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It seems that a poll conducted by Foreign Affairs magazine among some economists and experts with international qualifications tends towards a possible

United statesCarnegie endowment for international peaceDistrict of columbiaSan franciscoStates michael pettisJanet yellenProfessor of political science at columbia universityUs military academy at west pointGuanghua school of management at peking universityPolitical scienceColumbia universityWest pointUnited states michael pettisGuanghua schoolPeking universityCarnegie endowment