concessions, because the russians have been really clear that the one thing that they would like to see possibly is ukraine adhere to the minsk agreements which would mean an immediate cease-fire, which would mean that possibly the donbas region, which is a region which has been kind of ruled by separatist, ukrainian separatists, that that area gets some kind of special status. now, having said that, this is a threat, there are 100,000, or at least more than 100,000 troops around ukraine, and they are in a position where they could move in at any day. the russians, as you have indicated, have taken the position that their country, they can move troops around as they wish, and that these are exercises and things like that, there is evidence in the last few days, that it s more than what you just do for exercises. they re setting up hospital, field hospitals, and blood
draw the line. you can t just invade another country and you can t get concessions for threatening to do so. well, certainly, russia is going to they have not moved into ukraine yet. and they re still in their own country. yes, there is a buildup of troops that the kremlin has argued that look, we re in our own country were allowed to leave our troops wherever we wish. there is a way out of this in terms of negotiations. and it has been really clear the one thing that they would like to see possibly is ukraine a dear to the minsk agreement. which would mean cease-fire, which would mean the possibly gone basque region, a region that s been ruled by separatists. ukrainian separatists. that area gets kind of special status. now, having said that this is a threat. there are 100,000 troops around
the one thing that they would like to see possibly is ukraine a dear to the minsk agreement. which would mean cease-fire, which would mean the possibly gone basque region, a region that s been ruled by separatists. ukrainian separatists. that area gets kind of special status. now, having said that this is a threat. there are 100,000 troops around ukraine. and, they are in a position where they couldn t move at any day. the russians, as you ve indicated have taken the position that they can move troops as they wish. and that these are exercises and things like. that there s evidence in the last few days that it is more than what you just do for exercises. they re setting up hospitals, field hospitals, blood supply the kind of thing that is not logical for exercises.
advisory level is now at a level four. how plausible at this point is a wider war between russia and ukraine? well, what s really troubling about all this is that it does not look like what happened in 2014 when russia occupied c crimea. different circumstance. what russia has now is forces in ukraine in support of ukrainian separatists, they also have crimea which we understand, but they also have forces on the border. there are two corpses. what happened is russia infiltrated forces into crimea and on command the forces put on their uniforms and took over all the element, that infrastructure of government occupied. it was an elegant operation when you look at it. what we see now is the application of very precise, very large kinetic force. the likelihood is frankly it is really a tossup.