Wide, but the main event is fixed income. Treasury yields at new highs. Lisa the highest levels going back to 2009. Around the globe you are seeing this push upward in yields. Is it because of inflation, because there are not going to be as many buyers for this debt . For is this the wholesale figure out as people capture this yield for a longerterm . Jonathan what a pain. The fx market right now, this might hurt. Lets have a look at the offshore human, taking a move lower. China told state banks to escalate human intervention this week. What is that about . Lisa beside father the lowest level in 15 years. That is as you look at Economic Data coming out that was weaker than expected. The intervention has been settled or growing has been subtle but growing. We heard that the peg was unusually below where it was supposed to be trading in the free market. At what point can china control the narrative through market manipulation . Jonathan lets see if that exit difference. We have been rep
Coming up, a hud payrolls number is met with cool wages and report spurs investors to lock in the rate cut. With all of the focus on the fed , credit issue it sets another record. We begin with the big issue. Fed watchers soak in the data. This is an ambiguous report. A positive story. Jobs numbers have exceeded expectations consistently. This economy is not as fragile as people think. Labor Market Holding up. The market will interpret this as good news. The soft landing is priced in. You have to take the fed at its word that three cuts is probably the likely place. It is still a solid economy but it is moderating. It is a matter of when, not if. We are thinking the fed can orchestrate the soft landing but they have to cut. Sonali lets start with a look at the jobs numbers because you could call this the best of both worlds. The nonfarm payrolls report posting a 275 gain where you saw 200,000 expected. What does that mean in terms of the rest of the data . You saw weaker data in the un
, Lisa Abramowicz and annmarie hordern. Live from new york city, good morning. For audience worldwide this is bloomberg surveillance alongside Lisa Abramowicz. Your equity market on the s p 500 down yesterday just a touch down this morning by one third of 1 . Cpi upside surprise, pce coming up a little bit later. A lot of people are saying thats the big data point but how do you trade the market that seems to be driven by its own sentiment. That seems to be with the lack of conviction i read all the notes overnight i have to say the headline of the day frankly is momo fomo or own no. You can translate that later in the program. Ultimately over the last few weeks the last few months this market is repriced aggressively. And the fed hasnt had to adjust at all. President williams sounds like a president williams we heard about a month ago. Three times seems about right for fed rate cuts this year. They havent changed their message. Market kicking and screaming. But heres the real question
By 0. 2 percent on the s p 500 following the biggest we of gains on the s p. Happy talk begins in september with goldman cutting the recession chances to 15 after week of decent data to keep this fed on the sidelines. Jonathan Good Research over the weekend and goldman leads the way with that lesser call on recession. It buttresses against a china basically in policy chaos. To the global town, im unsure of where we go other than Jerome Powell has a spirited leadership on Economic Growth. Jonathan later, as good as it gets. Tom hes still bullish. It is as good as it gets in the nuance here is that we peel away and maybe we get lesser and then he goes to a soft landing but i dont know what that means. Soft landing bramo comes back from her sabbatical. Jonathan she returns less bearish from vacation. Lisa first of all, nobody is very happy the summer is over. There is this feeling of what are we heading toward. Jonathan its in the 90s in new york city this week. Lisa are you going to wear