Next summer has been made. Northern ireland have avoided italy but have a tricky tie against switzerland. Thanks olly. And chris has all the weather. The remnants of one storm, and youve already got your eyes on the next. The next autumn could be on its way through friday night. More on that coming up. With food and travel costs going up, how would you could . Also coming up were not going to need a bigger boat. Weve got a drone. The new way to tackle australias shark problem. How will you cope . Hello, everyone. This is afternoon live im simon mccoy. Chances are many of youve already noticed the cost of living has gone up again. Inflation has reached its highest level in more than five years up to 3 with travelling and eating costing us more. But this is good news for pensioners who will now get a 3 pension increase from next april. Our economics correspondent andy verity reports. Whats this got to do with the cost of living . The price of fish was one of the fastest rising goods in the year to september, up by 13. 6 . And if youre thinking of cooking it in this, oils and fats are up by 14. 9 . While other prices like airfares were down, the 3 average price rise was higher than it has been since april 2012. Cars, food and clothing. Everything is on the way up. Food prices. Especially the cost of heating, lighting, gas, electricity. Those consumer products, theres other things that have increased the most. The entire shop, really, has gone up even in the last five years, its probably gone up from £100 per week to £130 per week. The bank of england expects inflation to get a little higher before it drops back. We expect that inflation will peak in around the october figure, october, november figures and so peaking potentially above the 3 level. Septembers inflation number is used to set basic state pension so they should rise by 3 next april. That compares with wages. Right now they are going up by 2. 1 and if you are receiving working age benefits they will not go at all next april, so you are getting a real terms cut. A policy of freezing benefits for people of working age is one of the biggest austerity measures. It saves the government money but removes it from bedford recipients. Benefit recipients. The 3 inflation represents one of the biggest real terms wheezes on benefits we have seen for decades. It is set to save the government £1. 9 billion per year in 2018, i9, but that means losses for many families. If we take a working family with two children they are set to leave the girl lose £1005 per year. , set to leave the girl lose £1500 per year. The chancellor was urged to address the key reason why wages are not keeping up with prices or pensions. The amount each worker can produce, productivity, has not been growing like it used to. Why is it so important . Because productivity is the key to the future growth of the economy and productivity, higher productivity, is the key to better wages. No wonder we have low wages we have very low productivity we need to increase productivity in order to get the wages up. Shops and other firms face one more rising cost. Business rates, which are set to go up by the Old FashionedRetail Prices index for september, 3. 9 . In the city comedies also now seen as highly likely that next month, for the first time in more than a decade, Interest Rates will have rise. Dont forget you can let us know what you think. Tweet us using the hashtag afternoonlive. All the ways to contact us on screen right now. The former chancellor, George Osborne, has been tweeting. There it is. His cartoon shows theresa may Jean Claude Juncker both saying, is. His cartoon shows theresa may jean claudejuncker both saying, we must accelerate, but both at opposite ends of the car. Lets go to westminster and vicky young. That cartoon highlights an issue which is causing real concern. This statement is that they put out of their after their dinner last night is that they have to accelerate but its not clear who has to push the accelerator. Britain is saying, we have moved, it is up to you to give something back. The eu is saying, it is all about how you must pay and were not there yet on other issues. David davis is still speaking in the commons now, updating mps, and he went through the Sticking Points. He was at pains to point out how much progress has been made on things like eu citizens, though he admitted there were still outstanding issues. He feels the uk has moved on all the bad. On Northern Ireland and ireland, the border between the two, he feels there has been progress. On monday, he is absolutely sticking to the same point the British Government has made that we have already said, yes, we will pay what we owe in this budget cycle up to 2020, but beyond that, we need to move on to look at our future relationship. This is what he said to mps. Ive made no secret of the fact that to fully provide that certainty, we must be able to talk about the future. We all have to recognise that we are reaching the limits of what we can achieve without consideration of the future relationship. The Prime Ministers speech in florence set up the scale of the ambition of a new partnership with the eu, and she also laid out the case for a simple, clear and time limited period of the main station on current terms. In the eu council this week, i have the 27 members will recognise and approve this, and provide Michel Barnier momentum. Doing so will allow us to achieve ourjoint objectives and achieve ourjoint objectives and achieve a deal that works for the uk and the eu. There has been much discussion of what constitutes sufficient process. Let me be clear that sufficient progress and the sequence that sufficient progress and the sequence of negotiation has always been the eu construct not the uk one. Negotiations require both parties notjust to one. Negotiations require both parties not just to engage constructively, but to develop their positions advance. The uk has been clear it will be conducting these negotiations in a constructive and responsible way. The substantial progress we have made over recent months proves we have done just that, and were ready to move these big oceans on. Interesting to listen to the radio this morning and hear someone close to Angela Merkel saying Boris Johnson is not helping. Boris johnson is not helping. Boris johnson is not helping. Boris johnson is taking a hard line on the money. People should not be confused. There is the money we will pay to honour our commitments in this budget cycle, then there is the separate lots of money that the eu would like to see from us, which is about future programmes. Boris johnsons point, and that of others in the conservative party, is that we are not just in the conservative party, is that we are notjust going to hand over a blank cheque and not know what were going to get in return. David davis said there were no plans to get up and walk away from the stalk. He also said at one point, though, the eu are using time pressure to get more money out of us. Thats whats going on, because we are in a negotiation. When it comes the labour, kia starmer, their spokesman, he accused some in the government of talking up a no deal scenario. Nobody should underestimate the seriousness of the situation that we find ourselves in. At the first hurdle, the government has failed to hit a very important target. That leaves eu citizens in the uk and uk citizens in europe in a continued state of uncertainty. It means insufficient progress in relation to Northern Ireland, and it appears the deadlock on the financial settlement is such that both sides are barely talking. The secretary of state in his statement says that he is confident that we are now on the right track. I cant fault him for his confidence in his own negotiating ambitions. The problem is, most of those ambitions have failed to materialise. One of them was that the secrecy of talks would be the row the sequencing of talks would be the row of the summer and he would not agree. He did so by copy time on day one. The suggestion that sequencing and sufficient progress are eu cant ducks leave out of account the fact that he agreed to them and signed up to them. All eyes will turn to that eu summit at the end of the week, downing street and brussels confirming that theresa may will get the chance to speak directly to the other 27 eu leaders and try to persuade them that now is the time to move on and talk about the future relationship. Vicky, thank you very much. A huge clear up operation is taking place across ireland following the damage caused by storm ophelia, which killed three people. Thousands are still without electricity after winds of around a hundred Miles Per Hour brought down power lines and trees. Ben ando reports. Trees down. Power down. Clearing up. Across the island of ireland workers, homeowners, engineers, restoring electricity and transport links damaged under the onslaught of storm ophelia. The damage was worse in the south, where around a quarter Million People are still without power. Some are being warned they might be left in the dark for several days. Though engineers are working round the clock to reconnect everyone. The counties of cork and kerry bore the brunt of ophelias 100 mph plus winds. Irelands National EmergencyCoordination Group is meeting in dublin, but hospitals and roads managed reopen today. In Northern Ireland around 50,000 homes had power restored overnight. During the morning workers continued and now the number still without electricity is around 3000. During the night, ophelia continued north in scotland powered cuts affected around 1100 homes and in north wales 4000 lost electricity. Compared to the south, Northern Ireland got off relatively lightly. Schools in both north and south remain closed for a second day. The decision to close schools here yesterday taken very late on sunday evening was criticised. The decision to keep them closed today, meaning parents are having to find things to do with the youngsters, is also raising eyebrows. And while there were tragically three deaths and much damage to power lines and buildings, many will feel the wrath of storm ophelia could have been significantly worse. Ben ando, bbc news, belfast. A deal has been struck which could help safeguard jobs at the bombardier aircraft factory in Northern Ireland. The european manufacturer airbus has taken a stake in bombardiers c series jet, which has wings built in belfast. The deal would allow some of the planes to be assembled at an airbus plant in alabama, avoiding import duties us authorities have threatened to impose. A man has been found guilty of murdering a kurdish refugee, just hours after hed been released from a secure hospital. Jeffrey barry, who lived in the same supported housing as kamil ahmad, stabbed him more than 25 times in what was described as a sustained and savage attack. Jon kay reports. 1am, and Jeffrey Barry head from his flat to kamil ahmads bedsit. In his waistband, a large kitchen knife. He knocks on kamils door, and inside stabs the kurdish refugee more than 25 times, before mutilating his body. Thats like a black cloud in my life, you know. Kamils brother believes the attack could and should have been prevented, in a country they came to for protection. He came here to be safe. To just lead a normal life. But why, how come he got this . Why did this happen, and how did it happen . Jeffrey barry had a long history of severe psychiatric problems, including episodes of paranoid schizophrenia. This is the supported living accommodation in bristol where the two men were living, and six weeks before the attack Jeffrey Barry told the staff here that he wanted to kill someone, that he wanted to be notorious, and he said kamilahmad was top of his list. Hed left notes, saying he was planning to kill kamil, along with everybody else on the street. In the weeks before the attack barry was sectioned, but he was released from this hospital by a Mental Health tribunal, against the advice of a psychiatrist. He returned to the house, and within hours had killed the refugee. He called 999, and said hed warned Mental Health professionals. That was his defence in court, flanked by staff from broadmoor high security hospital. But barry has been convicted unanimously of murder. Kamils family believe the 48 year old would still be alive if he had been warned in advance that barry was returning that night, and if staff in the house had been given time to come up with a plan. I am very angry. His brother told me all the agencies involved must reflect on this case. I hope they learn, you know, what has happened to my brother, so it doesnt happen to anybody else again, because only i know how i feel, you know . Only we know how i feel, to have lost a loving brother, you know. And they could have done something about it beforehand. A review will be published next year. The headlines inflation hit a five year high because of high food and transport prices. The oecd says that British Economic output would increase significantly if brexit were reversed. There has been a large rise in the number of hate crimes after brexit and terrorist attacks. Northern ireland will face switzerland in the world cup play offs next month. The first leg will be in belfast. This was only lost one match in qualifying and we re lost one match in qualifying and were seeded in the draw. It is the return of the Champions League tonight. Tottenham are in spain facing real madrid. Liverpool and Manchester City are also in action. Chris froome says that retaining his Tour De France title will be a mass in massive challenge. The route for next year does not play to his strengths. Lets return to our main story. Inflation has reached its highest level in more than five years driven up by increases in transport and food prices. The rate of inflation, as measured by the Consumer Prices index, increased to 3 last month, up from 2. 9 in august. With me is pauljohnson, director at the institute for fiscal studies. Weve heard from mark carney. Sorry, i should say, nice to see you. Mark carney thinks it is going to be higher than 3 . Who is this hating particularly hard . Higher than 3 . Who is this hating particularly hard . It higher than 3 . Who is this hating particularly hard . It affect anyone with a job and anyone on benefits, doesnt it was magellan like those of us who are just about old enough to remember the 1970s will think that 3 is not anything to worry about. Then, it was in the teens and heading towards 20 . Wages are not going up by that rate per year, so people in work are being made worse off on average because earnings are going up by less than 2 , inflation is at 3 , so by the end of the year, you can buy less than you were able to at the start. People who rely on benefits other than pensions are seeing no increase at all in their benefits over a four year period, so the consequences that they will be 396 the consequences that they will be 3 worse off at the end of the year. If were talking about transport and food costs, that affects all of us. Yes, and of course, food as a proportion of the amount that people spend, food is a bigger chunk of the budget of poorer people than it is of richer people. Inflation through food prices will hit people on lower incomes significantly higher than those on higher incomes. We will all see the impact, though. People with tracker mortgages are thinking, the last thing i need is an Interest Rate hike, but that looks more likely, doesnt it . People who had mortgages back before 2009 have had a pretty nice seven or eight years, in the sense that they have had the lowest ever Interest Rates. If you had your mortgage before the crisis, then you are sitting reasonably pretty, on average. Certainly, for people who have taken out a mortgage since then, probably stretching themselves quite a long way, given what has happened to house prices. Any increase in Interest Rates will be difficult to deal with, though i dont expect any increase to be big. When people hear the words economic forecast, they can be forgiven for glazing over a bit, but this one from the oecd, suggesting that britain needs a second referendum and to rethink what they clearly think is a decision, but they have got things wrong in the past, so do we ta ke got things wrong in the past, so do we take this with a pinch of salt . Forecast get things wrong most of the time. Forecasts get things wrong the time. But if you make trade with your nearest partner, in our case, the European Union, we will end up making ourselves less well off than we otherwise would have been. There are lots of other reasons for moving out of the eu, to do with sovereignty and so on, but on the economic front, it is bad for us. On the economic front, it is bad for us. We just dont know where we are with the negotiations, and that uncertainty is causing problems. Uncertainty causes a lot of problems for businesses when they are thinking about investment, and even ignoring the brexit book, we have had a terrible seven or eight years for business investment, partly once partly because of uncertainty about growth in general. Now the additional uncertainty about what will happen in 2019 20 makes people less keen to put big money into Big Investments, and it is those Big Investments, and it is those Big Investments that people are holding off on, i think, until they know quite what is going to happen. We have the chancellor saying, we have voted out, we are going out, but do you think there is a growing sense that a call for a second referendum might have traction . |j that a call for a second referendum might have traction . I really couldnt comment on whether there is any chance of a second referendum. But among those you talk to, what is the mood music .