09 April 2021 ECRI's WLI Growth Rate Little Changed ECRI's WLI Growth Index which forecasts economic growth six months forward was little changed and remains well into expansion. Analyst Opinion of the trends of the weekly leading indices Please note that the coronavirus is a black swan event and the decline was immediate. In theory, this index is now indicating that in the second or third quarter of 2021 the economy should be in expansion year-over-year Here is this week's update on ECRI's Weekly Leading Index (a positive number indicates growth): Weekly Leading Index Rises ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) rose to 156.1, a record high. The growth rate increased to 25.0%.