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The US jobs market is already generating inflation

© Alamy Global stockmarkets fell sharply early this week, with concern over US inflation. Technology shares were hit particularly hard: the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index has fallen by 5% since 1 May.  Investors’ US inflation expectations are at a 15-year high, says Naomi Rovnick in the Financial Times. The five-year break-even rate (the difference between the yield on inflation-linked five-year Treasuries and nominal five-year bonds) shows that investors expect average inflation of 2.73% over the next five years, the highest this figure has been since 2006. Spiking inflation could force the US Federal Reserve to tighten monetary policy sooner than expected. That would mean less liquidity sloshing around the market, which is negative for stock prices. 

Semiconductors will go from famine to feast

Semiconductors will go from famine to feast A global shortage of semiconductors has collided with an unprecedented surge in demand. But the chip industry has always been highly cyclical. 23 Apr 2021 A global shortage of semiconductors is affecting everything from smartphone sales to car manufacturing. Disruption caused by Covid-19 has collided with an unprecedented surge in demand for electronics, says Wallace Witkowski for MarketWatch. Research firm IDC reports that PC sale volumes are expected to advance by 18% this year. Global shipments could hit 357.4 million computers, beating the record set in 2011.  Car makers have been particularly badly hit by the shortages; many cancelled chip orders when the pandemic hit, only to be surprised by the strength of demand for new vehicles. The shortage means it’s a good time to be a chip maker. The PHLX Semiconductor Index has gained 92% in a year. Building a new manufacturing plant can take two years and costs several billion dollars

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