their forces are very brittle after that withdrawal from the first phase of the war. they re demoralized. they re having to rebuild their logistics support and rebuild their fighting capability. but over time if they can batter away at the ukrainian defenses, particularly in the south, then it s possible that they could expand in toward dnipro and then head toward miykolaiv and ultimately odesa. and i think their goal would be to control the southern coastline in a way that makes ukraine a landlocked country. and that then sets them up for a future war against ukraine to once again take kyiv. so this is really stage 2 of a multistage process. the first stage being that attack on kyiv which failed. second stage now being the donbas offensive. third stage would be to secure the southern coast. and stage 4 would be a resumption of the war to take