SPAC Momentum? 3 New Monday Deals
Three Monday morning SPAC deals (HCIC, STPC, LIVK) carry over Friday s quantity-based momentum, but will investors be excited and deliver any deal pops?
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Three SPAC deals kick this morning off carrying over momentum from Friday s 3 deals. Friday s deals were mixed with
LifeSci Acquisition II Corp (LSAQ) having the most positive reaction from investors and jumping 6.6% on their announced deal with
ACON 52 s (STWO) deal with ESS gave a small boost, but it still ended the day 10 cents off of NAV at $9.90.
So, while Friday gave the feel of momentum with more quantity, investors didn t get behind the deals fully and so maybe the quality wasn t there to inspire. With another three deals today the quantity will again provide a feel of momentum, but how investors react will be the real driver.
SPAC Deals and IPOE/SoFi Momentum
3 deals on Friday to close out the week, and IPOE surged into the weekend.
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10% to close on the news. It may be the positive endorsement (or short squeeze?) that could spark the market needed for SPAC M&A confidence. Especially since the market didn t exactly eat up the IPOF/Equinox rumor earlier this week. IPOE closed at $16.50.
IPOE, backed by Chamath Palihapitiya, is one of the more high profile SPAC mergers out there. The other media favorite, CCIV, climbed 2% today. Look out for a Lucid Motors appearance on SNL this weekend when Elon Musk is a guest host.
LOKB, STWO, LSAQ Announce SPAC Deals
An unusually busy SPAC Friday with three deals and GAMC announcing full over-allotment exercised by underwriters. Will it be enough to change the narrative?
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More on the deals here:
Could 3 Positively Received Deals Change the Narrative?
We ve been saying that it will take multiple positive events for the SPAC mood and overall narrative to change. Is it possible that a triple of deals on Friday will all be positively received and start to turn the narrative? GAMC announcing that their full over-allotment was exercised could also boost the narrative a bit.
That said, it will be a tough shift as yesterday the average pre-deal SPAC closed at $9.88, well off of NAV and almost 85% of SPACs with announced deals traded down.
SPACs Get Beat Up Again
SPACs are getting increasingly battered as IPOs are scarce, pre-deal SPACs fall consistently below NAV, and announced deals continue to weaken. EV SPACs got hammered as two deals closed.
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Another rough day for SPACs as
the average price for a pre-deal SPAC is now down to $9.88. SPACs with announced deals fared even worse with
almost 85% trading down today.
This morning did see one M&A announcement (see below), but that brings the week s total to just two announced and neither impressed.
It s clear the pace will remain slow until peak deal - i.e. when the 420+ SPACs that are searching for targets and feeling the pressure - forces the hand of the SPACs. Those SPACs are trading at an
Will Honest s IPO Take More Shine Off SPACs?
Muted SPAC M&A pops could spark a shift back to the traditional, longer IPO process for private companies. Hoffman and Pincus file for 4th SPAC.
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Are Traditional IPOs Back in Favor?
The SPAC boom was partly fueled by the myriad of advantages that private companies were given by choosing SPAC as their path to public markets, to name a few:
- a faster/far less arduous offering process
- ability to sell investors on
future projections
Following
The Honest Company (HNST) highly successful day-1 IPO, it s fair to ask if more companies will follow their patient lead in the traditional IPO process. They were famously an early unicorn and then, infamously, lost their unicorn status in a down financing round. Yet the company ultimately recovered, and now are close to profitability and have a $2B valuation after closing yesterday up +44%.