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Jerome Powell and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad CPI

It Feels Like the Sky Is Falling, but One Data Point Is Not Predictive of Future Conditions

Jerome powellJudith viorstAdam grossmanDan zoletFund rateMarket committeeFederal reserveHead of investment committeeRiverfront investment teamInvestment committeeAssociate portfolioFeels likeSky is fallingOne data point is not predictiveVery badInvestment team

The Fed, The Fears, And The Facts

After a powerful summer rally in July and early August that brought the S&P 500 briefly into cyclical ‘bull market’ territory, stocks have hit hard times again.

Jay powell jacksonChris konstantinosEuropean central bankUs bureau of economic analysisChief investmentStock marketDecision boxFederal reserveChairman jay powellJackson holeEuropean centralWeekly viewpushing uphillThree tactical rules currently flashing cautionFed fundsFed hiking untilPivotal position

July 2022 Chart Pack Summary: Inflation, Recession, and a Way Forward

Inflation concerns are driving markets and we are watching five data points for signs of improvement.

United statesRefinitiv datastreamDoug sandlerRiverfront investment groupBureau of labor statisticsBooth school of businessUniversity of chicagoResponse took center stageWeekly viewChart packMarkets now fear inflationFederal reserveGlobal supply chain pressure indexConsumer price indexClouds clearingWhat we need

Is the US Headed into a Recession? Glad You Asked! (Part 2)

As inflation rages and interest rates move higher, equity markets have felt more pain than the economy.

Chris konstantinosNational bureau of researchFederal reserveChief investmentRecession dashboardSeven indicatorsWatch goingNational bureauWeekly viewRecession dashboardNot flashing warningFederal fundsFed fundsSahm ruleConfidence clearlyConference board

Move Over TINA …Here Comes PATTY

T.I.N.A.’ – ‘There Is No Alternative’ to stocks- was the acronym that defined the ‘Quantitative Easing’ era, circa 2009 to 2021.

United kingdomFederal reserveNed davis researchHigh inflation worldPay attention to theThere is no alternativeQuantitative easingPay attention to the yieldWeekly viewAll the right placeQuality dividend payers and growersShort duration creditCovered callLong term partnerCan suffer volatile mood swingsUse in conjunction with

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