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Plaid Cymru has a mountain to climb, but Welsh independence is no pipe dream Simon Jenkins Next year is the centenary of the founding of the Irish Free State and the path to full independence. It is just conceivable that Scotland could celebrate by striking out alone too. But Wales? Surely not. The Welsh Senedd elections on 6 May seem likely to confirm Labour’s Mark Drakeford in office in Cardiff. But he may have to rely on Welsh nationalist backing from Plaid Cymru. That party’s polling is following a very similar trajectory to Scotland’s nationalists a decade before gaining power in Edinburgh in 2007. After long languishing in single figures, Plaid polls steadily around 20%, running close with the Welsh Tories. At one point in 2019, YouGov briefly gave Plaid the lead.

United statesUnited kingdomCity ofIrish free stateAdam priceMark drakefordGeorge osborneSimon jenkinsWelsh seneddTony blairBoris johnsonNovember johnsonInternational monetary fundEuropean unionInstitute for governmentWales welsh speaking