Rains will now shift to the central parts including Kochi, Thrissur and adjoining areas. Rainfall will be heavier over these areas but showers will still be seen in other parts of the state as well.
A cyclonic circulation, starting from South Central Bay of Bengal may reach over the coastal parts of Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh, between 28th and 31st July. The system may not penetrate deep over land but the peripheral confluence over the state of Kerala may provide satisfactory showers to break the jinx of dry spell.
Interior Karnataka, Rayalaseema, Telangana and Tamil Nadu will witness isolated rainfall until June 29. Thereafter, rain activities are expected to revive over South Peninsula. By the end of June, rain deficiency of South India may increase further, however, we expect decent rainfall during first week of July over South Peninsula.
Kerala rains have made a weakest start amidst buzz of good monsoon. These are early days and turn around later can not be ruled out. However, the prevailing meteorological conditions do not promise anything big, over the next 10 days. No significant monsoon system is likely on either side of the coast to boost the monsoon surge.
There is no major monsoon surge likely for the state. Weak phase of the monsoon is expected to continue, at least for one more weak or even longer. Typical monsoon rains pick up over the state with either the formation of 'monsoon low /depression' over Bay of Bengal or an off shore vortex over Lakshadweep area.