In the 90s and early 00s. Now this comes hot on the heels of disappointing china trade data on tuesday showing exports sank at their fastest rate since the pandemic. Global demand for chinese made goods is falling, down more 14 in the year tojuly. But domestic demand is down too with imports also falling by more than 12 in the same period. Earlier, i spoke to janet mui, whos the head of Market Analysis at rbc brewin dolphin, and she explained where the deflation was coming from. Deflation data, basically mostly coming from food prices and also commodities prices like raw materials, energy, etc. Actually, if you look at the underlying inflation, things like services, things like tourism, leisure, hotels, actually they are up. The Core Inflation is up from 0. 4 to 0. 8 , but obviously its still pretty muted. So overall, i think it is a concern that china prices are contracting and it could be lasting for a while as well. How likely do you think it is, though, that china is going to be
Taxes. The obr is likely to lower the estimate of how much room he has, and that is probably an over estimate anyway. So he has very little space. He could opt for different things. It looks like hes going to concentrate more on their household than all businesses, therefore two major taxes, one is income tax, other is National Insurance contribution. Income tax is our broader tax and it would cost him more money whereas National Insurance contribution focuses on people at work and would cost him a little bit less. Having a bit less money to play with, like that give as a clearer sense of the conservative priorities here because we know there might be an election coming . It is actually who that money goes to, where they want to target votes . That who that money goes to, where they want to target votes . Want to target votes . That is a very aood want to target votes . That is a very good question want to target votes . That is a very good question because want to target votes . That
It looks like hes going to concentrate more on the households rather than on businesses. And therefore, there are two major taxes that he could hope for, one is income tax and the other one is National Insurance contribution. Income tax is a broader tax and it would cost him more money, whereas National Insurance contribution focuses on people at work and will cost him a little bit less. Yeah, i mean having a bit less money to play with, i suppose, do you think perhaps that might give us a clearer sense of the conservative priorities here . Obviously, we know there might be an election coming. Its actually who that money goes to, where to target votes, maybe. That is a very good question because it does look like they are going to target consumers or households rather than businesses. Whereas if you look at what the priorities are in terms of raising growth potential, you do want to improve and get Business Investment growing faster. So that is really a very big question as to where th
Favour over the past month. Weve seen sterling rise that will help temper the Price Pressures from imports. Weve also seen other pressures in the markets where theyve been raising some questions about the Bank Of Englands credibility, as in Mortgage Rates going up without decisions being made that has all calmed down, too. And the public s expectations of where inflation is going, which were really very high, have now begun to temper. So thats also going in the banks favour. But a crucial issue is that they have raised rates by 5 the impact of that has really taken some time to filter through into the economy, there is sort of turning the type of rate rises on. Turning the tap. We are beginning to see the impact of that now weve seen in the Housing Market, weve seen it in some corporate insolvencies too. So that all leads back to this Balancing Act between crushing inflation, but avoiding a downturn its a tight rope and we are probably approaching the most narrow, trickiest part of tha
This acutely. They understand the catastrophe at the border is affecting everyone, and it is top of mind for all the American People for that reason. Again, the First Priority of the country is our border and making sure its secure. I believe the president can take Executive Authority right now today to change that, and ive told him that again today in person as ive said to him many times publicly and privately over the last several weeks. Its time for action. So that was Speaker Mike Johnson yesterday following an Oval Office Meeting with the president and other congressional leaders. But in reality it is johnson, hes the one standing in the way of action on the border by blocking a bipartisan deal passed by the senate. Well bring you more about that meeting including the pressure on the speaker to avoid the looming Government Shutdown. Plus, well go through the primary results out of michigan and look ahead to Super Tuesday which is just around the corner and the latest on ceasefire