Home Secretary who was accused and such are found guilty of bullying her staff a couple of years ago and she has been criticised for not gripping the situation with the migrant boats coming across the English Channel from france. Dominic raab. There seem to be negative headlines about Gavin Williamson every hour. He is hotly tipped to be demoted from the Education Department and there are so many rumours that around Michael Gove who feel you look on Social Media might be running every single department by The End of this week. If you are watching and thinking why does this matter . Somebody i have not really heard of being replaced by somebody else i have not really heard of. This matters. New people bring new ideas to all departments and also new people bring potential new conflicts with the Prime Minister over the next few years. Adam, thank you very much indeed. We will be back with you if we get any more details during the programme. Government scientific advisers are warning there could be a Big Wave of Hospital Admissions for Covid I9 next month in england, but they say that surge could be a avoided with some light touch restrictions. Modelling from the Governments Sage advisory committee suggests hospitalisations could increase from about 1,700 a day in england to as many as 7,000. From 700 to 7000. There are fears the virus will spread more rapidly with children going back to School And Staff returning to the workplace. Anna collinson reports. From offering a vaccine to 12 to 15 year olds in school to providing is year olds in school to providing a boosterjab to millions who may be more vulnerable to covid it is hoped vaccines will do the heavy lifting this winter, but will the Plan Be enough to protect the nhs . As people return to the clash and in the Office Government advisers the Infection Rates could rise. Modelling suggests this may lead to between 2000 and 7000 daily hospitalisations in england next month. The current averages around 750. ,. ,. , month. The current averages around 750. ,. ,. ,. ,. , 750. The potential for the virus to cause huge 750. The potential for the virus to cause huge numbers 750. The potential for the virus to cause huge numbers of 750. The potential for the virus to cause huge numbers of deaths i 750. The potential for the virus to cause huge numbers of deaths is | cause huge numbers of deaths is greatly diminished, so that does allow more flexibility, but it does still remain the case that acting earlier will be more effective. Sage members suggest earlier will be more effective. Sage members suggest introducing light touch measures like encouraging working from home, requiring all contacts of cases to isolate and clear messaging. Plan b includes suggestions like mandatory facemasks, but they say this will only be triggered if the nhs is under unsustainable pressure. I do not think we under unsustainable pressure. I do not think we are under unsustainable pressure. I if not think we are going to have to have another look tame. The vaccines are working and other measures. But i think it would be irresponsible for any minister to say anything his 100 ruled out. The for any minister to say anything his 100 ruled out. For any minister to say anything his 10096 ruled out. ,. ,. , 10096 ruled out. The number of people bein 10096 ruled out. The number of people being admitted 10096 ruled out. The number of people being admitted to 10096 ruled out. The number of people being admitted to hospital 10096 ruled out. The number of people being admitted to hospital with being admitted to hospital with coronavirus in the uk is higher compared to 2020, though Antibody Levels are also higher thanks to the vaccine and natural infection. Even so the exhausted Health Services trying to juggle day to day care, reduce Record Waiting Lists and prepare for other respiratory viruses. There is a finite number of staff in bed so the more covid patients the less attention can be given to others. It is patients the less attention can be given to others. Given to others. It is not Ust Atients given to others. It is not ust patients with i given to others. It is not ust patients with covid, given to others. It is not ust patients with covid, We H given to others. It is notjust patients with covid, we are l given to others. It is notjust patients with covid, we are busy with other patients and Emergency Departments and acute units are really struggling so our concern is if there is another increase in the number of covid patients coming in that we really will not be able to do the things that We Hoped, which is keep normal care going and obviously do some of the catchup of the backlog. Obviously do some of the catchup of the backlog the backlog. Nine months since the vaccine relate the backlog. Nine months since the vaccine relate started, the backlog. Nine months since the vaccine relate started, there the backlog. Nine months since the vaccine relate started, there are. Vaccine relate started, there are still 5 Million people who are yet to take up their offer. Emily was initially against it until she contracted covid and became so ill she had to be placed in an induced coma in intensive care. Her road to recovery will be long. Mi; coma in intensive care. Her road to recovery will be long. Recovery will be long. My lungs are not riuht. Recovery will be long. My lungs are not right I Recovery will be long. My lungs are not right. I have recovery will be long. My lungs are not right. I have had recovery will be long. My lungs are not right. I have had another recovery will be long. My lungs are not right. I have had another Lung L not right. I have had another lung infection. My1 1 not right. I have had another lung infection. My 1 1 is not taking in the air properly. It is all the after effects. I have a high heart rate. Even when i was on a ventilator my heart stopped twice. So, vaccinate. Just have it done. Those working on the front Lines Winter has already arrived with the nhs. While it is hoped the vaccine will help more destructive natures and even possible lockdowns cannot be ruled out. Disruptive measures. Anna collinson, Bbc News. 0ur Health Editor Hugh Pym joins me now. A warning of a possible surgeon hospitalisations, how seriously should we take that . Hospitalisations, how seriously should we take that . There is a huge amount of uncertainty should we take that . There is a huge amount of uncertainty around should we take that . There is a huge amount of uncertainty around this. I amount of uncertainty around this. There was predicted a big increase in august and a Hospital Numbers because society had opened up as a result of The Ending of restrictions and it did not happen that way. What they are seeing an effect is what they are seeing an effect is what they thought would happen in august may happen in october. It has been pushed back bit and a what will trigger that possibly they say is not only the return of School Pupils but also University Students and a lot more people going back into workplaces, on public transport, going back into towns and cities. Even then they say there is a lot of uncertainty. The current rate of Hospital Admissions daily and england is about 750. They see as there are light touch restrictions, boris johnsons plan there are light touch restrictions, borisjohnson� s Plan B announced yesterday where you encourage people to work from home and to wear masks more extensively, then you could maybe keep it at about that level. If you do not have anything like that, they argue, and the numbers go in and out of towns and cities is quite high, you could get up to 2000 hospitalisations a day. 7000 is the absolute maximum night lying position which is based on the number of different assumptions, so there is no guarantee any of these scenarios will develop but it is an indication of how seriously official see this winter. 0n Indication of how seriously official see this winter. On top of all the nhs pressures which are already building at the moment in hospitals up building at the moment in hospitals up and down the country. Building at the moment in hospitals up and down the country. Thank you ve much up and down the country. Thank you very much indeed. Theres been a big jump in prices. Uk inflation hit 3. 2 last month up from 2 injuly thats the largest increase in the rate of inflation since the Consumer Price Index was introduced almost a quarter of a century ago. Transport, food, eating out and recreation all pushed up the cost of living, but many Economists 0ur Economics Correspondent Andy Verity has been taking a look at the figures. Pa Rt Part of the reason for the jump in inflation was the fact that you are comparing what was the case in august with prices in august the previous year. In August 2020 the Global Economy was reopening but they were still a lot of factors keeping prices down, less activity than before the pandemic, the Vat Cut for hospitality, which kept prices down, and eat 0ut Cut for hospitality, which kept prices down, and eat out to help 0ut prices down, and eat out to help out but notjust prices down, and eat out to help out but not just those prices down, and eat out to help out but notjust those comparisons with last year, this year We Have a big and quick reopening of the Global Economy which is causing problems with supplying customers with what they want. Lack of Fruit Pickers and Lorry Drivers is causing shortages which threaten to push up prices further. A palette of Cooking Oil at a record price, just one of the many basic supplies that have shot up as the Global Economy has reopened post pandemic, triggering the quickest Price Inflation for nine years. Food wholesalers like this one in uxbridge, that supplies upmarket hotels and restaurants, are working as hard as they can but still cant Meet Demand. The current Priority Issue for us is shortages. Every delivery that comes into our warehouse is affected in some way, its either late, doesnt turn up, or when it does turn up, its short, and thats due to the Chronic Shortage of Lorry Drivers. Everything this firm sells is packaged in cardboard, where it says prices are up by A0 , or plastic, where prices have jumped by 70 . With much higher Shipping And Fuel costs, theyre expecting all firms like theirs to have to raise prices next year, if they havent done already. With shortages of goods and Lorry Drivers and Sky High shipping costs, wholesalers like this are at full stretch just trying to get the goods in the Back Door to Meet Demand from their existing customers. Theyre turning new customers away. So far, theyve been able to protect their customers from higher prices, but in the coming months theyre going to be forced to raise them. At restaurants like this independent pub near windsor, prices were higher compared to August 2020 when the governments eat out to help 0ut Scheme allowed them to offer half price meals from monday to wednesday. But it has also found that to offer the good service it wants to its having to pay higher wages. If were going to start paying our staff as professionals and treating them as professionals, then they need to have a decent living wage, which is what we as a business have started to do. And of course that is going to have a Knock On Effect on how profitable our business is. Whereas were happy to take a slice of the pie, our slice, and give it away, and share it with our staff, at some point, some of that pie is going to have to come from the customer as well. 0verall, Consumer Prices were up by 3. 2 . Stripping out the effect of eat out to help 0ut, it was 2. 8 . The biggest single factor was petrol, with unleaded up 21. 5p over the year to £1. 35 a litre. Like the bank of england, the Office For National Statistics says it believes the jump in the rate of inflation is temporary, as suppliers struggle to keep up with a reopening Global Economy. But if companies keep having to pay bigger pay rises to get the staff they need, that view may have to be revised. A debate will take place in parliament later on whether to keep the £20 a Week Increase to universal credit. It was brought in to support people through the pandemic, but is due to be scrapped at the start of october. Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer raised the issue at todays Prime Ministers questions. Mr speaker, how many extra hours a week would a single parent, working full time on the Minimum Wage, have to work to get back the £20 a week the Prime Minister plans to take away from them in his universal credit cuts . Of course what they wanted to do is to continue to take money in taxation and put it into benefits. We dont think thats the right way, mr speaker. We want to encourage high wages and high skills, mr speaker. 0ur political Correspondent Ione wells is in westminster this afternoon. There has been quite a lot of opposition to scrapping this uplift. That is right. The Labour Leader Sir Keir Starmer has accused the Prime Minister of clobbering workers seeing somebody working full time on Minimum Wage would have to work an extra nine hours a week to make up that £20. The uplift is due to be scrapped on the 6th Of October and that has attracted criticism from the opposition and from charities but also from senior conservative mps including the former work and Pensions Secretary they told me he was part of the team in 2015 that took the decision to freeze in work benefits when the conservative messaging at the time was that the mean rate of work into poverty the main route out of poverty should be work. Levels of poverty increased and he fears the government is about to make the same mistake again by cutting this uplift. The government argue this uplift was always meant to be a temporary thing through the pandemic and the Prime Minister reiterated his view he would rather see wages rise to to do work and more skills but his own conservative critics argue that 20p Uplift would never have been made in the first place unless there was a recognition that the Nfc Place unless there was a recognition that the nfo do my initial levels were not enough to help people. That £20. Shamima begum, who left her home to join the so called islamic State Group when she was 15, has again apologised for her connection to the Terror Group and repeated her request to be allowed to return to the uk. Begum remains in a syrian refugee camp, two years after Health Secretary Sajid javid revoked her british citizenship when he was head of the home office. Shes been speaking to the bbc� sjosh baker. Do you Regretjoining Isis . 0f do you Regretjoining Isis . Of course, i will regret it for the rest of my life, whether you can see it on my face or not, it kills me inside, i lose sleep over it. Because Isis Ruined Peoples lives, isis ruined my life, my familys life, and i will have to live with that. ~ ,. , ~ life, and i will have to live with that. ~ ~. , that. When you think back to being art of a that. When you think back to being part of a group that. When you think back to being part of a group that that. When you think back to being part of a group that did that. When you think back to being part of a group that did commit part of a group that did commit genocide, that did murder, that did carry out attacks around the world, how does that feel . It carry out attacks around the world, how does that feel . Carry out attacks around the world, how does that feel . It makes me sick to my stomach. How does that feel . It makes me sick to my stomach, really. How does that feel . It makes me sick to my stomach, really. It how does that feel . It makes me sick to my stomach, really. It makes to my stomach, really. It makes me hate myself. Our home Affairs Correspondent Daniel Sandford is here. Daniel, several interviews that she has given, media appearances, what do you think she is trying to achieve . Do you think she is trying to achieve . ,. ,. ,. , achieve . Amazing transformation, isnt it, achieve . Amazing transformation, isnt it. From achieve . Amazing transformation, isnt it, from the achieve . Amazing transformation, isnt it, from the woman achieve . Amazing transformation, isnt it, from the woman in achieve . Amazing transformation, isnt it, from the woman in the isnt it, from the woman in the black veil who emerged from isis territory, as the islamic State Group collapsed, and gave those interviews, one of them essentially justifying the manchester bombing, because of the children that had died in is territory, to this woman with her hair uncovered, sunglasses on her head. In february, the Supreme Court said that she did not have the right to come back to britain to fight to get her british citizenship back, that she would have to do that from outside the country. And i think this is part of her battle to change how the british people think about her, as part of that legal battle, to go back to concentrating on how she had been groomed and tricked into going to the islamic state, which was how many people perceived it at the time, when she went. And to try and get some kind of sympathy from the british people, and also within the courts, to try and get this idea that she was a vulnerable person who went to travel to the islamic state, rather than being a person who, as Sajid Javid put it, was a threat to british national security. British national security. Daniel sandford, thank british national security. Daniel sandford, thank you british national security. Daniel sandford, thank you very british national security. Daniel| sandford, thank you very much. Our top story this lunchtime. A long predicted Cabinet Reshuffle is under way. Downing street says the Prime Minister wants a strong and united team as the country recovers from the pandemic. And coming up the impact of stopping Prison Visits for children whose mothers are in custody. Coming up on the Bbc News Channel. Europes Ryder Cup Captain Padraig Bbcaskthis names Henrik Stenson as his fifth Vice Captain ahead of the tournament which gets underway at Whistling Straits next friday. Relatives of the four men who died in a Mining Disaster in the Swansea Valley ten years ago are pressing for a full inquest into their deaths. No one has been held responsible for the gleision colliery disaster, and the two surviving miners say they feel the tragedy and subsequent investigation have been swept under the carpet. Wyre davies reports. Ten years ago, there were just a handful of underground mines left in wales. Small and privately owned, working conditions were often tough, cramped and dangerous. One such colliery was the Gleision Drift Mine in the Swansea Valley. On 15th september 2011, the unthinkable happened a deliberate explosion, intended to ultimately expand the mine, instead sent a torrent of water down narrow shafts, where seven men were working. Jake wyatt was one of them. We heard the blast, obviously, then. Then seconds in, you could hear. Well, id describe it as a jet engine, and you cant. You cant describe it as anything else. Jake. Boy. Nige, how you keeping, son . Reunited for the first time in several years, jake and fellow Survivor Nigel evans recall those terrifying events for the first time. Thats when the water pushed me up against the wall. I was gasping for breath, my body was screaming. I said, theyre dead down there. I said, theyre not coming from there. Another man, Mine Manager Malcolm fyfield, also escaped. But despite the efforts of Rescue Teams working around the clock to pump water out of the flooded mine, there was no hope for the otherfour men trapped underground. Charles breslin, david powell, Phillip Hill and garryjenkins all died in the worst welsh Mining Disaster for more than A0 years. The Mine Manager and its owners were later found not guilty on Manslaughter Charges after a trial that survivors and their families felt never explored the full facts of what happened. These marks demarcate a safe distance. Lee reynolds, a former surveyor for the Gleision Mine, gave evidence at the trial. He raised concerns about alleged illegal mining at gleision when it was under different ownership ten years prior to the 2011 accident. They were making it extremely hard for me to be able to actually survey the mine. There are safety concerns because the plan is inaccurate, and there are so many recorded accidents where people have been hurt by inaccurate plans. As it stands, now, nobody has been blamed, have they . Nobody has had the blame at all. Somebody must take responsibility for four bodies four men, four lives, you know . Bricked up and abandoned just weeks after the tragedy, the Gleision Mine is out of sight, but not out of mind. A decade on, the survivors and the families of those who died are still looking for answers. Wyre davies, Bbc News, in the Swansea Valley. Trapped underground the Gleision Mine disaster is on Bbc One Wales tonight at 8pm and you can also find it on the iplayer. Four men have been arrested in the Londonderry Area by police investigating the death of the journalist Lyra Mckee. The 29 year old was shot while observing rioting in derry� s creggan estate in april 2019. 0ur Ireland Correspondent Emma Vardy has the latest. Emma. Well, the men were arrested earlier this morning under the terrorism act, they were brought here to musgrave Police Station in belfast. Three of the men are aged between 19 and 21, another one is aged 33. This really is the most significant of element in the case for some time. Police said this morning that the arrests were the result of detailed investigations over the past two years. The death of Lyra Mckee had a huge impact here in Northern Ireland back in 2019. She had been stood next to police with a crowd of people watching as rioting broke out in derry� s creggan estate when a gunman from the new rai fired towards the crowd and she was tragically killed. The new ira. The british and irish Prime Ministers attended her funeral here in belfast. As well as being a journalist she was also a passionate 93v Journalist she was also a passionate gay Rights Advocate who believed very much in a Betterfuture Gay Rights Advocate who believed very much in a better future for Northern Ireland. Chimney previously, one man has already been charged with Murder And Possession of a firearm, but holes have always believed that a number of senior figures in the new ira were responsible were responsible for that night. Their investigation has always been continuing in the background and these new arrests are a result of that. A result of that. Emma vardy, our Ireland Correspondent, a result of that. Emma vardy, our Ireland Correspondent, thank a result of that. Emma vardy, our Ireland Correspondent, thank you | Ireland Correspondent, thank you very much. Most women in british prisons are mothers, and through the pandemic, many of their children were stopped from visiting them. The Prison Reform Trust says this has had a significant impact on the children of imprisoned mothers, damaging their Mental Health and causing anxiety and nightmares. Karen morrison reports. I had nightmares. Ijust wished i could see mummy. I didnt know if id ever see mum again. I miss my mum so much it was so upsetting not. Being able to hug her. Just some of the testimonies of children who couldnt see their mothers in prison during the pandemic. When the nation went into lockdown, so did prisons, and all visits were stopped even for mothers and children. Tawana was sent to prison after drugs and a firearm were found in her house. She completed her four years in prison during the pandemic, and is now home with her three young daughters. I think it did a lot of damage, actually. I mean, it did. To have your mum, its meant to be having your world, and to have that taken away at such a young age. What was your biggest fear when you were in prison . My main biggest fear was my children stop loving me, or theyll forget about me. To know that my mistakes put me in that position, which i totally, you know, i have a lot of regrets for my choices, my bad decisions and to know that that was going to affect your children that you were supposed to put first, you know, it is heartbreaking. Weve had reports of those children bed wetting, intense nightmares, and totally bewildered because they cant recognise their mothers when they see them on video calls. Really concerned about what this impact on the emotional Well Being of children will really do to them in the long term. It wasnt just younger children who felt the pain of separation. When vicky was convicted for tax fraud, her daughter was 16. Vicky was moved between three different prisons during the pandemic. Everyone felt it everyone the frustration, just. Being on the wing or in the house where i was, wasjust. The atmosphere just changed completely, itjust went. Everyone turned in on each other because youve got nothing, everyones feeling frustration. Its just. It was just a horrible place to be in. All prisons have now resumed social visits, and the testing of visitors is being rolled out to allow physical contact. But campaigners and their families are calling on the government now to keep visits for children and their parents in prison, even if other restrictions have to be tightened. The Ministry Ofjustice says, the decision to stop visits was not taken lightly and we know the difficult impact this has had on parents in prisons, particularly mothers. A Mums Job never ends. You can make mistakes but you can pick it back up and make it even better, so i think that is where me and my children stand now. Karen morrison, Bbc News. Facebook has been accused of keeping Secret Internal Research on instagram which shows the app makes Body Image issues worse for teenage girls. Our Technology Correspondent Rory cellan Jonesjoins Me now. Rory, how embarrassing is this for facebook . ~ � ,. , rory, how embarrassing is this for facebook . ~ � ,. , facebook . Well, ben, this was an Investigation Facebook . Well, ben, this was an investigation for facebook . Well, ben, this was an investigation for the facebook . Well, ben, this was an investigation for the Wall Facebook . Well, ben, this was an investigation for the Wall Street i investigation for the Wall Street journal which found that facebook had conducted a whole series of studies over three years into the impact of instagram, with some quite worrying findings that were never made public. Teams blame instagram for the increase in the rate of anxiety and depression, that is an internal presentation. Body issues are made worse, that is another presentation, for teenage girls. And another worrying statistic, among teens who reported suicidal thoughts, 13 of british users and 6 of american users, traced a desire to kill themselves to instagram. So, very worrying findings. Already, reaction from one senior british mp, damian collins, Former Culture Select Committee chairman, said, time and again, facebook had been shown to be putting profit before preventing harm. Instagram came out with a blog last night defending itself, saying the paper had only emphasised the negative aspects of the research. The research had also found that there were positive aspects to using instagram. That the whole point of the research, it said, was to help deal with these issues, to help improve the service and to lessen the harm, any harm, caused to users. Rory cellan jones, thank you. Now, its One Small Step for billionaires, but could it be a Giant Leap for Space Tourism . The first ever civillian manned Space Flight is due to take off from florida after midnight, with a four person Amateur Crew Led and funded by entrepreneurjared isaacman. It follows a Summer Space Race between some of the richest men in the world, including Sir Richard Branson and jeff bezos. Jonathan amos reports. They are four people who want to make a difference, on earth and off it. Jared issacman, hayley arceneaux, Sian Proctor and Chris Sembroski the inspiration four crew. They are all Amateur Astronauts. Five, four, three, two. Six months ago, they were pursuing everyday careers. Today, theyre the subject of a Netflix Documentary Series and are preparing to climb aboard a Spacex Capsule to rocket into the sky. Its been made possible byjared issacman, a wealthy businessman with a passion for planes and some big dreams. Been going to the Space Station for some time, and theres just unbelievable Science And Research and great contributions that are coming out of there, but if were going to go to the moon again, and were going to go to mars and beyond, then weve got to get a little outside of our Comfort Zone and take that next step in that direction. Liftoff Mr Isaacman purchased the flight but then gifted the three adjacent seats to people with an inspirational story to tell. Thats exemplified by 29 year old hayley arceneaux. She overcame Bone Cancer as a child and as an adult, has gone back to work for the hospital that cured her. I remember getting off the phone and my hands were shaking. It was just so exhilarating. This is definitely not something i ever imagined would happen. But i think thats what makes it so fun for me. And liftoff in the 60 years since the first human went into space,