to respond muted, they say it is far too early to respond to that. this area has traditionally flitted between conservatives and the lib dems. the last lib conservatives and the lib dems. the last lib dem conservatives and the lib dems. the last lib dem mp was david heath, he lost his last lib dem mp was david heath, he lost his seat in the 2015 general election lost his seat in the 2015 general election when many lib dems lost their seats election when many lib dems lost their seats after years of the coalition their seats after years of the coalition government. across the south west, the lib dems were wiped out but south west, the lib dems were wiped out but in south west, the lib dems were wiped out but in recent years there have been out but in recent years there have been signs out but in recent years there have been signs of recovery. there was that win been signs of recovery. there was that win last year, the lib dems took that win last year, the lib dems
yorkshire, which is the greatest challenge? challenge? i think all three are ureat challenge? i think all three are great challenges challenge? i think all three are great challenges and challenge? i think all three are great challenges and we - challenge? i think all three are great challenges and we have i challenge? i think all three are - great challenges and we have never held any great challenges and we have never held any of great challenges and we have never held any of them and i think that says something that we are even discussing says something that we are even discussing the fact we are in contention. we have worked really hard, contention. we have worked really hard, activists have come from all of the hard, activists have come from all of the country to join the campaign, we have of the country to join the campaign, we have brilliant candidates and i would we have brilliant candidates and i would like we have brilliant candidates and i would like to sa
party around. we are getting a hearing from the british people. when hearing from the british people. when i hearing from the british people. when i have been knocking on the doors. when i have been knocking on the doors. they when i have been knocking on the doors, they are fed up with stephen s party, they know they have been let stephen s party, they know they have been let down and they know the impact been let down and they know the impact of been let down and they know the impact of last year s terrible tory budget. impact of last year s terrible tory budget, and rishi sunak hannah distance budget, and rishi sunak hannah distance himself from that when mortgages and rent is going up. rishi mortgages and rent is going up. rishi sunak mortgages and rent is going up. rishi sunak cannot distance himself. food inflation is in the teens, the people food inflation is in the teens, the people on food inflation is in the teens, the people on modest means it
should be winning if they were going to win a majority at the next general election. in contrast, the other contest where labour are the principal challenges to the conservatives, selby in north yorkshire, it s very different. it is more than the national swing in the polls, although not that much more, 18%. it is certainly true labour have never overturned a majority of the size the conservatives currently have in selby, although it is the case in the 92-97 selby, although it is the case in the 92 97 parliament, labour did secure swings of more than 18% on a couple of occasions, including dudley west in 1994, a 29% swing from the conservatives. so the swing required for labour to win in selby is substantial but not unprecedented. somerton and frome, a different beast. labour have not been second in this area since 1970,
much the majority of the swing, how much the majority of the swing, how much the majority of the swing, how much the vote share increases. t much the vote share increases. i think that the tories end up losing all three think that the tories end up losing all three seats, you cannot get away from it. all three seats, you cannot get away from it. it all three seats, you cannot get away from it. it is all three seats, you cannot get away from it, it is a tory bloodbath. rishi from it, it is a tory bloodbath. rishi sunak took over nine months ago. rishi sunak took over nine months ago. had rishi sunak took over nine months ago. had to rishi sunak took over nine months ago, had to turn things around, things ago, had to turn things around, things are ago, had to turn things around, things are getting worse and worse and clearly the message you will hear from and clearly the message you will hear from the labour side is over and over hear from the labour side is over and