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runner always had 30% support of their party. no one is above 20%. but clearly the biggest trees are not in a commanding position that we ve seen them before. you think about the fact that tom dewey was the front runner in 48 and 44 and eventually won the nomination. i think you have to go back to william wilke and robert taft to have a race this wide open this close to the first vote. and what it also means is maybe somebody can get in late. usually the last person in, it doesn t work. wesley clark tried it in 04, fred thompson tried it in 08. but you have chris christie and mitch daniels wouldn t even push back to the idea could you wait to the summer. no, absolutely. and he seemed to embrace. it there are a couple of reasons for that. first, no one is that high in the polls, but secondly if you don t believe if you re dubious that mike huckabee and sarah palin will ultimately run, and a lot of people are, they are the strongest contenders for

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Republicans
No-one
Runner
Trees
Support
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Tom-dewey
30
One
20
Race