the last couple of days that the cases are going up that we may be looking at more transmissible variant. however, until we see those variants sort of do the same thing in other communities, you know, other settings, other vaccination rates in other countries, we won t know about the true transmisibility. over the next few weeks i think what we are going to learn, you will learn a bit more about the laboratory results that tell us a bit more about the effectiveness of these vaccines and i think most people in my field feel based on the mutations you may see decrease in infections. what you are likely to see or increase in decrease in protection against infections but that protection is probably going to be linked to how many doses of vaccine you had. if you had three doses, your booster, most likely protected. having said that, most people agree there might be very good protection against severe disease in that setting i want to see if you agree or
the globe and while there are signals of breakthrough cases or asymptomatic cases, there hasn t been for severe infections. what i would expect to see, again, is a staged movement towards giving people a booster shot with those going first to those who got vaccines first, those at greatest risk so elderly, those in nursing homes, front line health care wores and then likely moving on to other people but it will be very important that the data are shared so everyone can take a look and make a decision what they want to do. we just learned, doctor, that the horrible delta very yes, ma am veariant accounts for 99% of the cases in the united states. we re seeing the impact of this much more transmissible variant. what it says to me, when you think about six months ago when
also drop their mask with the vaccinated, and that s what happened in the setting of more transmissible variant. i think the advantage of the mandates in areas with high transmission is clear. i think you ll see this additional measure, particularly indoors, seeing increased transmission bringing cases down. are they active in places where transmissions are over 100 for over 100,000 area, which they call high transmission areas, that s the greatest benefit. added to that, that s the area that cdc thinks even though rates, chances of a person vaccinated transmitting onward is low, in a community where there s a lot of virus, vaccinated and unvaccinated, you come across someone that may have the infection, slight break through cases which could potentially lead to increase in transmissions. it is another step. i think in areas with low
control and leads the global health initiative, resolve to save lives. devi, let me start with you. is this all happening because of the delta variant and the fact that this delta variant is twice as infectious, at least, as the original alpha variant? and if i may add one question to that, is this the shape of things to come? are we going to see the virus also adapts. are we going to see another even more transmissible variant? i think delta is causing problems across the world because of increased transmissibility and it s finding all those pockets of people that are unvaccinated and spreading rapidly among them. adding to that, actually, children, adolescents are where we have a lot of lower
autumn wave under the current wave, and you can autumn wave under the current wave, and you can see the autumn wave topped and you can see the autumn wave topped out and you can see the autumn wave topped out at slightly lower levels. when topped out at slightly lower levels. when you topped out at slightly lower levels. when you look at admissions, the number when you look at admissions, the number of when you look at admissions, the number of admissions was higher in the autumn number of admissions was higher in the autumn wave, and went up sooner, and with the autumn wave, and went up sooner, and with deaths, it went up sooner, is much and with deaths, it went up sooner, is much steeper and went to much higher is much steeper and went to much higher levels than we are seeing now. higher levels than we are seeing now. so higher levels than we are seeing now, so this again confirms the crucial now, so this again confirms the crucial importance of vaccination in pro