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Print If there’s one thing about COVID-19’s death toll that researchers seem to agree on, it’s that the official count is probably way too low. But the extent of the undercount is a source of contention. That may help explain why, when the influential Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation in Seattle released a new model this month suggesting that the true number of COVID-19 deaths around the world was more than double the figure from the World Health Organization, response from other experts was mixed. Some researchers who were interviewed for this story said the model seemed solid, but just as many criticized it, suggesting the team glossed over the uncertainties inherent in estimates like these and didn’t share sufficient detail about how their statistical sausage was made.

World health organizationAl qahirahUnited statesLondon schoolBaja californiaMission hillsProvidence holy cross medical centerUniversity of texasRussian federationTiffany robbinsTimothy brewerApril mcfarlandFrancine orr los angelesRuth etzioniMark ghalyNicholas jewell