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Why Congress May Not Come To Power In KeralaâEver Again
by Venu Gopal Narayanan - Mar 14, 2021 10:49 AM
Oommen Chandy campaigning (Twitter)
Snapshot
Without the Nair vote they lost some years ago, a substantial portion of the Christian vote, and the OBC vote, the Congress in Kerala is reduced to what is meant to be â a subset of the Muslim League.
Five years ago,
Swarajya posed a simple question in the wake of the 2016 assembly elections in Kerala: could Oommen Chandy be the last Congress Chief Minister of the state?
That doubt was impelled by the sustained, dwindling un-winnability of Hindu candidates within the Congress fold, and the comprehensive manner in which the Nair vote shifted from the Congress to the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP).
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It can be seen that the NDA is likely to control 45.8 per cent of the vote share, an increase of 14.0 per cent, against 30.5 per cent, it got in 2016. The UPA’s vote share is likely to decrease by 1.9 per cent, from 39.5 per cent in 2016 to 37.6 per cent in 2021.