will most likely be gone. malcolm, one more question to you on this, let s put it back, they ll have to vote on it again. then, if it passes, then it goes on the ballot for the people to decide in november 2023? it can be, and here s the challenge with us, once they approve it a second time, the speaker can put it on the ballot whenever he wants. what they have done consistently with his ballot questions is put them on the ballot during low turnout elections. we saw them do this and try and stop the governor from his covid medication efforts. they put it on the ballot during a low turnout primary election. as you know, municipal elections, which will have a may of 23, are usually low turnout affairs. they re going to make the gamble that if they lose the governor s mansion, they can try to go around our future governor joshua pirro, and put this on the ballot when they
to be low turnout affairs. something like 4 in 10 eligible voters show up. so that s why midterm elections tend to hinge on backlash politics. they tend to hinge on anger. that is the one thing that president trump does the best. you said it well. he plays on people s anger and resentment. so he said that even before the kavanaugh confirmation happened. if democrats take the house, he feels like his impeachment could be a thing that potentially happens. he said look, you vote for republicans. you vote for me. that s what he told his base on the campaign trail. he s putting this in very stark terms. jeff, stand by. let me bring in anna and allie. mother jones, for example, the left-leaning organization there, magazine calls any impeachment effort, quote, a liberal fantasy. like d.c. state hood or nuclear disarmament. it s never going to happen. well, i mean, the question is are democrats going to try to impeach him. there s a process. you don t just go on day one
sdwr general election context. as you point out, you know, lulac is trying to organize latinos to attend both and it s a bit of an uphill climb and on the other hand, these are pretty small turnout affairs. only 120,000 people are likely to vote in the republican caucus unless it increases. even small numbers could have an impact. you call iowa an overlooked backdrop. what do you mean by that? iowa is thought of a mono lit clee white state but it s recasting all of america, not just the immigrant destinations like miami, l.a., dallas and phoenix. a majority of the students are now nonbhwhite. an analysis shows that the state has 88,000 fewer white kids
instance we can see where they re missing a real opportunity to connect with the younger voters by allowing this fight to take place so publicly. thomas, i think this sets up a conflict that you re going to see repeated again and again throughout 2014, because on the one hand republicans have to deal with a very hardened base in these primaries, which are low turnout affairs. so liz cheney is very concerned as she attempts to oust the sitting senator there in wyoming that she s viewed as a rock solid social conservative. but then at the same time as we enter a general election, maybe it s not so much of an issue in wyoming, but i think other factions of the republican party recognize, hey, we need to liberalize and modernize a little bit but it becomes very difficult because how do you do that and get through a republican primary when those voters really haven t moved far
2004. but the question is, is that trend changing? joining me live now, nbc news senior political editor, mark murray. you wrote about this today and first question i have, why isn t this just about rejection of strict gun control laws and not a larger issue for the party? you raise a good point. this had a lot to do with gun control and gun control laws enacted. one point worth noting, it is always important never to overanalyze elections like these, they are low turnout affairs. but colorado is a state that democrats have had a tremendous amount of success in and these defeats i think at least give democrats in the state of colorado a little pause and brace the stakes for 2014 when john hickenlooper as well as incumbent are up for re-election. going back to the point on gun control. one of the arguments that a lot