What s Next for SPACs
With prices, mood, interest, IPO valuation, and deal valuations all coming down, SPAC investors are asking what comes next.
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SPACs joined Tuesday s tech selloff with the average price of a pre-deal SPAC hitting $9.90 that s 10 cents below NAV. It s ironic that in a SPAC market that is much more rational (and tradable) than during peak SPAC earlier this year investors have lost much of their enthusiasm.
Volume across the board has gone down for SPACs with an
average daily volume dropping from 580,000 in February dropping to 104,000 in April. In some ways this is good as the higher volumes were partly a sign of some irrational SPAC exuberance, but at these levels investors will be very worried about efficiently pricing as they get in / out of SPACs.
Warren Buffett Piles on SPACs and CF Finance Lowers Deal Valuation
It was a bad day for SPACs as Warren Buffett piled on SPACs; CF Finance lowered their deal valuation with AEye; and today s MAAC deal had no pop.
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May 3, 2021
Stocks were mixed on Monday, the S&P500 was up / NASDAQ down, though this morning s SPAC M&A deal (MAAC) once again underperformed. MAAC closed up just 0.9% and below NAV at $9.95 marking yet another disappointing day-1 pop for newly announced SPAC M&A.
Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger held Berkshire Hathaway s much watched virtual annual meeting over the weekend, and one of the talks of the town today (aside from naming his CEO successor) was his view on killer SPACs:
Apr 28, 2021
Hope for positive deal flow and pops fizzled a bit today as both new SPAC deal announcements received disappointing reactions from the market.
Marquee Raine Acquisition Corp (MRAC) fell -0.3% to $9.89 and
Galileo Acquisition Corp (GLEO) fell -0.5% to $10.02. This continues yesterday s theme of underwhelming deal announcement enthusiasm.
It could still be the case of a back and forth broader stock market, fed speak, and investor attention focused on a deluge of corporate earnings. However, if I m a SPAC waiting to announce a deal based on market conditions then today s results don t instill confidence to move ahead.
Here s a look at how other recently announced SPAC deals ended the day:
Remember SPACs? Market Focuses on Earnings
An expected quiet day in SPAC land, at least there was one deal announcement, as the market was undoubtedly more focused on big tech earnings.
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Apr 27, 2021
Up and down day for stocks as the market was focused on mega-cap earnings reports due from the likes of MSFT, AMD, and GOOG. The tech heavy Nasdaq 100 dipped, while the S&P500 was relatively flat. Unsurprisingly, there was little mainstream attention towards SPACs today, although this morning did see a late deal announcement bringing the week s total to two. Expect deal flow to remain muted for the time being.
SPAC Deal Pressure Building
Expect slow SPAC deal flow through May, but then get ready as deal pressure builds massively with peak SPAC IPOs aging quickly and facing fierce competition.
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Apr 27, 2021
It was another quiet SPAC Monday yesterday and SPAC investors are still waiting for positive news to trigger some excitement. The
CCIV / Luicd surge (up +16% on Apple rumors) is a sideshow to the type of big tent event(s) that will be needed to re-ignite enthusiasm.
Investors will also not like seeing announced deals continue to have the air slowly leak out post deal announcements.
CM Life Sciences II (CMII - SomaLogic),