Daily crime counts before and after COVID-19 restrictions were implemented in major metropolitan areas such as Barcelona and London show that while stringency of lockdowns varied considerably from city to city, most types of crime fell significantly.
Overall, stricter lockdowns led to greater declines in crime, but even cities with voluntary recommendations instead of restrictions, such as Malmo and Stockholm in Sweden, saw drops in daily rates of theft, according to the study led by researchers at the universities of Cambridge and Utrecht.
Across 27 cities worldwide, daily assaults fell by an average of 35%, robberies involving violence or intimidation almost halved, falling an average of 46%, and other types of theft, from pick pocketing to shoplifting, fell an average of 47%.
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A team of researchers led by the University of Cambridge and University of Utrecht examined trends in daily crime counts before and after COVID-19 restrictions were implemented in major metropolitan areas such as Barcelona, Chicago, Sao Paulo, Tel Aviv, Brisbane and London.
While both stringency of lockdowns and the resulting crime reductions varied considerably from city to city, the researchers found that most types of crime - with the key exception of homicide - fell significantly in the study sites.
Across all 27 cities, daily assaults fell by an average of 35%, and robberies (theft using violence or intimidation, such as muggings) almost halved: falling an average of 46%. Other types of theft, from pick-pocketing to shop-lifting, fell an average of 47%.
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While research has shown that significant numbers of people fantasise about inflicting harm, little is known about the processes behind such “violent ideations”.
A team led by a University of Cambridge professor tracked the self-reported thoughts and experiences of 1,465 young people from schools across the Swiss city of Zurich at the ages of 15, 17 and 20.
Researchers gathered data on whether violent thoughts had occurred in the last 30 days, and the types of bullying or aggression experienced over the last 12 months.
They used questionnaires to probe the levels of aggression (humiliation, beatings, murder) and imagined targets (strangers, friends) within young people’s darkest fantasies.