approach and this map gives the gop hope. one third of the senate is up every two years. this is a giant gift to republicans because so many races are in states the president won big like missouri. we talked about indiana and a tough climate. look at the map. we have it with 49 republicans and 45 democrats. plus this year s races. republicans think they will hang on to texas and they will flip north dakota and we will see what the results are with montana with jon tester. six toss upstates. under that scenario, all the republicans have to do is told tenness tennessee. if marcia blackburn holds the seat, they can do business in these other states. they have an easier way to block the democratic majority. democrats have to run the board. they have to run the board with the toss ups or defy us in
the unknown is similar to 2016. whether there is this other cohort of voters who haven t shown up in polls or don t look as enthusiastic on the surface as they actually are. even if they are, they are still willing to show up to the polls which is what trump is counting on. whether there is a blue wave or not, democrats are heading in with a lot of enthusiasm. that s what you see the president trying to address. he wanted to be on the campaign trail and his schedule, ohio, missouri, indiana. those were states that were once the typical toss upstates. they want to get to those who vote in elections and they are his base voters in 2016. he is trying to gin up enthusiasm. there is a price for that in that the republicans are facing the greatest risk in the places that are doing the best. the defining number in this poll
virginia and washington, d.c. for today severe storms here and also umbrella day. it s a rainy dreary totally different than sunday type day in new york city, philadelphia and washington, d.c. as far as the impacts of the turnout from the weather, doesn t look like a lot of bad weather in a loss of toss-upstates. still ahead, the lowly los angeles lakers reaching each new lows. and two of the nfl s all-time greatest quarterbacks face off in a rare sunday night matchup. (whooshing)
campaign, who has momentum. in tennessee, the republicans clearly do. the indiana, perhaps the democrat is in a race that is critical. when you figure out who is controlling the senate, three polls showing a close race. some showing it move towards the democrat and some show the republican. that we will watch until the end. look where we have it. 49 republican and 45 democrats. for the democrats to take control of the senate, if everything stayed the same as we have it on the map and you had these six toss upstates, look at the scenario. the democrats would have to sweep them. if they got to these, 50-50, if marcia blackburn wins, the democrats have to get that. if they have any dream. the momentum clearly going the other way. because that momentum is going the other way. ask the president, is there a big blue wave?
we can take a look. so where is the president s support still rocking solid based on gallop tracking polls of june 30th and the most favorable state of the president were west virginia and wyoming. his approvals in the three states is in the 20s. put those pieces together and you have the under pending of trump country. some of the toss upstates that president trump pulled in still looks relatively good for him, ohio and iowa. someone is under water but not by much. better in those places as we may expect. these are state that is voted republicans at least once before trump. still, he s doing better in those states than he is in red states from the past. his net approval, negative 7