Wherever there is human judgment, there is noise.
‘
Noise may be the most important book I ve read in more than a decade. A genuinely new idea so exceedingly important you will immediately put it into practice. A masterpiece’
Angela Duckworth, author of
Grit
Steven Levitt, co-author of
Freakonomics
Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients – or that two judges in the same court give different sentences to people who have committed matching crimes. Now imagine that the same doctor and the same judge make different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday, or they haven’t yet had lunch. These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical.
Emmanuel Taban and Andrew Crofts
In 1994, 16-year-old Emmanuel Taban walked out of war-torn Sudan with nothing and nowhere to go after he had been tortured at the hands of government forces, who falsely accused him of spying for the rebels. When he finally managed to escape, he literally took a wrong turn and, instead of being reunited with his family, ended up in neighbouring Eritrea as a refugee.
Over the months that followed, young Emmanuel went on a harrowing journey, often spending weeks on the streets and facing many dangers. Relying on the generosity of strangers, he made the long journey south to South Africa, via Ethiopia, Kenya, Tanzania, Mozambique, and Zimbabwe, travelling mostly by bus and on foot.
Date: Saturday, 24 April 2021
Time: 10:00 SAST
Venue: Exclusive Books Constantia, Cape Town
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Date: Saturday, 24 April 2021
Time: 12:00 SAST
Venue: Exclusive Books Cavendish, Cape Town
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