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Starting with the overperformers (players whose YTD stats outpace their ROS projection), there are a couple of “nothing to see here” guys, for very different reasons. Adam Plutko is a semi-interesting bulk reliever, but his HR/FB rate is going to regress heavily and while he’ll continue to be useful for the Orioles, when his ERA matches his xFIP (5.18 as of now), he won’t put up enough P/IP to be valuable in Ottoneu. At the other end of the spectrum, Corbin Burnes is probably not going to continue pitching like Greg Maddux with better strikeouts, but he’s an ace and he’ll still be an ace after the regression monster bites him.
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Updated on May 9, 2021 at 4:16 pm
When he burst on the scene as a rookie in 2019, Chris Paddack made a name for himself with his fire on the mound and a 97-MPH fastball that hitters had all kinds of trouble catching up to (just ask Pete Alonso). In 2020 and most of 2021 Paddack was a different guy.
After two weeks on the Injured List with an unidentified medical issue Paddack was on the mound again against the Giants in San Francisco. During that time it appears The Sheriff found himself.
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