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How COVID-19 is impacting Tunisian households

How COVID-19 is impacting Tunisian households Image Since the COVID-19 pandemic hit Tunisia last Spring, one of the most critical questions has been how will it affect people across the country. New research suggests that the pandemic is likely to exacerbate Tunisia’s development challenges by reversing the recent trend of poverty reduction. More people will likely fall below the poverty line and existing poverty will likely get more severe through four broad channels: labor income, non-labor income, direct effects on consumption, and the disruption of services. Which Tunisians are likely to be hit the hardest by the pandemic, and to what extent can the government mitigate the impacts? A new World Bank working paper that focuses on labor income and consumption finds that the government’s emergency compensatory measures could do a great deal to lessen the losses on the poverty front.

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Policy research working paper 9503: Impacts of COVID-19 on household welfare in Tunisia (December 2020)

Policy research working paper 9503: Impacts of COVID-19 on household welfare in Tunisia (December 2020)
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Tunisia centerWorld bankCenter westSouth eastதுனிசியா மையம்உலகம் வங்கிமையம் மேற்குதெற்கு கிழக்கு

Policy research working paper 9503: Impacts of COVID-19 on household welfare in Tunisia (December 2020) - Tunisia

Policy research working paper 9503: Impacts of COVID-19 on household welfare in Tunisia (December 2020) Format How is COVID-19 affecting the poor? Recent analysis carried out by the World Bank addresses this question by estimating the pandemic’s impact on Tunisia’s poor households. It shows that the pandemic is likely to reverse recent gains in poverty reduction. There are four broad channels through which the pandemic could affect households: labor income, non-labor income, direct effects on consumption, and the disruption of services. However, the analysis only focuses on the labor and consumption channels. The findings suggest that, under the baseline scenario of 8.8 real GDP growth, at constant factor prices, poverty is estimated to increase from 2.9 percentage of the population pre-Covid to 7.4 percent in 2020. Additionally, inequality (measured using the Gini coefficient) is estimated to increase from 37 to 39.5.

Tunisia centerWorld bankCenter westSouth eastதுனிசியா மையம்உலகம் வங்கிமையம் மேற்குதெற்கு கிழக்கு