erie? let s see, a five-point lead right there. i suspect that s better than it was four years ago. there you go. 15 points in erie. if that holds up at 65%, that tells you something. this is a blue collar area, not unlike buffalo, new york, my friend s hometown, a place where donald trump has tried to sell his immigration and his trade message, and that s a good number. let s look down here in allegheny county. this is more about where it should be. 60-35 if you re a democrat. that s what you need there. let s look back here. 57-42. 15 points, until you come back in there. this one, only 9%. we ll see how it plays out. both candidates focusing on that area. the key is over here. nothing from the suburbs yet. we have 37% from center city, philadelphia. watch this number right here. in philadelphia county, in an hour or two, when we re counting pennsylvania, maybe three, when we re still counting the votes, is this margin around 400,000 or more? if it s not, donald trump s in play in pe
where republican votes have yet to be counted. the question, this is the biggest one of all, up here. cleveland, only 33% of the vote, cuyahoga county there, let s just move over to lorraine county, 45% of the vote. it s a democratic area, but trump is running reasonably 51-44, trump is running stronger. it s a blue collar area. we ve talked about this all along, lorraine, ohio, you re talking about your trade message, your immigration message. trump running stronger there, as you pull it back out, let s talk about 2016. this is fun. this is but that s it s starting to inch out a little bit. i want to pull this over. make sure we have the full count of the vote. as you look at it through, it s he s starting to pull away in ohio. pulling away almost 200,000-vote lead right now. and that s significant. you get in the 200 to 300,000 vote lead and you re coming to here and saying, okay, what have i got left? she might have 100,000 there, maybe a little bit more, but do you ha
might be listening to donald trump? maybe they think he s better able to handle the economy, maybe they like the trade message or immigration message. many of the key battleground states you re just look iing, h does he do compared to mitt romney? is he getting more of these blue collar white voters? he has to run it up in the rural areas. african-american turnout in the cleveland and columbus area. john cakasich voted not for e republican nominee. results from two of tonight s battlegrounds, georgia and virginia. important clues about how this night might turn out. stay with us. get where i am. and i didn t get here alone. there were people who listened along the way. people who gave me options. kept me on track. and through it all, my retirement never got left behind. so today, i m prepared for anything we may want tomorrow to be.
where we are. cuyahoga county is where cleveland is. usually a democratic stronghold. you agree you need north carolina, ohio and florida. if you lose one it s over, right? these are three core battleground states. we feel very good about where we are in early voting and where actual voting is today. all the indicators are coming back positive. we obviously want to win these states. there are other scenarios, if we don t win one of these we look at michigan. feel very good. colorado. and pennsylvania. we are closing strong. donald trump said this morning in a phone interview about the election results, i am quoting him now, he said who knows what happens ultimately. does trump have some doubts about his chances for a win tonight? mr. trump is confident he ll win tonight. we feel good about the race. we are the ones who are closing strong. a lot of it is the message, wolf. the positivity. the fact that he s giving people something to vote for. we re talking about the trade
back to the beginning of the general election season, when donald trump first became the nominee, everybody sort of immediately looked to that upper midwest rust belt region as a place where his trade message, his economic message, his change message, and his voter profile, those would all sort of converge together as real opportunity. but, of course, the whole whob and challenge for donald trump with the electoral map is he needs both. he needs to be able to sweep the toss-up states and he needs to dig into some of that blue-leaning territory. as you said, it hasn t been republican since 1988. so, they couldn t just make one decision. we re going to park donald trump for six months in the upper midwest and do the industrial blue-leaning states. they had to play both places. i wonder looking back now, maybe he should have attended to that soil a bit more there now that they see that opportunity. that s why we re seeing them at the end. data is pointing to michigan in