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Dive Brief: Global climate models are significantly overestimating the savings from energy efficiency measures, meaning future energy demand projections have been understated and the emissions reduction targets set out in the Paris climate accord could be harder to achieve, according to a new paper by an international team of researchers Economy-wide rebound effects such as consumers driving more miles when the price of gas drops, may erode more than half of the expected energy savings from improved energy efficiency, the analysis concludes in the May 2021 issue of Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews. The analysis, led by researchers from the University of Leeds and the University of Sussex in the United Kingdom, is critical of modeling done by the International Energy Agency (IEA) and other groups. IEA defended its work in a statement, saying rebound effects are an essential part of our analysis.

United statesEast sussexUnited kingdomFrance generalPaul brockwaySteve sorrellSteven nadelInstitut louis bachelierUniversity of sussexUniversity of massachusetts amherstAmerican councilSchool of earthCalvin universityUniversity of sussex business schoolSustainable energyFrench institute of petroleum