Democrat is campaigning to campaign for black votes. nobody democrat is going to win a statwide election without big turnout of the african american community. charles: tom, listen, democrats take the black vote for granted until they really start to lose everything else. are they hustling up? they brought in a bunch of people including formerpresident obama. will that be enough in your opinion? i don t know. a big story in politco this morning how they re scrambling to turn out black voters. you mentioned barack obama. stacey abrams, kamala harris. they brought in everyone that they can. it is going to be critical. youngkin mcauliffe may still be able to pull it off. if it does, it s because he generated enough turnout among americans to offset independent voters and those in the northern suburbs. it s critical to mcauliffe. they have known it a long time
Polls that have been taken in the virginia governor s race the last few days. so clearly the trend line is moving in his favor and that s why democrats are really scrambling, particularly to get out the black vote, which might save mcauliffe. the problem for mcauliffe obviously is that where he s lost ground, where youngkin has seen the most momentum is in the northern suburbs. a critical part of any democrat s coalition. youngkin has really made up ground there. charles: is it the educational controversy, the notion that parents don t have a right to tell schools what to teach? yeah, it s a combination. terry mcauliffe put his foot in his mouth and instead of backtracking and trying to correct that mistake, he doubled down and tripled down and it s a big drag on his campaign. youngkin has exploited that effectively. you mentioned president biden, his domestic agenda, his poll numbers are sagging.
That are frustrated by government intrusion in schools. people are coming across the aisle, we re winning the independent vote by 20 points. why? because we re talking about the values that virginians hold dear. youngkin has seen recent surges. he says that polls don t win election. mcauliffe campaign s in roanoke and richmond today where the former governor said that early voting is on his side. we can t go back. we don t want a trump want to be, someone endorsed by donald trump ten times. tonight closing his campaign is donald trump. we don t need the hatred, the division. the other big off year race to watch is the governor s race in new jersey. you have republican jack ciattarelli vying to up seat phil murphy, a democrat. that race is not as close but
Republican glenn youngkin coming full circle. tonight he has a rally where he will emphasize the role that parents have in schools. he will be on his bay to loudoun county. over the weekend, his bus tour put in plenty of miles. yesterday he was in far south virginia. it was a big gesture for those that have lived there. the first time that i ve met a governor candidate in person. sometimes the people in virginia don t realize that we re down here. it s so good to see a candidate that comes down and talks to the everyday people. it s a grass roots feel that youngkin is trying to convey. he s not included the big names that his opponent terry mcauliffe has. he s focused on gaining support
It s more competitive. we ll see what this rally looks like tonight. charles: meantime, president biden s approval ratings continue to fall. one of the reasons that republicans believe they can unseat the democrats in those races. new jersey republican candidate jack ciattarelli was on cavuto live over the weekend. listen to this. republicans have done it six of the last ten times in new jersey. we re going to do it again. charles: with biden s slipping numbers, democrats join me to weigh-in. tom bevins. i m not a big poll guy but i think they re great with respect to momentum. it s pretty clear both candidates, the virginia republican candidate, they have all the momentum going into tomorrow. charles, that s right. youngkin leads in the last three