Hello im maria minimize he and london youre watching out there also coming up deepening on certainty in lebanon after the Prime Minister resigns during a trip to saudi arabia criticizing iran and saying he fears for his life. Russian air strikes and driving eisel from its last strip of land in syria killed six members of the same family. Council colleagues bootable ill be reporting on why Political Leadership there in mourning. Now we saw this program with news that weve been covering from saudi arabia with the countrys add a friend saying that it intercepted a missile at the King Khalid International airport near the capital riyadh the rebels of at the same time claim to a fide long range Ballistic Missile that traveled five hundred kilometers over the border with saudi arabia a spokesman for the rebels told al jazeera that they launched a missile towards riyadh late on saturday but also in other developments a major shake up of saudi arabias cabinet with the economy minister. Having been replaced by mohammed of to wide and while the other changes have been taking place the National Guard minister prince been has been released from office he was the last senior royal in government not to be closely connected with king sound or his son also for more on this our senior political analyst Marwan Bashar joins me now from doha and just maybe to pick up on that last point we were making there about this cabinet shakeup to what extent is this consistent with the sort of president weve seen on the part of the crown prince in making sudden top level political changes. Its quite consistent except its also quite dramatic in the sense that while they were saying that saudi arabia is opening a new chapter under the new king and his crown prince theyve really gone way too far farther than anything weve seen in the modern history of saudi arabia this is especially the case for example with the with with ive been abdulla the head of the National Guard since this establishment in one thousand nine hundred two the National Guard has been led either by King Abdullah before he was king or by his son so you can imagine for over half a century there is a spin a certain continuity in the kingdom also went on the new king comes in while the establish their own cabinet but they do not step all over other members of the family or other centers of power within the kingdom why wont we saw here just a few months ago when the crown crown prince got rid of his boss basically the crown prince in order to become crown prince so really all in all i think weve seen mohammed and. Of course the king making a new strides making major changes in the kingdom not paying attention to the conservative wing or to the wing or to the traditional way of doing politics or doing business in the kingdom so all in all really dramatic changes happening and continue to happening saudi arabia but also as weve been speaking to throughout the day its connected with saudi arabias Regional Policy as well and so then how much of a gamble is this you are saying that the changes are sudden and very dramatic what the political risks of this sort of upheaval. You know interesting the speaking of every other profile ive seen of muhammad and said man who as we all know now is a very young man around his around thirty years of age and not much experience in a fight as we know and not that much of education as much as fighters as we know hes basically been parachuted into the. You know helm of the kingdom where the course major you know oil an oil reserves an oil income and so on and so forth and really making huge decisions so most all of the profiles ive seen of him by people in the know and enjoy know that have been very friendly to the saudi arabia like the economists like the wall street journal the New York Times the Washington Post and song so forth. Generally speaking the approach has been that this guy is both a malicious and reckless these are not my words this is not my estimate of the crown prince the effective ruler of saudi arabia this is americas story of saudis friends in Great Britain in the United States and elsewhere that really think of him as someone whos both reckless and ambitious and that is not exactly experienced in governance so all in all we can see very ambitious a very mean you could call it aggressive or courageous decisions been taking in order to make quick wins for him quick changes in the kingdom but also dramatic changes in the kingdom for which i honestly dont know what consequences we could see in the future because really he is really racking up the enemies and the and the jealousies within the ruling families in saudi arabia and we definitely get into the were going to look more closely later on at the impact of these changes domestically but what how might a more assertive and bold and approach to Foreign Policy impacts israel in the region. Now we all remember the statements coming from saudi arabia even before the present king took power when weve seen from the various leaks we can leaks and others how the saudi king was more than happy to fight iran until the last american soldier and that he was. Pressuring the United States as he put it to cut the head the snakes head into hiran so all in all saudi arabia has had a problem have had an issue with iran since the reign of revolution nine hundred seventy nine and all in all the competition in the proxy war on props to conflicts between the project of iran and its revolution and that of saudi arabia will have risen and its projects in the region have been going on for for decades but now under king solomon and hamad bin so man weve seen a new escalation and its you know you were stymied with the incoming of the new crown prince that the campaign and the war in yemen the Coalition Led by saudi arabia yemen took place so really weve seen the changes in the in the inside happening in parallel with changes on the outside so the project of the new crown prince and the new king is not only limited to political changes and cleaning up the scene for a whole new era in saudi arabia but also for saudi arabia in the region taking major steps in yemen that was key of course the gulf crisis is another one with carter on sold so forth and today as weve seen earlier in lebanon and in the way saddam had really made a speech that really spoke both for his own fears and his life but also spoke the words of the kingdoms of saudi arabia in terms of its proxy conflicts with iran so really major changes in the kingdom. Terms of its posture in the region in terms of its politics with them telling us that the consequence is moving forward is basically a known to all of us because this is nothing like a soldier that weve seen before all right for now thank you very much marwan and lets look at what all this means domestically with jane cannon want a Senior Research fellow and the deputy head of the middle East North Africa program at Chatham House based here in london thanks very much for speaking to us and so we knows certainly from developments over the past few months that the new Saudi Crown Prince is very keen to project an image of confidence in medina t. But what might be the implications of such a sudden and accelerated change in the kingdom. Well such changes are going to be controversial for years and years what we hair trigger so do you facials was that it would be impossible to carry out such a rapid change especially to allow women to try because of the highly conservative society now we have a city leadership telling is actually society turns to the young generation what Something Different and there is so too said navajo speak significant social change with the current generation theyre much more globally connected to take an example cinemas are still illegal in saudi arabia but were not to change it would probably shoot young people who are used to what you do whatever they like with their movements loans nonetheless the food how could you change is that mohammed that surrounds pressuring him will be quintessentially specially if he doesnt have much success in creating new jobs i think mt probably the biggest race that a mix of old parent which today is asian and austerity may lead to some uncertainties feeling that they have really started now and in some ways i that might just cut to the heart of it because youve been speaking of great deal about the politics but how important is the economics of all of this saudi arabia we know is the Worlds Largest oil exporter but its no secret that Falling Oil Prices have hurt the economy that economic model has been to rely on all oil prices but that has proved that has shown itself to be an unpredictable and volatile model. How much concern might there be about a vulnerability when it comes to the state of the economy. This is one of the most fundamental issues for saudi arabia im told the Oil Exporters both the middle east so the arabia is at least trying to deal with this issue by rushing ahead with the promotion of the economic the rest the case should have been someone more than the other seventy Craig Craig Craig says is extremely active go and read the world trying to promote investment into the country nonetheless even if he had some success with with mission twenty their seats they spend to be political change if the social contract alters so that people no longer howards the security over joel provided by the government for life and but instead of making their own way in the private sector that the choir has a different attitude it requires a different Education System is no necessarily going to lead to demands for western style democracy but it will not change the difference that has traditionally been there to boards the state. Right and its this the prospect of a changing social contract between the people and the government is is a fascinating one isnt it and i i guess the questions are about whether you can have economic liberalization without social liberalization because you mentioning there young people who are on twitter and the sort of information that they have access to via the intake internet via social media. Its going to be a problem isnt it if economic gains dont meet the Economic Expectations of a young population and a middle class who who want jobs and a certain standard of living. And those it to my expectations probably wont be made because life is not going to be so easy economically for this Younger Generation so cruel to say that the government could do to substitute for that bahamas and so man has been really trying to emphasize so de nationalism hes been trying to emphasize himself was a provider of security against perceived you know is there a storm iran qatar the peace of god the region and all of these things there is some support for that for his leadership because he is creating a sense of momentum in a sense things that needed to be changed are changing but hes also taking quite a high risk approach because hes pursuing change already almost everything to newsweek. Thank you very much we appreciate your analysis jane can mount from Chatham House. Now in a shock announcement earlier today lebanons Prime Minister resigned saad hariri made the televised address from the saudi capital riyadh saying he was stepping down because he feared for his life in his statement however he also lashed out at iran and its lebanese ally hezbollah accusing both of destabilizing the region and reports from beirut. It was an announcement few were expecting. I hereby announce my resignation as Prime Minister from the lebanese government now it is the will of the lebanese is stronger and that determination is steadfast i will have a coming any attempts to impose any custodianship i with them from power is either inside or outside our country long live the people of lebanon so the hariri is resonating was made from the saudi capital riyadh at a televised address you also sharply criticize hezbollah and its key backer iran. Well it is and i would like to say to iran and its followers that they will be losers in their intervention in the arab affairs our nation will wake up as it did in the past and their hands in the region will be cut off really became Prime Minister in late two thousand and sixteen and a compromise deal under which michelle a political ally of hezbollah became president the agreement ended two and a half years of political deadlock it which the country was without a functioning government and while hariri surprise decision to quit raises more questions than answers it puts into focus the regional rivalries lebanon often finds itself at the center of that leading sunni politician is backed by saudi arabia while hezbollah lebanons most powerful political social and Armed Movement is sponsored by iran despite the complex nature of lebanese politics the thirty member unity cabinet appeared to be a functioning until now as a coup by all measures and if you like in the. Instability input into that country everybody was working for a program to rebuild the country economically politically we have an election theres a cohesion within the government theres agreement within the Political Party weve been working a beautifully and then a phone call will come and the whole calculus of. The politics and in the past five days how d. D. Has made two separate visits to saudi arabia where he lived in selfimposed exile following the collapse of his last government there he met with crown Prince Mohammed bin someone who is known for his aggressive stance against iran u. S. President Donald Trumps administration is also pursuing tough policies on iran and its allies including recent sanctions on hezbollah hereis resignation comes as the war in neighboring syria appears to be entering a new phase the government of president Bashar Al Assad which is backed by iran is increasing control over larger parts of the devastated country and its feared that tensions which have been simmering inside lebanon since the start of the war between hezbollah and israel and elsewhere could not only reemerge but has the potential of escalating into a major conflict. Aljazeera. Joins us live now and it came as a shock at first but it has been time for the dust to settle what more youve been hearing about. More and a lot of reaction has been coming in in the hours since this announcement was made that start with the president michelle own the shell and of course maronite christian leader as part of this very sectarian makeup that we have here of the lebanese government he saying that he was not going to make any formal statement until the Prime Minister or i suppose now former Prime Minister saad hariri returns back to lebanon although some question as to whether or not mr hariri will return to lebanon given his his professed reason for resigning is that he thought that there was an assassination plot against him and weve also heard from gibran brasil who is the foreign minister of him striking a somewhat more conciliatory tone for mr hariri saying that this was an unfortunate decision however making no bones about the fact that he was pointing the finger at saudi arabia and conflating this decision with the lebanons recent successes in pushing eisel out of this territory saying that whenever lebanon on the makes any sort of gains when it comes to pushing those groups out of its territory they are then pushed into political turmoil whatever the case weve also been hearing from leaders in the region most notably weve heard from the israeli Prime MinisterBenjamin Netanyahu saying that irans influence in the region is nearing its end and drawing a very Straight Line between this decision made by mr hariri and this alliance if you will or axis with you will within the region which is opposed to iran but who we havent heard from very very quickly is house in the through all of us in this role is the leader of hezbollah the general secretary he hasnt made any Public Statement get we understand that in around twenty four hours time or so he will be making a statement and i. Once we hear from him well have a very clear idea of just where this could lead right so waiting to hear from now in the meantime this does leave a vacuum in a country that is fragile at the best of times one of the next steps that need to be taken now in filling the. Position of the Prime Minister. Its a very complex. Question and a very complex answer i think the political elites here in lebanon or again trying to fill this vacuum and are trying to find somebody who can fill the role of Prime Minister again as weve been saying they need to appoint somebody who is a sunni muslim somebody who will have the support of all the various parties that make up lebanons government this thirty member cabinet this unity cabinet which goes along sectarian lines and if they cant find that candidate that many of these parties can can support then we will see some sort of the vacuum but really the concern here is that not only will we see political instability that we could see major and instability in this region that we could see up tick in this sort of violence which followed the assassination of mr hariri his father refute career who himself w