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July 28, 2021
Texas state Rep. Jake Ellzey (R) is the projected winner of the special election runoff in Texas 6th Congressional District.
With nearly all precincts reporting their results on Tuesday night, Ellzey has 53 percent of the vote, defeating fellow Republican Susan Wright. Wright s late husband, Rep. Ron Wright, represented the 6th Congressional District until his death from COVID-19 in February.
Susan Wright had the endorsement of former President Donald Trump, who also recorded a robocall for her. Trump carried the district in 2016 by 12 points, but in 2020 won by just three points.
Ellzey wasn t backed by Trump, but did have the support of former Texas Gov. Rick Perry (R) and Rep. Dan Crenshaw (R-Texas). In his victory speech, Ellzey said it is essential that we get this right. It s essential that we do it as Americans united, instead of Americans divided; Republicans united instead of Republicans divided, so once we take back the House and Senate in 22 and take
House GOP Policy Committee chair reacts to Jim Jordan being blocked from Capitol riot panel on Your World
Republican candidate Jake Ellzey won a hotly contested special election runoff in Texas s sixth congressional district, defeating fellow Republican Susan Wright.
Poll-watchers called the race late Tuesday night, solidifying an upset victory for Ellzey.
Wright is the widow of late Republican congressman Ron Wright who died earlier this year from the coronavirus. Former President Donald Trump endorsed Wright in April but despite not having the endorsement of the former president, Ellzey raised more than $1.2 million, which was nearly twice as much money as Wright.
Many Americans lost faith in political polls after the 2016 election. As we watched
The New York Times‘ tracker show Hillary Clinton’s chances of winning fall from 85% on November 8, 2020, to zero at the end of tabulation early in the morning of November 10, we wondered how the
Times and so many others had gotten it so wrong. Before election night, the Trump campaign asserted that “shy” Trump voters could disrupt the election. While Morning Consult and
Politico determined that these shy Trump voters did exist, the outlets were sure this phenomenon would not be enough to swing the election.
When Trump won, pollsters blamed their significant miss on factors like the education divide and offered suggestions to fix it. They fiddled with their data collection and analysis methods for the polls. Yet, up and down the ballot, they missed again in 2020. They predicted Democrats would gain seats in the House and easily win a Senate majority. The statistical bias toward Democ
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