contracting a little bit. i think it can feed in to the surfing see them on the fear factor that hey, are we beach drinking beer. heading into a recession or are we just doing a global or u.s. kids shovel ago hole not to slow down. we re not sure. worry their parents are either way. nearby. but the tariffs certainly are winds up to 30 miles per hour with spikes up to 60. we are seeing boarded up not helping either. the wars are not helping either. windows or people putting up the boards but it s not so i think in the long short extensive. you would see more bear run, we definitely like gary glass than you do boarded up said, we re in for some more windows. here on tybee islands we are volatility. investors really should just seeing a lot of sand bags. not extensive. buckle in and just expect that a lot of buildings that volatility for the next few don t have the sandbags in months. we ll have to see what prevails. front of them. we have spoken with a lot of people who say they want t
are speaking to the past week or two won t necessarily be a predictor in this case. neil: to your point, madison, even if it is, it could be a ways off. recessions have not been repealed new more than bull markets or bear markets. tom, having said that, you think the trade thing is a wild card? let s say we don t get a trail deal. it s a problem for the president, or is it a strength if it says i m not going to cave for any deal. it s a good question. trump runs the risk by fishing forward with this trade war that it will hurt farmers, continue to hurt farmers where he can t lose those folks. he s pushing forward because that s one of his core promises and people elected him and people agree with his policy and don t like his tactics. i m sure trump s advisers are telling him and fox news polls confirm this. one thing he can do is to lay
i think it is very smart, what you re saying. the labor department announced today there are republicans. there are republicans, yes. who could go for a democrat in this case. you know, they ve just got to be very smart about the way they do it. let me ask you about there because there is a revision of something that happened. the labor department announcing that half a million fewer jobs were created than originally reported in 2018 and early 2019. i mean it s still been a pretty good economy, but that will also have people taking a closer look at where things stand right now. don t you think? well, the economy matters a great deal. that s why they got a lot of happy talk out there. the president saying we re going to have a tax cut. i guess we won t have a tax cut. then this trade thing is hurting the country. hurting all the world. and, you know, they know if the economy goes south, they have a huge problem. and i think they re very concerned about it.
were created than originally reported in 2018 and early 2019. it has been a pretty good economy. but that will also have people taking a closer look at where things stand right now. don t you think? there a lot of talk. i guess we won t have a tax cut. no. we won t have one. then this trade thing is really hurting the country. hurting all the world. and you know, they know if the economy goes south, they have a huge problem. and i think they re very concerned about it. the revisions are typical when people are beginning to say, there s weakness in this economy. and when you take a look at the bond market and all that, these are signs that get people saying, you know, it s not great. now, we don t know when that
there s not enough. out of that 40, there s seven or afl this is not based on stats. that s the gamble. if he loses that, the argument won t work. i think that s true. he can stoke abortion issues. other issues besides racially divisive attacks. but i do think that donny is right. i think before the mid-terms, neil newhouse went to the white house and that for lack of a better word, cult following, is at 25%. if you look at, he has this very durable floor. i think it can go down if the economy, if we re not in a recession but there is no resolution on this trade thing into the spring. that s very dangerous territory. then he will lose the farmers. they re not stupid. they know more about trade. at some point they ll realize, their markets are gone for generations.