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Various EU inflation data above ECB target level

5/31/2021 10:18:36 AM GMT Notes/Observations - CPI reading from Spain and Germany saw the YoY above ECB target level. - Various German States saw their May inflation data registered its biggest increase since fall 2018 mainly due to the base effect from higher energy prices. - China PBoC takes action to curb recent CNY currency strength. - US and UK markets closed for holidays. Asia: - China May Manufacturing PMI (Govt Official) registered its 14th month of expansion (51.0 v 51.1e). - China PBOC sets the Yuan reference rate at 6.3682 for its strongest fixing since mid-May 2018). - Former China PBOC official Sheng Songcheng said fast yuan appreciation probably will not last, suggests the Yuan is overbought ; says the rise in CNY suggests short-term speculation.

USD/CAD Forecast May 3-7 - Canadian dollar surges to 3-year high

USD/CAD dropped to its lowest level since February 2018 last week, as the pair fell 1.57%. For the Canadian dollar, it was its strongest weekly gain this year. There are four Here is an outlook for the highlights and an updated technical analysis for USD/CAD.   In Canada, retail sales sparkled in March, as both the headline and core retail sales rose 4.8%, after declines a month earlier. Canada’s GDP posted a gain of 0.4% in February, down from 0.7% a month earlier. On the inflation front, the Raw Materials Price Index gained 2.3% in March, down from 6.6%. In the US, consumer confidence soared, as the Consumer Board Consumer Confidence Index climbed to 121.7, up from 113.1 beforehand. The US dollar dipped after the FOMC meeting, as the Fed said it was premature to discuss tapering.

USD/CAD Forecast May 3-10 - Canadian dollar surges to 3-year high

USD/CAD dropped to its lowest level since February 2018 last week, as the pair fell 1.57%. For the Canadian dollar, it was its strongest weekly gain this year. There are four Here is an outlook for the highlights and an updated technical analysis for USD/CAD.   In Canada, retail sales sparkled in March, as both the headline and core retail sales rose 4.8%, after declines a month earlier. Canada’s GDP posted a gain of 0.4% in February, down from 0.7% a month earlier. On the inflation front, the Raw Materials Price Index gained 2.3% in March, down from 6.6%. In the US, consumer confidence soared, as the Consumer Board Consumer Confidence Index climbed to 121.7, up from 113.1 beforehand. The US dollar dipped after the FOMC meeting, as the Fed said it was premature to discuss tapering.

Muted price action despite plethora of GDP and CPI data for Europe

Currencies/Fixed Income - Slightly higher US yields helped to stabilize the USD but the greenback remained on track to register its fourth straight weekly decline and its longest weekly streak of losses since last July. The USD softness being attributed to Fed Chief Powell s acknowledgment that it needed further evidence of substantial further progress toward recovery to warrant a change to its ultra-loose monetary settings. - EUR/USD brushed aside various Q1 GDP readings and ignored the prospect of a double-dip recession in the region. Dealers appeared to be looking at recent data reports that suggested an underlying strength and an accelerating recovery for the region. The overall take was that the region lockdown-resilient economy would soon exit recession as businesses and consumers should begin fueling a recovery in 2Q.

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