ten points on election day to win the state if, indeed, it s even close to what the turnout patterns have been. that is almost impossible. that is why you hear him in reno right now. a little earlier complaining about voter fraud and complaining that they kept those polls open so late. they know the score in nevada, chris, and it s not good for them. i m trying to find the quote. i think you were watching this live. it was was it the county chairman or the state chairman for the nevada state. the state chairman of nevada that said they kept the polls open last night so those people could vote. do you feel free? am i getting that right? i think he said a certain group. a certain group. yeah. of course, you know, those people. it s the same euphemism, right? i want to make sure i m quoting precisely. i think he said do you feel free at the end of that riff if i m not mistaken? that s exactly right. by the way, a close friend of
secret service fields okay about what happened. i m sure we re going to get the story. one more question, i guess, is if they re following the mathematical procedure, basically the math that won them 2012, and, again, they beat their polling average by about four points. what would have to happen on election day for things to go sideways for the democrats? that s the right question, chris. if you look at the models, if you look at the fact that it probably at least two-thirds of the vote is in 70% voted before election day. you would need the republicans, number one, to totally juice the turnout more than it s ever been done before, and also, probably trump has to win. well, listen to this. based on the numbers by at least ten points on election day to win the state if, indeed, it s even close to what the turnout patterns have been. that is almost impossible. that is why you hear him in reno right now.
quite disturbing. has now passed and obviously, secret service feels okay about what happened. we re, i m sure, going to get the soretory. jon, one more question, if they re following the mathematical procedure, the math that won in 2012, and they beat their polling average by about four points, what would have to happen on election day for things to go sideways for the democrats? yeah, that s the right question, chris. good you look at the models and you look at the fact that it probably at least two thirds of the vote is in, 70% voted before election day. you would need the republicans number one to totally juice the turnout more than it s ever been done before, and also, probably trump has to win. listen to this, based on the numbers, by at least ten points on election day to win the state if indeed it s even close to what the turnout patterns have been. that is almost impossible, which is why you hear him in reno
after the presidential election. this is an off year election here in virginia. we ve been talking for the last year about how the turnout patterns favor republicans in off year elections. what do you think it says? if terry mcauliffe, if the polls are right and terry mcauliffe wins this thing, what do you think that says about national politics? what message can we take nationally from a democrat winning in virginia under these circumstances? i think it says a lot. virginia, first of all, is a very competitive state. we don t like extremism. from the right or the left. and we like our politics pretty much in the center. the republicans nominated one of the most extreme tickets in the history of the commonwealth of virginia. and by way of contrast, the democrats have nominated three generally pragmatic people. and i think added to that, there was so many issues, ken cuccinelli and mark obenshain are identified with in terms of the war on women, the famous transvaginal probe legislati
act can be ironed out, i think the president is going to rebound. so i don t read too much into it just yet. these polls go up and down. so we talked about virginia a lot there. and just to really set the stage for this, we are talking about a state here, as we said in that package, you have to go all the way back to 1973, in your home state of virginia, to find an election where the party that controls the white house actually won the governor s race. it always takes place the year after the presidential election. this is an off year election here in virginia. we ve been talking for the last year about how the turnout patterns favor republicans in off year elections. what do you think it says? if terry mcauliffe, if the polls are right and terry mcauliffe wins this thing, what do you think that says about national politics? what message can we take nationally from a democrat winning in virginia under these