NEW DELHI: Scientists working on a mathematical model to chart the trajectory of Covid-19 cases have noted that the peak of new infections could be reached within the next 24 hours at around 4 lakh cases (seven-day average) and peak of active caseload could touch around 40 lakh between May 14-18.
“Our model shows that the peak of new cases, taken as 7-day average, will be reached by Tuesday and the peak of active infections would be around 40 lakh at lower end of our earlier prediction range,” Manindra Agrawal of IIT-Kanpur told TOI on Monday while sticking to last week s observation
The model, called SUTRA, had on April 25 predicted peak value of new infections between 3.4 to 4.4 lakh during May 4-8 and peak value of active infections between 38-48 lakh during May 14-18. “We have been consistent since then,” said Agrawal, flagging possibility of lower end of the observed range.
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The government signalled that it is looking to use drones in its battle against the raging Covid-19 pandemic by granting two exemptions to conduct experimental drone deliveries of vaccines. However, actual deliveries to citizens are some time away.
“This is an experiment in a defined airspace and not actual delivery (of vaccines) to citizens. Actual vaccine delivery is at least a year away,” said a senior government official. “It may not be prudent to rush this through considering the risks to public safety, national security and privacy.”
The official added that Covid-19 vaccine deliveries would become possible only after conducting long-range drone experiments, analysing the test results, introducing draft guidelines, inviting public feedback and introducing legislation.
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Active COVID-19 cases in India may peak at 48 lakh between May 14 and 18: IIT Scientists
The scientists from the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) in Kanpur and Hyderabad predicts that active cases would go up further by over 10 lakh by mid-May
| 26 April 2021 2:39 PM GMT
New Delhi: A mathematical model by IIT scientists have stated that active cases in the ongoing second COVID-19 wave in India may peak at 38-48 lakh between May 14-18 and daily new infections could hit a high of 4.4 lakh from May 4-8.
As India today saw a single-day rise of 3,52,991 (3.52 lakh) COVID-19 infections and 2,812 fatalities with 28,13,658 (28.13 lakh) active cases, the scientists from the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) in Kanpur and Hyderabad applied the Susceptible, Undetected, Tested (positive), and Removed Approach (SUTRA) model to predict that active cases would go up further by over 10 lakh by mid-May. The latest projection tweaks the time frame as well as the numbers.
India likely to peak at 33-35 lakh active COVID-19 cases between May 11-15 before sliding: IIT scientists
On Friday, India saw a single-day rise of 3,32,730 (3.32 lakh) COVID-19 infections and 2,263 fatalities with 24,28,616 (24.28 lakh) active cases
PTI | April 24, 2021 | Updated 15:50 IST
The ongoing second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in India may peak between May 11-15 with 33-35 lakh total active cases and decline steeply by the end of May, according to a mathematical module devised by IIT scientists. On Friday, India saw a single-day rise of 3,32,730 (3.32 lakh) COVID-19 infections and 2,263 fatalities with 24,28,616 (24.28 lakh) active cases.
In predicting that the active cases would go up by about 10 lakh by mid-May before sliding, scientists from the Indian Institute of Technology in Kanpur and Hyderabad applied the Susceptible, Undetected, Tested (positive), and Removed Approach (SUTRA) model. The scientists also said Delhi, Haryana, Rajasthan and Telangana may see