the other two drop out, unless romney makes a horrible mistake, i think it will be hard to stop him from winning both south carolina and florida. he s being helped by the fact that the attacks by newt gingrich on rick perry are forcing some republicans into his arms. rush limbaugh was very defensive about mitt romney. i think we ll see a lot of members of congress come out for him. i think he ll announce a big fund-raising total for the fourth quarter. how about the numbers, john? 39% for mitt romney here. we talked about getting to 40%. 39 is a strong number. it s a really strong number. think back to 2008. you had john mccain had about 37% of the vote. john mccain, a favorite in new hampshire, mitt romney exceeded his vote total and percentage of the vote. barack obama had 35% or 36% in 2008. in some ways mitt romney did
what number does he need to be called the winner? his campaign would say all he has to do is get more than eight votes. realistically, he needs to win by a pretty solid 13. ç30? pretty feeble. his vote total? i think if he gets 36 or higher, he is probably pretty safe f he gets 38 that is the number mccain got, certainly over 40, doesn t matter. midhigh 30s safe ground for him? less than that, he blew it or lost? he got 32 last time, the closer he gets to that number, the more embarrassing it s. he because he didn t whip last time? yes. jennifer donahue, what number does he need to get? you say 37, 38 safe ground for him? 35, i think, the real vase for second. slow down. slow down, basically, you both agree, if he comes out 35 or above, he can t really get embarrassed, local papers support him, new york times, just a bit democratic in its
yes, 4 votes of 122,000. one precinct is out in clinton county. we just heard from some of the vote counters, they believe there are 75 votes in that precinct. if mitt romney wins that precinct, that vote by the same margin he is carrying the county, five percentage points over rick santorum, we will have a dead even tie. that will mean he will pick up 4 votes, statewide on rick santorum and it will be a dead-even tie. again, quickly, to repeat about story, there is the issue? story county, the republican sources at the republican national committee say there is some discussion that two precincts in story county that the vote totals were inaccurately entered and that when they are corrected, it will increase mitt romney s vote total. but this is just all speculation inside the republican national committee. have you 30 seconds, joe trippi, to say anything you
yes, 4 votes of 122,000. one precinct is out in clinton county. we just heard from some of the vote counters, they believe there are 75 votes in that precinct. if mitt romney wins that precinct, that vote by the same margin he is carrying the county, five percentage points over rick santorum, we will have a dead even tie. that will mean he will pick up 4 votes, statewide on rick santorum and it will be a dead-even tie. again, quickly, to repeat about story, there is the issue? story county, the republican sources at the republican national committee say there is some discussion that two precincts in story county that the vote totals were inaccurately entered and that when they are corrected, it will increase mitt romney s vote total. but this is just all speculation inside the republican national committee. have you 30 seconds, joe trippi, to say anything you
blogger andrew sullivan noted her vote total was roughly equal to the number of people that visited his blog that hour. but the real realignment in the republican race came with rick perry s presidential announcement on saturday. quick primer on perry, he served lieutenant governor to george w. bush starting in 1998 and assumed the governorship after bush became president. he was elected to full terms in 2002, 2006, and again this past november. he s run ten races and never lost a single one. the late, great, molly ivins, who claimed for george w. bush if american was only governed like texas, america would be a lot more like texas, which for perry could be a good thing. here s perry making the case in south carolina on saturday. we have led texas, based on some just really pretty simple guiding principles.