tell you the race is over. a big debate wednesday night. as i said, hillary clinton can afford to lose north carolina, ohio, afford to lose nevada. don t want to, don t think they will but can afford to lose all three. just that they re tight enough does that tell you for all of this talk that it s over that trump has a chance, if, capital f, bold face yurnunderline turna compelling debate? yes, but he can do now. right now a solid group of supporters that stuck with him and will continue to stick with had him basically no matter what happens, but needs more consistent outreach particularly to women, to independents, to moderate republicans. he needs to move them over into his camp. i think what s helping keep this close is that hillary clinton remains unpopular. even as she has pulled ahead in some of these polls. look at her favorability ratings, haven t seen huge changes there. she s not out on the campaign trail a lot, not doing a lot pro