How Stable Is the Democratic Coalition?
The party may control the elected branches in Washington. But it may be facing some slippage in support from minority communities.
By Eric Kaufmann
Feb. 13, 2021
Voters waited in Phoenix to cast their ballots in the 2020 election.Credit.Edgard Garrido/Reuters
Democrats are riding high in Washington, with control of the White House and Congress. They got there with a broad coalition that included suburban white and minority voters I estimate, based on exit poll data, that nearly half of the Democrats’ roughly 81 million votes came from the latter group. For Republicans, it was just 18 percent.