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New Delhi: Indiaâs effective reproduction number (R) â an indicator of how fast the infection is spreading â has increased further to 1.08 from 1.06 last week.
R needs to remain below 1 for the pandemic to come to an end. Around 24 September last year, the countryâs R value fell below 1 for the first time, dropping to 0.93. However, around 27 November, the R briefly rose to 1.06. Since then, the R value had been around 0.92 but crossed 1 two weeks ago.
Sitabhra Sinha, a researcher at the Institute for Mathematical Sciences in Chennai who has been tracking India’s R value, noted that 11 of the top 16 states with the highest number of active cases have R over 1.
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